New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Tuesday January 27 2026
New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder picks take center stage on Tuesday night as these Western Conference rivals meet with very different momentum. Oklahoma City has owned this matchup for years, but injuries and recent form make this a tricky handicap for bettors hunting value in the NBA picks market.
TLDR - Picks and Prediction
- Spread: Oklahoma City -14.5
- Total: Over 233.5
- Projected Final Score: Thunder 129, Pelicans 112
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Stats to Know and Betting Trends for New Orleans vs Oklahoma City
- Oklahoma City has won 12 straight meetings against New Orleans.
- The Thunder covered the spread in eight straight meetings prior to the last matchup.
- New Orleans stayed within the number as a double-digit underdog in the mid-November meeting.
- Oklahoma City is 7-11 against the spread over its last 18 games.
- Four of the last five meetings have gone over the total.
- The Thunder have averaged 126.8 points per game in the last five head-to-head meetings.
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| New Orleans | +14.5 (-110) | Over 233.5 (-114) |
| Oklahoma City | -14.5 (-110) | Under 233.5 (-106) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | New Orleans | Oklahoma City |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/26 | 05:21 PM | +16.5 (-110) | -16.5 (-110) |
| 01/26 | 05:37 PM | +16 (-110) | -16 (-110) |
| 01/26 | 06:06 PM | +15 (-110) | -15 (-110) |
| 01/26 | 06:16 PM | +15 (-110) | -15 (-110) |
| 01/26 | 06:56 PM | +14.5 (-110) | -14.5 (-110) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/26 | 05:21 PM | 235.5 (-110) | 235.5 (-110) |
| 01/26 | 06:18 PM | 235 (-110) | 235 (-110) |
| 01/26 | 07:30 PM | 234.5 (-114) | 234.5 (-106) |
| 01/27 | 08:21 AM | 233.5 (-114) | 233.5 (-106) |
New Orleans vs Oklahoma City Game Preview and Analysis
Oklahoma City has completely controlled this series, winning the last 12 meetings and covering the spread in eight straight prior to the most recent matchup. Even with that dominance, the Thunder enter this game with some concerns after dropping back-to-back home games against Indiana and Toronto as heavy favorites.
The Thunder have struggled to shoot the ball recently, going just 11-of-43 from three-point range against Toronto while also losing the rebounding battle by 14. Over their last 18 games, Oklahoma City is just 11-7 straight up and has failed to cover more often than not.
New Orleans comes in riding confidence after back-to-back outright upset wins over Memphis and San Antonio. The Pelicans held the Spurs to their lowest scoring output of the season on Sunday, limiting Victor Wembanyama to 16 points on inefficient shooting.
That defensive showing was eye-opening, but it also came after a stretch where New Orleans allowed 127 points at Memphis, 119 at Houston, 127 at Indiana, and 128 at Orlando in its previous four road games. That makes it hard to fully buy into a sudden defensive turnaround.
Injuries loom large for Oklahoma City, but the Thunder’s offensive success in this matchup is hard to ignore. Even with New Orleans healthier than it has been in weeks, Oklahoma City’s pace and scoring history against the Pelicans point toward another high-scoring result.
Key Injuries and Notes (NOP and OKC)
- Oklahoma City is expected to be without Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, Ajay Mitchell, and Jalen Williams.
- Cason Wallace is questionable for the Thunder.
- New Orleans has no players listed on its injury report.
- Jose Alvarado and Herbert Jones returned to the lineup on Sunday.
Final Score Prediction
Thunder 129, Pelicans 112
ATS and Total Picks
- ATS Pick: Oklahoma City -14.5
- Total Pick: Over 233.5
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