New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors Prediction and Picks - November 29, 2025
Western Conference NBA action on Saturday evening, and we have a New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors prediction locked and loaded for you. The Pelicans come in off a 133-128 home loss to the Grizzlies in OT to fall to 3-16 on the year. Golden State is off a 104-100 home loss to the Rockets and are now 10-10 on the season. The Warriors have won the last five games in this series. Read on to see our Pelicans vs Warriors prediction.
Struggling to pick winners in the NBA? We have the best NBA Predictions available.
Pelicans Lose Heatbreaker To Grizzlies in OT
The Pelicans’ most recent game was a 133-128 overtime loss to the Memphis Grizzlies on November 26, a contest where Jose Alvarado led New Orleans with 24 points, Saddiq Bey added 18 points and 10 rebounds, and Zion Williamson chipped in 17. Despite building a 17-point lead in the first half, the Pelicans couldn’t hold off Memphis late, falling in extra time.
Offensively, New Orleans has struggled to find consistency, ranking 27th in scoring at 111.5 points per game while shooting 44.9% from the field (25th) and 34.4% from three (24th). Williamson remains their most dynamic weapon, but the team has leaned on Alvarado’s perimeter shooting and Bey’s rebounding to stay competitive. Jordan Hawkins and Derik Queen have provided flashes, yet the lack of efficiency has been a recurring issue. Their free-throw shooting sits at 76.4% (24th), which hasn’t helped in close games.
Defensively, the Pelicans have been among the league’s weakest units, allowing 122.5 points per game (26th) and ranking dead last in opponent FG% at 50.5%. They rebound decently at 44.6 boards per game (18th), but opponents have consistently found easy looks. Against Golden State’s perimeter-heavy attack, New Orleans will need to tighten rotations and avoid giving up second-chance points if they want to stay in the game.
Warriors Can't Solve The Houston Defense
Golden State’s most recent game was a 104-100 loss to the Houston Rockets on November 26, where Jimmy Butler III led the team with 21 points and Draymond Green added nine rebounds and eight assists. The Warriors built a double-digit lead early but went ice cold in the second half, shooting just 2-for-21 from three after halftime, and couldn’t recover late.
Offensively, the Warriors have been middle-tier, averaging 115.1 points per game (21st) while shooting 45.3% from the field (23rd) and 36.4% from three (13th). Normally, Curry’s scoring would be the centerpiece, but with him sidelined for at least a week due to a quad contusion, Golden State will lean more heavily on Butler III, Jonathan Kuminga, and Brandin Podziemski to generate offense. Their free-throw shooting has been excellent at 82.5% (5th), which gives them an edge in tight finishes, but the lack of Curry’s shot creation will force others to step into larger roles.
Defensively, Golden State has been solid, ranking 11th in points allowed (114.5 per game) and 7th in opponent three-point percentage (34.7%). Green continues to anchor their rotations, while Gary Payton II adds perimeter pressure when healthy. They rebound at 45.1 per game (22nd), which has been serviceable but not dominant. Without Curry, the Warriors’ margin for error shrinks, and their ability to control pace and force New Orleans into inefficient half-court possessions becomes even more critical.
Sign Up for StatSalt News Alerts, Get Free Picks and Discounts
Subscribe Now
New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors Pick
Pelicans vs Warriors Spread Pick
- Golden State -8 (4 Units)
Golden State -8 still looks like a strong play because even without Stephen Curry, the Warriors have the depth and defensive structure to handle New Orleans. The Pelicans are averaging just 111.5 points per game (27th) and shooting 44.9% from the field (25th), which has made them one of the least efficient offenses in the league. Their struggles were evident in the recent overtime loss to Memphis, where they blew a 17-point lead and couldn’t generate consistent scoring late. Golden State, meanwhile, has held opponents to 114.5 points per game (11th) and ranks 7th in opponent three-point percentage (34.7%), giving them the tools to limit New Orleans’ already shaky perimeter attack.
On the offensive side, Golden State still has enough firepower to cover the number. They average 115.1 points per game (21st) and shoot 36.4% from three (13th), with Jonathan Kuminga, Jimmy Butler III, and Brandin Podziemski all capable of stepping into larger scoring roles while Curry recovers. Their free-throw shooting is elite at 82.5% (5th), which helps them close out games when protecting a lead. Against a Pelicans defense that allows 122.5 points per game (26th) and ranks dead last in opponent FG% at 50.5%, the Warriors should find plenty of efficient looks. Even without Curry, Golden State’s balance and defensive edge make them well-positioned to win comfortably and cover the spread at home.
Pelicans vs Warriors Over/Under Pick
- Under 225 (5 Units)
The Under 225 makes sense here because New Orleans has struggled to score consistently, averaging just 111.5 points per game (27th) while shooting 44.9% from the field, and Golden State is without Stephen Curry, which naturally slows their offensive pace. The Warriors still defend well, holding opponents to 114.5 points per game (11th) and limiting threes at 34.7% (7th), while the Pelicans’ defense, though shaky overall, can at least force longer possessions. With Curry sidelined and New Orleans’ offense inefficient, this matchup projects more as a grind than a shootout, making the Under a strong angle.
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
Bet $5 & Get $150
