Phoenix Suns at Sacramento Kings Predictions, Picks, Odds and Line Movement for November 26

By: Josh Collacchi Published 11/26/2025, 10:13 AM ET
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Let's dive into our Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings pick for Tuesday night in Sacramento, where the Kings look to extend their recent surge and the Suns try to rebound from a blowout loss. Below are the opening odds, current odds, full line movement tables, key matchups, and our projected final score. For more NBA coverage and analytical projections, check the latest NBA picks.

Quick Picks and Prediction for Suns vs Kings

  • Side: Sacramento Kings -4
  • Total: Under 233
  • Projected Final Score: Sacramento 116, Phoenix 109
  • Confidence Rating (0–3): Side 2 / Total 2

Suns vs Kings Odds and Line Movement

You will find the opening odds and live current odds for Phoenix vs Sacramento below, followed by full line-movement tables based strictly on the provided market data.

Opening Odds

Market Phoenix Sacramento
Spread +3.5 (-112) -3.5 (-108)
Total 233 (o/u -110)

Current Odds

Market Phoenix Sacramento
Spread +4.5 (-106) -4.5 (-114)
Total Over 233 (-110) Under 233 (-110)

Line Movement - Spread

Date Time Phoenix Sacramento Public ($, #)
11/26 08:41:37am +4.5/-106 -4.5/-114 SAC 89%, 57%
11/26 06:06:08am +4.5/-108 -4.5/-112
11/25 10:51:34pm +4/-108 -4/-112
11/25 07:37:12pm +4/-110 -4/-110
11/25 06:30:39pm +3.5/-114 -3.5/-106
11/25 06:06:37pm +3.5/-112 -3.5/-108

Line Movement - Total

Date Time Over Under Public ($, #)
11/25 06:06:37pm 233/o-110 233/u-110

Kings vs Suns Key Matchups and Handicap

The home team has won each of the last four meetings between these Western Conference rivals, including Phoenix’s 120–116 victory in the opening week of the season. Entering tonight, the Suns’ momentum cooled after a decisive loss to Houston, yet they remain 8–2 straight-up and ATS in their last ten. Sacramento comes in hotter: the Kings have just notched back-to-back upsets as double-digit underdogs against Denver and Minnesota, with five of their last six staying under the total. Phoenix continues to manage injuries to Ryan Dunn and Grayson Allen, thinning their wing depth and perimeter defense. Sacramento may be without Dennis Schroder, but Keegan Murray’s return has been a major shift. The Kings have clearly embraced Doug Christie’s approach more fully over the last two weeks, defending more cohesively and cutting down on unforced turnovers. Their improved half-court execution has also reduced the wild swings that plagued them earlier this season. With both teams on equal rest and Phoenix’s rotation still incomplete, Sacramento’s current form and home-court edge create a compelling matchup advantage. The Kings’ defensive tightening, combined with Phoenix’s reduced spacing without Allen, pushes this toward Sacramento in both matchup quality and situational context.
  • The home team has won four straight meetings.
  • PHX is 8–2 ATS in its last ten games.
  • SAC has pulled off consecutive double-digit upset wins.
  • Five of the Kings’ last six games have gone under.

SAC and PHX Key Injuries and Notes

  • Ryan Dunn — Out (Suns)
  • Grayson Allen — Out (Suns)
  • Dennis Schroder — Questionable (Kings)
Phoenix’s wing absences limit their defensive versatility and reduce catch-and-shoot reliability. Sacramento’s lone major concern is Schroder’s availability, though Murray’s return helps stabilize rotations on both ends of the floor.

Suns vs Kings ATS and Total Picks

Based on matchup tendencies, injury situations, and recent form, here are the official selections.

Suns vs Kings Spread

  • Pick: Sacramento Kings -4

Total for Suns vs Kings

  • Pick: Under 233

Suns vs Kings Final Score Prediction

  • Projected Score: Sacramento 116, Phoenix 109
The Kings’ recent defensive improvement, combined with Phoenix’s depleted perimeter rotation, suggests Sacramento can dictate pace and force the Suns into less efficient half-court possessions. While Phoenix still carries strong ATS momentum, Sacramento’s home form and improved shot discipline provide a clearer path to a modest, controlled victory that keeps the total under the posted number.

Stats to Know for Suns vs Kings

Five of Sacramento’s last six games have stayed under the total, and Phoenix’s injuries reduce their spacing in key late-clock scenarios. The home team has won four straight in this matchup, and the Kings’ defense has made noticeable strides since Murray’s return. Combine that with Phoenix entering off a blowout loss, and the statistical profile points toward a Kings cover and an under.
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