Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction and Picks - December 1, 2025
NBA action on Monday evening, and we have a Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Lakers prediction locked and loaded for you. The Suns enter this game off a 130-112 home loss to the Nuggets, which dropped them to 12-9 on the year. The Lakers come in at 133-121 home win over the Pelicans, which moves them to 15-4 on the year. These teams split the 4 meetings a year ago. Read on to see our Suns vs Lakers prediction.
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Suns Fade Out Against Nuggets
The Suns’ most recent game was a 130-112 home loss to the Denver Nuggets on November 30, where Nikola Jokic dominated with 26 points, 10 assists, and nine rebounds, while Jamal Murray added 24. Phoenix got 27 points from Dillon Brooks and 24 from Devin Booker, who went 14-of-15 at the free-throw line, but the Nuggets’ hot shooting from deep (22-of-38 threes, 57.9%) proved too much. That setback dropped Phoenix to 12-9, and now they head into Los Angeles for the second leg of this home-and-home series.
Offensively, Phoenix has been steady, averaging 116.7 points per game (18th) while shooting 46.7% from the field (16th) and 37.4% from three (6th). Booker remains the focal point, but Brooks’ emergence as a secondary scorer has given them another weapon. Grayson Allen’s return from injury adds perimeter spacing, and Bradley Beal’s ability to create off the dribble helps balance the attack. Their free-throw shooting is strong at 79.9% (12th), and they rebound at 43.4 per game (20th), which keeps them competitive even when shots aren’t falling.
Defensively, the Suns allow 114.0 points per game (9th) and hold opponents to 47.0% shooting (17th). They’ve been solid against the three, limiting opponents to 35.8% (13th), but their weakness has been at the line, where opponents hit 81.0% (29th). Jusuf Nurkic provides size inside, but the Suns’ rotations have been inconsistent, especially against teams with multiple perimeter threats. Against the Lakers’ efficient offense, Phoenix will need to tighten up defensively and avoid giving away easy points at the stripe.
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The Lakers Have Won Seven In A Row
The Lakers’ most recent game was a 133-121 win over the New Orleans Pelicans, where Luka Doncic set the tone early with 20 first-quarter points en route to 34 overall, while Austin Reaves poured in 33 points and eight assists. Deandre Ayton added 22 points and 12 rebounds, and Anthony Davis chipped in 18. Los Angeles erupted for 46 points in the opening quarter, their highest-scoring frame of the season, and never looked back despite a late Pelicans rally. Importantly, the Lakers did this without LeBron James, who sat out with a sore foot, showing off the depth and balance that has fueled their seven-game win streak.
Offensively, the Lakers have been one of the most efficient teams in the league, averaging 119.6 points per game (8th) while leading the NBA in field-goal percentage at 51.3%. Doncic and Reaves have stepped up as primary creators, combining perimeter scoring with playmaking, while Ayton and Davis provide a reliable interior presence. Even without LeBron, the Lakers’ depth carried them, and their ability to score efficiently from multiple spots on the floor makes them a nightmare matchup. Their free-throw shooting sits at 79.8% (13th), and while rebounding at 41.1 per game (26th) isn’t elite, their shooting efficiency often offsets the lack of second-chance opportunities.
Defensively, Los Angeles allows 115.4 points per game (13th), and while opponents shoot 47.9% (23rd), their rebounding has been elite (39.2 defensive boards per game, 2nd). Davis and Ayton give them rim protection, while Doncic and Reaves use their size to disrupt passing lanes. Against Phoenix, the Lakers’ ability to control tempo and force the Suns into half-court sets will be critical, especially with Booker and Beal capable of heating up quickly. Riding a seven-game win streak and fresh off a statement win without LeBron, the Lakers enter this rematch with confidence and momentum squarely on their side.
Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Lakers Pick
Suns vs Lakers Spread Pick
- Lakers -5.5 (5 Units)
The Lakers -5.5 looks like the right side given how dominant they’ve looked recently, especially in their 133-121 win over New Orleans where Luka Doncic and Austin Reaves combined for 67 points and carried the offense without LeBron James. Even shorthanded, Los Angeles put up 46 points in the first quarter and shot over 50% from the field, showing off the efficiency that has them ranked 1st in the NBA in FG% at 51.3. With Anthony Davis and Deandre Ayton controlling the paint, the Lakers have multiple ways to attack, and their depth has proven capable of stepping up when stars sit. Against Phoenix, who just gave up 130 points to Denver, the Lakers’ offensive balance and pace should give them the edge to cover.
Defensively, Los Angeles isn’t perfect, allowing 115.4 points per game (13th), but their rebounding presence (39.2 defensive boards per game, 2nd) limits second-chance opportunities and forces opponents into tough half-court possessions. Phoenix relies heavily on Devin Booker’s scoring and Dillon Brooks’ secondary production, but the Suns’ defense has been shaky, giving up 114 points per game (9th) and allowing opponents to shoot 47% (17th). With the Lakers riding a seven-game win streak and proving they can win convincingly even without LeBron, laying the -5.5 feels justified — their efficiency, depth, and momentum make them the stronger side in this rematch.
Suns vs Lakers Over/Under Pick
- Under 235 (4 Units)
The Under 235 looks like a sharp angle because while both teams have offensive firepower, the recent trends point toward a slower, more controlled game. The Lakers just beat New Orleans 133-121, but that was fueled by a 46-point first quarter and an unusually hot shooting night from Luka Doncic and Austin Reaves. Phoenix, meanwhile, gave up 130 to Denver but typically plays at a steadier pace, averaging 116.7 points per game (18th) with strong three-point efficiency but not the kind of tempo that consistently pushes totals into the 230s. Defensively, Los Angeles has been solid on the glass (39.2 defensive rebounds per game, 2nd) and forces opponents into half-court sets, while Phoenix allows just 114 points per game (9th) and defends the perimeter well (35.8% opponent three-point shooting, 13th). With LeBron James sidelined, the Lakers lean more on Doncic and Davis to control possessions, which naturally slows pace compared to their full lineup. Add in the fact that both teams rebound well and limit second-chance scoring, and the matchup sets up for a total that stays below 235 despite the star power on the floor.
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