Phoenix Suns vs. Golden State Warriors Prediction and Picks for Tuesday, November 4th, 2025
Use Code SSWC The NBA action continues on Tuesday, and we have an entertaining Western Conference showdown on the schedule between the Phoenix Suns (3-4) and the Golden State Warriors (4-3). We’ve got you covered with our Suns vs. Warriors prediction. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET from the Chase Center in San Francisco, CA. Read on for free NBA picks on this game, and check out that link for other game breakdowns.
Suns Win Second Straight Game
There was quite a bit of turnover with the Phoenix Suns this past offseason, including bringing in a new coach in Jordan Ott, while also seeing Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal depart. So far in 2025-26, the Suns are a pedestrian 3-4. They’ve won their last two games, taking care of the Jazz (118-96) and the Spurs (130-118), more recently. From a sports betting perspective, Phoenix is 4-3 ATS and 5-2 to the over.
Sunday’s 130-118 home win over the Spurs saw the Suns cover as 4.5-point underdogs. Devin Booker led the way with a double-double, scoring 28 points while dishing out 13 assists. From the team level, Phoenix held edges in field goal rate (58.2% to 45.9%) and three-point shooting (57.6% to 24.4%), while San Antonio was better in turnovers (14 to 20) and rebounding (41 to 39).
- Phoenix is averaging 118.3 points per game, which is the 12th-most in the Association.
- The Suns are currently ranked 18th in field goal rate (46.5%) and 11th in three-point shooting (37.5%).
- Defensively, they are 19th in efficiency, conceding 114.0 points per 100 possessions.
- Injury Report: F Dillon Brooks (groin) and G Jalen Green (hamstring) are out for Tuesday’s game.
Warriors Handled By Pacers
The Golden State Warriors entered the year with one of the oldest rosters ever, but so far it has worked out for them since they’re 4-3. This puts them in eighth place in the Western Conference. The Warriors are returning from a two-game road trip to the Midwest, where they dropped both games to the Bucks (120-110) and the Pacers (114-109), more recently. Golden State enters the new week at 4-3 ATS and 5-2 to the over.
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Golden State was a massive 10.5-point road favorite over Indiana on Saturday, so they didn’t cover in the 114-109 outright loss. The Pacers were better in every major category, including field goal rate (44.9% to 43.3%), three-point shooting (30.3% to 27.3%), turnovers (12 to 16), and rebounding (47 to 44). Steph Curry led the way individually, dropping 24 points on an 8-23 (34.8%) shooting night.
- The Warriors are scoring 117.6 points per game, which is the 14th-most in the NBA.
- They own a field goal rate of 46.8% (17th), while cashing 38.0% of their triples (10th).
- Golden State’s defense is 10th in efficiency, allowing 110.4 points per 100 possessions.
- Injury Report: C Al Horford (toe) is out on Tuesday.
Suns vs. Warriors Pick
Spread Pick for Suns vs. Warriors
- Phoenix Suns +10.5 (-110) (5 units)
The Warriors should definitely be favored in this game, and I expect them to win, but I also think laying double digits is a bit too much for this matchup. For starters, the Suns have won their last two games outright, while the Warriors are in the midst of an 0-2 SU slide. Phoenix has also covered nine out of the last 12 meetings between the teams, as well as going 9-4 SU in the last 13 meetings.
Ultimately, with the way the Suns play, it’s pretty hit-or-miss with them. But they rank fourth in three-pointers attempted (43.9) and are first in three-pointers made per game (16.4), so if they have a decent shooting night, then I expect them to keep this final score within the number.
Over/Under Pick for Suns vs. Warriors
- Over 231.5 (-110) (5 units)
I’ll play the over as well. Phoenix is one of the quicker teams in the Association, using 106.0 possessions per game (seventh). Golden State hasn’t played since Saturday, so they’re refreshed and should be willing to run the floor with the visitors. Additionally, both offenses are scoring at least 117 points per game this season.
Neither defense has been lights out this year, each ranking 10th or lower in defensive efficiency. These teams typically play higher-scoring games, as the over is 8-4 in the last 12 meetings between them. The over is also 7-2 in Golden State's last nine games overall. Let’s play the over in this battle of teams that love shooting the triple.
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