New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs Picks and Prediction for Wednesday June 10 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 06/10/2026, 03:10 AM ET
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The San Antonio Spurs and New York Knicks continue the NBA Finals on Wednesday, June 10, 2026, when Game 4 tips off at Madison Square Garden in New York, New York. The game is scheduled for 8:30 PM and will be televised nationally on ABC. New York enters the contest holding a 2-1 series lead despite dropping the most recent game. The Knicks are listed as 2.5-point favorites with a moneyline of -125, while the Spurs are priced at +105. The total for the matchup is set at 216.5 points. Catch up on all the NBA action with our free NBA predictions.

Previous Game Recap & Box Score

San Antonio picked up a crucial 115-111 road victory in Game 3 to cut into New York's series lead. The Spurs opened strong with a 33-point first quarter before the Knicks responded with a huge second period to take momentum into halftime. San Antonio regained control in the third quarter with a 35-point frame and then held off New York's comeback attempts in the final period. The win gave the Spurs their first victory of the Finals and narrowed the series deficit to 2-1.

The Spurs received several strong performances from their starting lineup. Victor Wembanyama led the way with 32 points, eight rebounds, six assists, three blocks, and two steals while shooting 11-for-18 from the field. Stephon Castle added 23 points, five rebounds, and five assists, while Julian Champagnie contributed 12 points. De'Aaron Fox finished with 12 points and eight assists, and Devin Vassell chipped in 11 points. Dylan Harper also provided an important boost off the bench with 13 points and nine rebounds.

New York was led by Jalen Brunson, who scored 32 points while adding five rebounds and five assists. OG Anunoby had an efficient night with 28 points on 9-for-13 shooting and knocked down three three-pointers. Josh Hart contributed 16 points and nine rebounds, while Karl-Anthony Towns added 11 points and eight rebounds. Off the bench, Jordan Clarkson scored 10 points and Mitchell Robinson added five points and four rebounds, but it was not enough to prevent the Knicks from suffering their first loss of the series.

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Spurs Seeking to Even the Series

San Antonio enters Game 4 with an outstanding 62-20 overall record and a strong 29-12 mark away from home. The Spurs have won three of their last five games, including recent victories over New York once and Oklahoma City twice. Their two losses during that stretch both came against the Knicks. Most importantly, San Antonio is coming off the 115-111 victory in Game 3 that brought new life to the series.

The Spurs have been one of the league's top offensive teams throughout the season, averaging 119.8 points per game while shooting 48% from the field. They also average 47.0 rebounds and 28.1 assists per contest. Defensively, San Antonio allows 105.3 points per game while contributing 5.5 blocks and 7.5 steals.

One of San Antonio's biggest strengths is its ability to generate offense while controlling the glass. The Spurs hold advantages in scoring, rebounding, assists, and blocks compared to New York's season averages. Their 119.8 points per game rank among the most impressive figures in this matchup and have helped them remain competitive throughout the Finals.

Knicks Looking to Defend Home Court

New York enters Game 4 with a 53-29 overall record and an excellent 30-10 home record. The Knicks have won four of their last five games despite falling 115-111 in Game 3. During that stretch, New York recently won over San Antonio twice and Cleveland twice before suffering Monday's defeat at Madison Square Garden.

The Knicks have also been highly productive on both ends of the floor this season. New York averages 116.5 points per game while shooting 48% from the field. Defensively, the Knicks allow just 101.3 points per contest. They also average 45.6 rebounds, 27.4 assists, 3.9 blocks, and 8.1 steals per game.

The strongest statistical advantage for New York comes on the defensive side. The Knicks allow only 101.3 points per game compared to San Antonio's 105.3. While the offensive numbers between these teams are fairly close, New York's ability to limit scoring has been a major factor in helping the club reach the Finals and build a 2-1 series lead.

San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks Picks and Prediction

Side Pick

  • Pick: New York Knicks -2.5

This series has been extremely competitive, but New York still owns the series lead and returns to the floor with a 30-10 home record. The Knicks have won three of the four meetings included in the recent results and continue to pair elite scoring with the better defensive numbers. With New York allowing just 101.3 points per game during the season and playing at home, the slight edge goes to the Knicks to bounce back and cover the small number.

Total Pick

  • Pick: Under 216.5

The season defensive numbers point toward the under. New York allows only 101.3 points per game while San Antonio gives up 105.3. Although Game 3 finished with 226 total points, two of the first three Finals games were significantly lower scoring, ending 105-104 and 105-95. Based strictly on the information provided, the under appears to offer slightly more value.

Final Score Prediction: New York Knicks 109 – San Antonio Spurs 104

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