Sacramento Kings at Indiana Pacers Prediction, Picks, Odds Movement, and Trends for December 8 2025
Sacramento Kings vs Indiana Pacers prediction for Monday night as these two teams meet in an intriguing NBA matchup. Below you will find opening and current odds, full line movement tables, key matchups, and our projected final score. For additional insights and breakdowns, check the latest NBA picks.
Quick Picks and Prediction: Kings vs Pacers
- Side: Indiana Pacers -3.5
- Total: Under 234.5
- Projected Final Score: Indiana Pacers 121, Sacramento Kings 113
Odds and Line Movement: SAC vs IND
The Pacers opened as modest favorites at home and remain in that role as the market stabilizes around a possession to two-possession line. Total movement has fluctuated in the mid-230s with slight downward pressure as early action arrived.
Opening Odds
| Market | Sacramento Kings | Indiana Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3.5 (-110) | -3.5 (-110) |
| Total | 234.0 (over/under -110) | |
Current Odds
| Market | Sacramento Kings | Indiana Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3.5 (-106) | -3.5 (-114) |
| Total | Over 234.0 (-110) | Under 234.0 (-110) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Sacramento | Indiana | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | 05:08:30am | +3.5 (-106) | -3.5 (-114) | |
| 12/07 | 07:07:45pm | +3.5 (-110) | -3.5 (-110) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | 06:13:09am | 234.5 o(-110) | 234.5 u(-110) | |
| 12/08 | 08:08:57am | 233.5 o(-114) | 233.5 u(-106) | |
| 12/07 | 11:11:26pm | 233.5 o(-110) | 233.5 u(-110) | |
| 12/07 | 10:38:45pm | 233.5 o(-112) | 233.5 u(-108) | |
| 12/07 | 07:48:24pm | 234.0 o(-108) | 234.0 u(-112) | |
| 12/07 | 07:18:26pm | 234.0 o(-108) | 234.0 u(-112) | |
| 12/07 | 07:07:45pm | 234.0 o(-112) | 234.0 u(-108) |
Key Matchups and Handicap: Kings vs Pacers
Indiana won both meetings last season and comes in well-rested after having the weekend off. Four of the Pacers last five games have been at home, giving them a comfort advantage as they continue to find rhythm. Indiana is 4-5 straight-up and 7-2 against the spread over its last nine contests, playing some of its best basketball of the season as their net rating has climbed to No. 14 over the past ten games.
This is the third game of a road swing for Sacramento, which split its first two outings by losing in Houston before earning a solid road upset win over Miami. The Kings have seen five of their last six games stay under the total, and the availability of Dennis Schroeder and Keegan Murray will be crucial here. Murray is averaging nearly 38 minutes per game since returning from injury, but he is now dealing with a trap muscle issue on his right side. Sacramento struggled significantly without him earlier in the season, and a limited or ineffective version of Murray could pose major challenges. Indiana’s up-tempo offense may be able to exploit a weakened Kings defense if rotations tighten or minutes become restricted.
Betting Trends: SAC vs IND
- Indiana won both meetings last season.
- Pacers are 7-2 ATS across their last nine games.
- Five of the Kings last six games have stayed under the total.
Key Injuries and Notes: SAC vs IND
- Dennis Schroeder and Keegan Murray are questionable for Sacramento.
- Indiana’s early injury report is clean.
ATS and Total Picks: Kings vs Pacers
Indiana has shown meaningful improvement and carries both rest and continuity edges into this matchup, while Sacramento may be compromised if Murray is limited.
Spread Pick
- Pick: Indiana Pacers -3.5
Total Pick
- Pick: Under 234.5
Final Score Prediction
Indiana Pacers 121, Sacramento Kings 113
Stats to Know for Kings vs Pacers
- Indiana is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games.
- Five of Sacramento’s last six games have gone under the posted total.
- Indiana’s net rating over the last ten games ranks No. 14 in the NBA.