Phoenix Suns vs Memphis Grizzlies Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Wednesday January 7 2026
Suns vs Grizzlies picks are in focus for this Western Conference matchup, and this game sets up as a strong betting opportunity based on recent form and market movement. I am breaking down the spread, total, and matchup using only the numbers and trends that matter most while keeping bettors aligned with today’s NBA picks.
TLDR - Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Suns -4
- Total Pick: Under 232
- Projected Final Score: Suns 118, Grizzlies 112
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Stats to Know and Betting Trends for Suns vs Grizzlies
- Memphis has won each of the last six meetings against Phoenix.
- Four of the last five meetings between these teams have stayed under the total.
- Memphis is on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- Phoenix is 7-3 straight up and 9-1 against the spread over its last ten games.
- The Suns rank No. 4 in net rating and No. 3 in defensive rating over the last ten games.
- Phoenix has played back-to-back games decided by three points or fewer.
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Phoenix | -4 | -110 |
| Memphis | +4 | -110 |
| Bet | Total | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 232 | -106 |
| Under | 232 | -114 |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Phoenix | Memphis |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06 | 11:32:19PM | -2.5 (-112) | +2.5 (-108) |
| 01/06 | 11:41:05PM | -3.5 (-110) | +3.5 (-110) |
| 01/07 | 01:12:29AM | -4 (-110) | +4 (-110) |
| 01/07 | 01:13:39AM | -4.5 (-110) | +4.5 (-110) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06 | 11:32:19PM | 226 (-110) | 226 (-110) |
| 01/07 | 01:03:55AM | 227 (-110) | 227 (-110) |
| 01/07 | 01:04:19AM | 228 (-110) | 228 (-110) |
| 01/07 | 01:07:36AM | 229 (-110) | 229 (-110) |
| 01/07 | 01:07:57AM | 230 (-106) | 230 (-114) |
| 01/07 | 06:14:53AM | 230 (-114) | 230 (-106) |
| 01/07 | 06:15:10AM | 231 (-114) | 231 (-106) |
| 01/07 | 07:22:36AM | 232 (-110) | 232 (-110) |
Suns vs Grizzlies Game Preview and Analysis
Memphis has dominated this series recently, winning six straight meetings, including a 114-113 road win in Phoenix earlier this season. Despite that history, the current form of these teams points in a different direction.
The Grizzlies are on the second leg of a back-to-back after a hard-fought one-point home win over San Antonio. After falling behind by double digits early, Memphis leaned heavily on its defense to secure the win, holding the Spurs to 37.3 percent shooting. That effort snapped a four-game losing streak but came at a cost with multiple rotation players sidelined.
Phoenix has been battle-tested as well, playing consecutive games decided by three points or fewer. The Suns beat Oklahoma City at home before dropping a narrow road game in Houston. Over the last ten games, Phoenix has been one of the most efficient teams in the league, ranking near the top in both net rating and defensive rating.
From a betting perspective, this number feels slightly inflated toward Memphis due to recent head-to-head results. With the Grizzlies dealing with injuries and fatigue, I am comfortable backing a Suns team that has consistently covered numbers and proven it can compete with elite competition.
PHX and MEM Key Injuries and Notes
- PHX: Jamaree Bouyea has been ruled out.
- PHX: Jalen Green has been ruled out.
- MEM: Ja Morant missed Tuesday’s game but has a chance to return.
- MEM: Cedric Coward missed Tuesday’s game but has a chance to return.
- MEM: John Konchar missed Tuesday’s game.
- MEM: Brandon Clarke missed Tuesday’s game.
- MEM: Zach Edey missed Tuesday’s game and could return soon.
Final Score Prediction
- Phoenix 118
- Memphis 112
ATS and Total Picks
- Against the Spread: Suns -4
- Total: Under 232
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