San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Tuesday January 6 2026
San Antonio vs Memphis picks are on the board for a matchup that sets up well for bettors looking for value, and I am breaking it all down using only what the market and recent results are telling us. This game checks several important boxes when I look for sharp NBA picks, including recent head-to-head dominance, road form, and injury-driven volatility.
TLDR - Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: San Antonio -5.5
- Total Pick: Under 239
- Projected Final Score: San Antonio 121, Memphis 113
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Stats to Know and Betting Trends for San Antonio vs Memphis
- San Antonio has won and covered each of the last three meetings with Memphis.
- The most recent meeting was a 126-119 Spurs home win on December 2.
- San Antonio is 6-0 straight-up and 5-1 against the spread in its last six road games.
- Memphis is 1-6 against the spread this season as a home underdog.
- Both teams are on the front end of a back-to-back.
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| San Antonio | -5.5 (-114) | Over 239 (-108) |
| Memphis | +5.5 (-106) | Under 239 (-112) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | San Antonio | Memphis |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05 | 08:52:36 PM | -5 (-110) | +5 (-110) |
| 01/05 | 08:55:25 PM | -5.5 (-110) | +5.5 (-110) |
| 01/05 | 11:53:11 PM | -5.5 (-114) | +5.5 (-106) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05 | 08:52:36 PM | 237 (-110) | 237 (-110) |
| 01/05 | 08:55:26 PM | 238 (-110) | 238 (-110) |
| 01/06 | 07:22:17 AM | 239 (-110) | 239 (-110) |
| 01/06 | 07:24:24 AM | 239 (-108) | 239 (-112) |
San Antonio vs Memphis Game Preview and Analysis
San Antonio comes into this matchup off a frustrating home loss to Portland, but I am much more interested in how the Spurs have looked away from home. They have embraced life on the road, going 6-0 straight-up and 5-1 against the spread in their last six road games. That trend matters even more here given Memphis just returned from a rough trip to Los Angeles.
The Grizzlies were swept in a two-game set against the Lakers and blew a double-digit halftime lead on Sunday, getting out-scored 66-49 after the break. Memphis also logged heavy travel mileage, which is not ideal with another game coming Wednesday.
San Antonio has already shown it can beat Memphis without a full roster. The Spurs won last month without Victor Wembanyama, and while his status is still important to monitor, the matchup history shows San Antonio has multiple paths to success.
Memphis continues to struggle in the underdog role at home, and with several rotation players unavailable, I have a hard time trusting them to close the gap late.
Key Injuries and Notes - SAS and MEM
- Devin Vassell is expected to remain out for San Antonio.
- Victor Wembanyama is listed as questionable after missing the last two games with a knee injury.
- Brandon Clarke, Zach Edey, Vince Williams Jr., and John Konchar are out for Memphis.
- Ja Morant and Cedric Coward are listed as questionable.
- Morant did not play in the most recent loss to the Lakers due to a calf injury.
Final Score Prediction
- San Antonio 121, Memphis 113
ATS and Total Picks
- Against the Spread: San Antonio -5.5
- Over Under: Under 239
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