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San Antonio Spurs at New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, Picks, Odds Movement, and Trends for December 8 2025

By: Kyle Kargel Published 12/08/2025, 09:41 AM ET

San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction for Monday night as these Southwest Division foes meet for the third time this season. Below you will find opening and current odds, full line movement tables, key matchups, and our projected final score. For more analysis and breakdowns, check the latest NBA picks.

Quick Picks and Prediction: Spurs vs Pelicans

  • Side: New Orleans Pelicans +9.5
  • Total: Over 236.0
  • Projected Final Score: San Antonio Spurs 121, New Orleans Pelicans 118

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Odds and Line Movement: SAS vs NOP

The market opened with New Orleans catching multiple possessions, and early movement has bounced between -9.5 and -10 depending on the book. Total action has hovered in the high 230s, with both over and under seeing alternating surges as limits increased.

Opening Odds

Market San Antonio Spurs New Orleans Pelicans
Spread -9.5 (-110) +9.5 (-110)
Total 237.0 (over/under -110)

Current Odds

Market San Antonio Spurs New Orleans Pelicans
Spread -9.5 (-110) +9.5 (-110)
Total Over 236.0 (-110) Under 236.0 (-110)

Line Movement - Spread

Date Time San Antonio New Orleans Public ($, #)
12/08 07:53:10am -9.5 (-110) +9.5 (-110)
12/08 07:17:08am -10 (-110) +10 (-110)
12/08 07:09:54am -10 (-108) +10 (-112)
12/08 06:48:55am -10 (-110) +10 (-110)
12/08 06:45:20am -9.5 (-110) +9.5 (-110)
12/08 05:09:35am -10 (-108) +10 (-112)
12/07 11:57:44pm -9.5 (-110) +9.5 (-110)
12/07 11:28:01pm -9.5 (-105) +9.5 (-115)
12/07 08:14:44pm -10 (-110) +10 (-110)
12/07 08:11:34pm -10 (-110) +10 (-110)
12/07 07:50:38pm -10 (-108) +10 (-112)
12/07 07:44:52pm -10 (-110) +10 (-110)
12/07 07:41:50pm -9.5 (-110) +9.5 (-110)

Line Movement - Total

Date Time Over Under Public ($, #)
12/08 06:48:02am 236.5 o(-108) 236.5 u(-112)
12/08 02:08:02am 236 o(-110) 236 u(-110)
12/07 10:46:03pm 236.5 o(-112) 236.5 u(-108)
12/07 10:45:43pm 237 o(-108) 237 u(-112)
12/07 10:45:02pm 237 o(-108) 237 u(-112)
12/07 07:41:51pm 237 o(-112) 237 u(-108)

Key Matchups and Handicap: Spurs vs Pelicans

This is the third meeting between the Spurs and Pelicans this season, and San Antonio has won each of the first two. The Spurs are deep into a long road trip, with six of their last seven games played away from home. After this contest, they will head to Los Angeles to face the Lakers, creating a classic look-ahead situation. Four of San Antonio’s last five games have gone over the total as the Spurs continue to play at a high pace with defensive inconsistency.

New Orleans will be without Jordan Poole and Zion Williamson, while Herbert Jones is hopeful to return from a calf injury. Despite the absences, the Pelicans have quietly covered five of their last seven home games. That mark arguably should be 6-1, as New Orleans pushed Memphis into overtime before the Grizzlies covered by a single basket in the extra period. On the Spurs side, Victor Wembanyama will not play, though he has returned to practice and appears close to a return later this week. Stephon Castle is questionable after missing three weeks with a hip injury, though even limited minutes may help steady the Spurs perimeter rotation.

New Orleans ranks No. 18 in offensive rating across its last ten games, indicating some progress, while San Antonio’s travel spot and upcoming schedule raise concerns about focus. With the Pelicans fighting through injuries but still finding ways to compete, this number looks a shade high for a home underdog.

  • New Orleans is 5-2 ATS in its last seven home games.
  • Four of the Spurs last five games have gone over the total.
  • San Antonio has won both meetings against New Orleans this season.

Key Injuries and Notes: SAS vs NOP

  • San Antonio: Victor Wembanyama out, Stephon Castle questionable with a hip injury.
  • New Orleans: Jordan Poole and Zion Williamson ruled out, Herbert Jones hopeful to return.

ATS and Total Picks: Spurs vs Pelicans

With San Antonio potentially looking ahead to the Lakers and New Orleans continuing to compete well at home, the Pelicans appear capable of keeping this within the number.

Spread Pick

  • Pick: New Orleans Pelicans +9.5

Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 236.0

Final Score Prediction

San Antonio Spurs 121, New Orleans Pelicans 118

Stats to Know for Spurs vs Pelicans

  • New Orleans is 5-2 ATS in its last seven home games.
  • Four of the Spurs last five games have gone over the posted total.
  • New Orleans has shown improvement with a No. 18 offensive rating over its last ten games.
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