San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Tuesday January 6 2026

By: Kyle Kargel Published 01/06/2026, 10:58 AM ET
Spurs vs Mavericks prediction
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San Antonio vs Memphis picks are on the board for a matchup that sets up well for bettors looking for value, and I am breaking it all down using only what the market and recent results are telling us. This game checks several important boxes when I look for sharp NBA picks, including recent head-to-head dominance, road form, and injury-driven volatility.

TLDR - Picks and Prediction

  • Spread Pick: San Antonio -5.5
  • Total Pick: Under 239
  • Projected Final Score: San Antonio 121, Memphis 113
  • San Antonio has won and covered each of the last three meetings with Memphis.
  • The most recent meeting was a 126-119 Spurs home win on December 2.
  • San Antonio is 6-0 straight-up and 5-1 against the spread in its last six road games.
  • Memphis is 1-6 against the spread this season as a home underdog.
  • Both teams are on the front end of a back-to-back.

Odds and Line Movement

Current Odds

Team Spread Total
San Antonio -5.5 (-114) Over 239 (-108)
Memphis +5.5 (-106) Under 239 (-112)

Line Movement - Spread

Date Time San Antonio Memphis
01/05 08:52:36 PM -5 (-110) +5 (-110)
01/05 08:55:25 PM -5.5 (-110) +5.5 (-110)
01/05 11:53:11 PM -5.5 (-114) +5.5 (-106)

Line Movement - Total

Date Time Over Under
01/05 08:52:36 PM 237 (-110) 237 (-110)
01/05 08:55:26 PM 238 (-110) 238 (-110)
01/06 07:22:17 AM 239 (-110) 239 (-110)
01/06 07:24:24 AM 239 (-108) 239 (-112)

San Antonio vs Memphis Game Preview and Analysis

San Antonio comes into this matchup off a frustrating home loss to Portland, but I am much more interested in how the Spurs have looked away from home. They have embraced life on the road, going 6-0 straight-up and 5-1 against the spread in their last six road games. That trend matters even more here given Memphis just returned from a rough trip to Los Angeles.

The Grizzlies were swept in a two-game set against the Lakers and blew a double-digit halftime lead on Sunday, getting out-scored 66-49 after the break. Memphis also logged heavy travel mileage, which is not ideal with another game coming Wednesday.

San Antonio has already shown it can beat Memphis without a full roster. The Spurs won last month without Victor Wembanyama, and while his status is still important to monitor, the matchup history shows San Antonio has multiple paths to success.

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Memphis continues to struggle in the underdog role at home, and with several rotation players unavailable, I have a hard time trusting them to close the gap late.

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Key Injuries and Notes - SAS and MEM

  • Devin Vassell is expected to remain out for San Antonio.
  • Victor Wembanyama is listed as questionable after missing the last two games with a knee injury.
  • Brandon Clarke, Zach Edey, Vince Williams Jr., and John Konchar are out for Memphis.
  • Ja Morant and Cedric Coward are listed as questionable.
  • Morant did not play in the most recent loss to the Lakers due to a calf injury.

Final Score Prediction

  • San Antonio 121, Memphis 113

ATS and Total Picks

  • Against the Spread: San Antonio -5.5
  • Over Under: Under 239
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