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Timberwolves vs Thunder Predictions, Picks, Odds and Line Movement for November 26

By: Josh Collacchi Published 11/26/2025, 09:23 AM ET
Pacers vs Thunder prediction
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction for Tuesday night in Oklahoma City, where the Thunder enter on a nine-game winning streak and the Timberwolves look to snap a brief road skid. Below you will find opening odds, current odds, full line movement tables, key matchups, and our projected final score. For expanded analytics and more league-wide insight, check out the latest NBA picks.

Quick Picks and Prediction for Timberwolves vs Thunder

  • Side: Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5
  • Total: Under 226
  • Projected Final Score: Oklahoma City 111, Minnesota 102
  • Confidence Rating (0–3): Side 1.5 / Total 2

Timberwolves vs Thunder Odds and Line Movement

Here are the opening and current odds for this Northwest–Southwest showdown, followed by the full market movement pulled directly from the provided data.

Opening Odds

Market Minnesota Oklahoma City
Spread +8.5 (-110) -8.5 (-110)
Total 226 (o/u -110)

Current Odds

Market Minnesota Oklahoma City
Spread +8 (-110) -8 (-110)
Total Over 226 (-110) Under 226 (-110)

Line Movement - Spread

Date Time Minnesota Oklahoma City Public ($, #)
11/26 08:41:37am +8.5/-106 -8.5/-114 MIN 72%, 56%
11/26 06:32:23pm +8/-110 -8/-110
11/25 02:47:01pm +10.5/-106 -10.5/-114
11/25 07:03:13am +10/-110 -10/-110

Line Movement - Total

Date Time Over Under Public ($, #)
11/26 08:41:37am 226/o-114 226/u-106 o82%, o80%
11/26 06:32:23pm 226/o-110 226/u-110
11/25 05:36:01pm 229/o-110 229/u-110
11/25 07:03:13am 229/o-110 229/u-110

Thunder vs Wolves Key Matchups and Handicap

Oklahoma City enters this matchup on a nine-game winning streak, going 6-3 against the spread during that stretch while holding opponents to just 100.7 points per game. Their defensive surge has been the defining factor of their recent run, and even with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander listed as questionable, the Thunder have enough depth and system continuity to maintain pressure. Minnesota’s defense has also surged, ranking No. 4 in the league over the last ten games and staying under the total in seven straight. The Timberwolves were swept aside 4-1 by the Thunder in the postseason, and while they covered three of the four regular-season meetings last year, their current form — particularly losing back-to-back on the road — raises questions about their offense’s ability to keep pace. The Thunder are still without Jalen Williams this season, but he has progressed to pregame warm-ups and appears close to returning. Oklahoma City’s defense has become increasingly switchable and aggressive, and their improving rim protection has complemented their elite half-court efficiency on both ends. Minnesota’s defensive strength keeps them competitive, but offensive inconsistency away from home has hurt them in recent weeks.
  • Thunder have won nine straight games.
  • OKC is 6-3 ATS during that streak.
  • Six of the last nine Thunder games have stayed under.
  • Six of the nine Timberwolves–Thunder meetings last season went over.

OKC vs MIN Key Injuries and Notes

  • Aaron Wiggins — Out
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander — Questionable
  • Jalen Williams — Has not played but trending toward return
  • Minnesota — No injuries listed
The Thunder’s backcourt depth takes a hit without Wiggins, but the potential return of Jalen Williams would be a timely defensive boost. The Timberwolves are fully healthy but have struggled offensively on this road swing.

Thunder vs TWolves ATS and Total Picks

Spread Pick

  • Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5

Total Pick

  • Pick: Under 226

Timberwolves vs Thunder Final Score Prediction

  • Projected Score: Oklahoma City 111, Minnesota 102
Both defenses enter in excellent form, and Oklahoma City’s ability to force turnovers and control late possessions should give them the edge. If Gilgeous-Alexander plays, the Thunder hold a clear advantage; if not, their depth and defensive scheme still support a modest win at home. Minnesota’s scoring volatility and recent road losses make it difficult to back them here.

Stats to Know for Timberwolves vs Thunder

Oklahoma City’s defense has allowed just 100.7 points per game during their winning streak. Minnesota has stayed under the total in seven straight games and ranks No. 4 in defensive rating over the last ten contests. Both matchups point toward a slowed pace and controlled possessions, supporting the under as the stronger play.
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