New Orleans Pelicans vs Atlanta Hawks Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Wednesday January 7 2026
Use Code SSWC Pelicans vs Hawks picks are on the slate for this Eastern Conference matchup, and this game presents a tricky handicap with fatigue, form, and inflated numbers all in play. I am breaking this one down strictly through recent results, betting trends, and line movement while keeping the focus on actionable value alongside today’s NBA predictions.
TLDR - Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Pelicans +10.5
- Total Pick: Under 246
- Projected Final Score: Hawks 124, Pelicans 116
Stats to Know and Betting Trends for Pelicans vs Hawks
- Atlanta has won and covered each of the last three meetings against New Orleans.
- The Hawks earned a 115-98 road win in New Orleans on November 22.
- New Orleans is 0-8 straight up and 1-7 against the spread in its last eight games.
- Atlanta is 1-7 against the spread in its last eight games as a favorite.
- The Hawks have only been a double-digit favorite once this season and lost that game by 19 points.
- New Orleans is on the second leg of a back-to-back.
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| New Orleans | +10.5 | -110 |
| Atlanta | -10.5 | -110 |
| Bet | Total | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 246 | -110 |
| Under | 246 | -110 |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | New Orleans | Atlanta |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06 | 11:06:19PM | +9.5 (-115) | -9.5 (-105) |
| 01/07 | 01:15:52AM | +10.5 (-115) | -10.5 (-105) |
| 01/07 | 01:24:02AM | +10.5 (-110) | -10.5 (-110) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06 | 11:06:20PM | 241 (-108) | 241 (-112) |
| 01/07 | 01:23:00AM | 242.5 (-108) | 242.5 (-112) |
| 01/07 | 01:23:09AM | 242 (-112) | 242 (-108) |
| 01/07 | 01:23:32AM | 243 (-112) | 243 (-108) |
| 01/07 | 01:24:19AM | 244 (-108) | 244 (-112) |
| 01/07 | 01:26:57AM | 244.5 (-112) | 244.5 (-108) |
| 01/07 | 01:28:06AM | 245 (-108) | 245 (-112) |
| 01/07 | 07:20:30AM | 245 (-118) | 245 (-104) |
| 01/07 | 07:20:40AM | 246 (-110) | 246 (-110) |
Pelicans vs Hawks Game Preview and Analysis
Atlanta has controlled this matchup recently, winning and covering each of the last three meetings, including a 115-98 road win in New Orleans back in November. That recent dominance is a big reason the Hawks are laying double digits again.
Still, the situational spot is far from clean. Atlanta returns home after a rough two-game sweep in Canada against Toronto, and questions continue to swirl around Trae Young, who has missed the last two games and is listed as questionable again. Atlanta has struggled badly as a favorite, going just 1-7 against the spread in that role over its last eight games.
New Orleans enters on the second leg of a back-to-back after a loss to the Lakers. The Pelicans are clearly struggling, sitting 0-8 straight up in their last eight games, but there were at least some positives. They carried a seven-point lead into the fourth quarter and saw Trey Murphy III and Zion Williamson combine for 57 points on efficient shooting.
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From a betting standpoint, the number feels inflated. The Hawks have only been double-digit favorites once this season, and that game resulted in a 19-point loss. Even with all of New Orleans’ issues, I am not comfortable laying this many points with an Atlanta team that has consistently failed to cover as a favorite.
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NOP and ATL Key Injuries and Notes
- ATL: Trae Young is questionable after missing the last two games.
- NOP: Herbert Jones is questionable.
Final Score Prediction
- Atlanta 124
- New Orleans 116
ATS and Total Picks
- Against the Spread: Pelicans +10.5
- Total: Under 246
