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Miami Heat vs. L.A. Clippers Picks and Prediction, Monday, November 3, 2025

By: Jason Green Published 11/03/2025, 10:42 AM ET
Miami Heat vs. L.A. Clippers prediction

In a non-conference game and the first meeting of the season, the L.A. Clippers host the Miami Heat. The Clippers (3-2) moved over the .500 mark of the season in their last game and have won three of fou,r while the Heat (3-3) have lost two in a row. Let’s hit the floor and check out the matchup for this Miami Heat vs. L.A. Clippers prediction.

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The Clippers come into this game as a 7.5-point favorite with the total sitting at 229.

Season Low and then Season High for Heat

The Heat have lost two in a row, and in their first loss, they scored a season low in points, and in their last loss, they gave up a season high in points in a 130-120 road loss to the L.A. Lakers. In that game, Miami shot a better overall FG% (51.2% to 50.5%) but only shot 27.3% from 3-point land, allowing the Lakers to shoot 32.6% from long range. Jaime Jaquez Jr. led the way in the loss with a season-high 31 points off the benc,h and Bam Adebayo and Pelle Larsson each had 17 points. The Heat failed to cover as a 5-point underdog and has failed to cover the spread in their last two games after doing so in their first four.

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Leading scorer Norman Powell (24 ppg 7.3 rpg) has missed the last three games with a groin injury and is out for this game. Adebayo (23 ppg 9.2 rpg) had totaled 57 points in two games before only 17 points in the last one. Andrew Wiggins (16.4 ppg) had two solid shooting games totaling 45 points before the last one, where he scored 15 points on 37.5% shooting. Jaquez Jr. (16.2 ppg) has scored at least 28 points in two of the last three games. On the season, Miami is 1-3 on the road.

Injuries

  • Norman Powell – Out
  • Kasparas Jakucionis – Out
  • Tyler Herro – Out

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Clippers are a Little Better in the Scoring Department

After scoring a season low 79 points, the Clippers were a tad better in the scoring department in their last game in a 126-124 home win over the winless New Orleans Pelicans in an NBA Cup group game. They shot 51.7% from the floor and 38.5% from 3-point land while the Pelicans shot 487.2% and 48.6% from long range. Kawhi Leonard had 34 points and James Harden (24 points 14 assists) and Ivica Zubac (14 points 11 rebounds) each had a double-double. L.A. did not cover as an 11-point favorite, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last three games.

Leonard (23.8 ppg) has scored at least 27 points and shot over 52% in three of the last four games. Harden (21.8 ppg 9.2 apg) ranks fifth in the league in assists, and he has a double-double in three of the five games. Zubac (15.2 ppg 8.6 rpg) has a double-double in each of the last two games, totaling 28 points and 13 rebounds. Bradley Beal has played in only three games and is only averaging 6.7 ppg after averaging 17 ppg with the Phoenix Suns last season. On the season, the Clip Joint is a perfect 3-0 at home.

Injuries

  • Kobe Sanders – Out
  • Jordan Miller – Out

 

Heat vs. Clippers Pick

Spread Pick Heat vs. Clippers

  • Heat +7.5 (+4 Units)

While the Clippers are over .500, they have only faced one team that made the playoffs last season and lost that game badly. The Heat have dropped their last two games, where in the first, they struggled on offense and in the last one gave up 130 points. They are still without Tyler Herro, who led the team in scoring last season. The Heat are the second-highest scoring team in the league (125.4 ppg) and while the Clippers rank fifth in points against (112 ppg) they gave up 124 points in their last game to a Pelicans team that ranks dead last in the NBA in scoring. Regarding the Miami Heat vs. L.A. Clippers prediction, I am going against the golden rule of sports betting in backing a team in the second game of a road back-to-back and taking the Heat to, at least, cover the spread over the Clippers, who have been far from impressive to start the season.

Over/Under Pick for Heat vs. Clippers

  • Under (+4 Units)

The total for both of these teams went Over in their last games and that is the pick I am leaning towards in this game. The Heat are the second-highest scoring team in the league at 125.5 ppg and while they rank a respectable seven in points against (114 ppg) they gave up 130 points in their last game. L.A. ranks even better in points against ranking fifth (112 ppg) but they faced the winless Pelicans in their last game who rank last in the league in scoring and still gave up 124 points. Both teams will shoot well and put up a high total, which is why the Over is the pick.

 

 

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