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Sacramento Kings at Denver Nuggets Picks and Prediction for Monday, November 3, 2025

By: Justin Walker Published 11/03/2025, 03:44 AM ET
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The Sacramento Kings (2-4), 13th in the Western Conference, are set to face off against the Denver Nuggets (3-2), the Western Conference’s sixth-place team, on November 3rd at 9:00 PM ET at Ball Arena as we look at the Kings vs. Nuggets prediction. The Kings are coming off a 135-133 road win on Saturday against the Milwaukee Bucks, while the Nuggets are coming off Friday’s 109-107 road loss against the Portland Trail Blazers. This is the first of three games against each other, as they will play all three games in November. Trends, injuries, matchups — NBA predictions for Sacramento Kings at Denver Nuggets.

Kings Searching for Answers

The Sacramento Kings, positioned in 13th place in the Western Conference with a 2-4 record, are looking to continue improving as the season goes on. They were able to keep the game close, but wound up losing on the road to the Milwaukee Bucks 135-133, and it does not help when the Bucks were able to shoot 59.8% from the field and 46.9% from beyond the arc.

On offense, Sacramento has been struggling to score the basketball well as they are 21st in the sport as they average 115.0 points per game thus far while shooting 48.1% from the floor and 37.0% from beyond the arc. Shooting guard Zach LaVine has been leading the way with 29.5 points, 3.2 rebounds, and 1.7 assists so far this season.

Defensively, the Kings are struggling as well as they are 20th in the NBA with 119.5 points per game allowed. They are also giving up 49.8% overall and 35.6% from the 3-point line.

Injury Report for Sacramento

  • Shooting guard Malik Monk: Personal (Questionable)
  • Power forward Keegan Murray: Thumb (OUT)

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Nuggets Looking to Continue Playing Well

The Denver Nuggets are standing in sixth place in the Western Conference to open the season with a 3-2 record as they look to figure things out as the season gets going. They are coming off a 109-107 road loss against the Portland Trail Blazers, and it doesn’t help when the team turns the basketball over 19 times.

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Offensively, the Nuggets are scoring the basketball at an outstanding level as they are fourth in the association, averaging 124.0 points per game. The shooting numbers have stepped up as well, with the team shooting 51.8% from the field and 35.4% from the 3-point line. Point guard Jamal Murray has been leading the team offensively as he is posting 26.0 points, 4.6 rebounds, and 5.4 assists per game thus far.

Defensively, Denver has been an incredible team as they are fourth with 111.8 points per game given up. They are allowing the opposition to shoot 44.2% overall and 31.2% from distance.

Injury Report for Denver

No injuries to report

Sacramento Kings at Denver Nuggets Pick

Spread Pick for Sacramento Kings at Denver Nuggets

  • Denver Nuggets to cover (5 units)

The Denver Nuggets are clearly a better team throughout the beginning of the season as well as overall. With the dynamic duo of Jamal Murray and Nikola Jokic, the Kings do not have anywhere near the firepower to keep this game close at this point. The net ratings for these teams show a significant difference as Denver is fourth in the league with an 11.5 net rating, while Sacramento is down at 24th with a -3.9 net rating up to this point. Denver has covered the spread in four of the previous five games against Sacramento, so go with the Denver Nuggets to cover the spread here.

Over/Under Pick for Sacramento Kings at Denver Nuggets

  • Under (4 units)

Both teams are struggling to push the pace throughout the opening few weeks of the season as the Kings are 18th with a 101.25 pace while the Nuggets are 20th with a 100.11 pace right now. They also are able to defend the perimeter at an outstanding level up to this point as Sacramento is 12th in the league with a 25.6 opposing 3-point percentage, while Denver is third in the NBA with a 31.2 3-point percentage against. All in all, go with the Denver Nuggets to cover the spread as the better bet for this game.

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