San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Thursday February 5 2026
Spurs vs Mavericks picks headline this Lone Star State showdown as San Antonio heads to Dallas in a matchup that has quietly tilted in one direction over the last few meetings. With recent head-to-head results, schedule context, and strong total trends all lining up, this game offers clear betting angles. I break it all down below with the numbers, market movement, and how I am playing it. You can also find more value with my latest NBA picks.
TLDR - Picks and Prediction
- Spread: Spurs -7.5
- Total: Under 228.5
- Projected Final Score: Spurs 118, Mavericks 106
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Stats to Know and Betting Trends for Spurs vs Mavericks
- San Antonio has won and covered the last two meetings against Dallas.
- The most recent meeting was a 125-92 Spurs road win in Dallas.
- The under is 22-4 in San Antonio’s last 26 games.
- The under is 11-5 in Dallas’ last 16 games.
- San Antonio snapped a seven-game under streak in its last game.
- Dallas enters on a five-game losing streak.
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Team | Spread |
|---|---|
| San Antonio | -7.5 (-108) |
| Dallas | +7.5 (-112) |
| Total | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 228.5 | -110 | -110 |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | San Antonio | Dallas | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05 | 09:18 AM | -7.5 (-108) | +7.5 (-112) | DAL 61%, DAL 71% |
| 02/05 | 07:58 AM | -6.5 (-114) | +6.5 (-106) | DAL 71%, DAL 63% |
| 02/05 | 12:01 AM | -6.5 (-108) | +6.5 (-112) | |
| 02/04 | 09:49 PM | -6.5 (-110) | +6.5 (-110) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05 | 07:50 AM | 228.5 (-110) | 228.5 (-110) | OV 100%, OV 100% |
| 02/05 | 07:50 AM | 227.5 (-114) | 227.5 (-106) | OV 100%, OV 100% |
| 02/05 | 07:36 AM | 226.5 (-112) | 226.5 (-108) | OV 100%, OV 100% |
| 02/05 | 07:15 AM | 226.5 (-110) | 226.5 (-110) | OV 100%, OV 100% |
| 02/05 | 06:15 AM | 225.5 (-110) | 225.5 (-110) |
Spurs vs Mavericks Game Preview and Analysis
San Antonio comes into this game on the second night of a back-to-back, but the context matters. The Spurs were handed a favorable setup against Oklahoma City, and Victor Wembanyama logged just 28 minutes while the coaching staff rested several rotation players once the outcome was clear.
The Spurs have owned this matchup recently, winning and covering the last two meetings, including a blowout in Dallas earlier this season. That game showed how San Antonio’s length and pace can overwhelm a Mavericks team that struggles when forced to defend for full possessions.
Dallas is in a very different spot. The Mavericks are trying to stop a five-game losing streak and are adjusting to major roster turnover after moving Anthony Davis. That is a lot to process on the fly, especially against a Spurs team that has been playing disciplined, low-variance basketball.
The total is the other key angle. Even with a slight bump upward in the number, both teams have leaned heavily toward unders recently. San Antonio’s games have been especially consistent in that direction, and I am comfortable trusting that trend again.
SAS vs DAL Key Injuries and Notes
- SAS: Victor Wembanyama played limited minutes last night.
- SAS: Kelly Olynyk, Dylan Harper, Jeremy Sochan and Lindy Waters III missed the previous game.
- DAL: Dallas is adjusting after trading Anthony Davis.
Final Score Prediction
Spurs 118, Mavericks 106
ATS and Total Picks
- Against the Spread: Spurs -7.5
- Total: Under 228.5
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