New Orleans Pelicans vs Charlotte Hornets Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Monday February 2 2026
Pelicans vs Hornets picks are front and center for Monday afternoon, as New Orleans travels to Charlotte in a matchup that features two teams trending up in different ways. I’m breaking this game down strictly through the betting lens, with a close look at line movement, recent form, and market behavior, while also pointing bettors toward today’s NBA picks and predictions.
TLDR - Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Hornets -6.5
- Total Pick: Under 232.5
- Projected Final Score: Hornets 119, Pelicans 111
Stats to Know and Betting Trends for Pelicans vs Hornets
- New Orleans has won six of the last seven meetings against Charlotte.
- Five of the last six meetings between these teams have stayed under the total.
- Charlotte enters this game on a six-game winning streak.
- The Hornets have beaten the Jazz, Lakers, Nuggets, Grizzlies, Mavericks, and Spurs over the last three weeks.
- Over the last 15 games, Charlotte ranks No. 1 in net rating and offensive rating.
- New Orleans has covered the spread in four of its last five games.
- The Pelicans are coming off a 10-point loss at Philadelphia.
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| New Orleans | +6.5 (-106) | Over 232.5 (-114) |
| Charlotte | -6.5 (-114) | Under 232.5 (-106) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | New Orleans | Charlotte | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/02 | 06:47:38AM | +6.5 (-106) | -6.5 (-114) | H 94%, H 79% |
| 02/02 | 05:31:12AM | +7 (-112) | -7 (-108) | H 97%, H 82% |
| 02/02 | 01:41:28AM | +7.5 (-114) | -7.5 (-106) | H 98%, H 88% |
| 02/02 | 01:06:00AM | +7 (-106) | -7 (-114) | H 98%, H 88% |
| 02/02 | 01:05:50AM | +7 (-108) | -7 (-112) | H 98%, H 88% |
| 02/01 | 08:36:56PM | +7 (-110) | -7 (-110) | |
| 02/01 | 06:55:39PM | +7.5 (-110) | -7.5 (-110) | |
| 02/01 | 06:51:57PM | +7.5 (-112) | -7.5 (-108) | |
| 02/01 | 06:51:30PM | +7 (-106) | -7 (-114) | |
| 02/01 | 06:27:23PM | +7 (-110) | -7 (-110) | |
| 02/01 | 06:13:52PM | +7.5 (-110) | -7.5 (-110) | |
| 02/01 | 05:12:09PM | +7.5 (-112) | -7.5 (-108) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/02 | 08:20:04AM | 232.5 (-114) | 232.5 (-106) | U 95%, U 78% |
| 02/02 | 08:18:26AM | 233 (-108) | 233 (-112) | U 95%, U 78% |
| 02/02 | 07:54:18AM | 231.5 (-112) | 231.5 (-108) | U 95%, U 78% |
| 02/02 | 05:47:54AM | 232.5 (-106) | 232.5 (-114) | U 95%, U 72% |
| 02/02 | 05:37:11AM | 232.5 (-112) | 232.5 (-108) | U 97%, U 84% |
| 02/02 | 05:36:55AM | 233.5 (-108) | 233.5 (-112) | U 97%, U 84% |
| 02/01 | 11:51:50PM | 233.5 (-110) | 233.5 (-110) | U 100%, U 100% |
| 02/01 | 11:06:30PM | 233.5 (-112) | 233.5 (-108) | U 100%, U 100% |
Pelicans vs Hornets Game Preview and Analysis
New Orleans has clearly owned this matchup recently, but the market is being forced to adjust to how well Charlotte is playing right now. The Hornets look nothing like the team from early November, riding a six-game winning streak and producing elite efficiency on both ends of the floor.
Over the last 15 games, Charlotte ranks first in net rating and offensive rating, while also sitting third in defensive rating. That balance matters when facing a Pelicans team that has improved but still relies heavily on individual shot-making. Saddiq Bey has taken over as the focal point of the New Orleans offense, clearing his points prop in six straight games and scoring 34 points on 12-of-19 shooting against Philadelphia.
The Hornets’ recent defensive effort stands out. They held Victor Wembanyama to 16 points on 6-of-15 shooting in a win over San Antonio, and they continue to dominate the glass, ranking first in rebounding rate over their last 15 games. Charlotte is also producing elite shooting numbers, ranking fourth in effective field goal percentage and second in true shooting.
The spread movement tells a clear story. Heavy public support has been on New Orleans with the line dropping from Pelicans +7.5 to +6.5. That type of move suggests respected money backing New Orleans even with Charlotte playing as great as they have.
Key Injuries and Notes (NOP vs CHA)
- New Orleans has no players listed on the early injury report.
- Charlotte continues to be without KJ Simpson and Mason Plumlee, both long-term absences.
- Neither Simpson nor Plumlee has played in the last six weeks.
- Both teams enter the game in relatively good overall health.
Final Score Prediction
I expect Charlotte to control the pace and keep this game competitive from start to finish. The Hornets’ efficiency and rebounding give them a real chance to cover the spread.
Projected Final Score: Hornets 119, Pelicans 111
ATS and Total Picks
- Against the Spread: Hornets -6.5
- Total: Under 232.5