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Toronto Raptors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Picks and Prediction for Friday, October 31, 2025

By: Patty Reyes Published 10/31/2025, 03:09 AM ET

The Toronto Raptors travel to Rocket Arena to face the Cleveland Cavaliers on Friday at 7:30 PM ET. Toronto looks to halt a four-game skid, while Cleveland wants to rebound from a road loss in Boston. The Raptors fell 139-121 to the Houston Rockets, while the Cavaliers’ three-game win streak ended with a 125-105 defeat to the Celtics. Half-court to transition — NBA picks for Toronto Raptors at Cleveland Cavaliers with key factors.

Raptors Aim to Snap Slide Behind Barnes and Ingram

Toronto is 1-4 after dropping four straight since its win over Atlanta to open the season. The offense has not been the issue as the Raptors average 121.4 points per game while shooting 50.7% from the field. Toronto hit 52.5% from three in the last outing. Scottie Barnes continues to lead the Raptors and scored 31 points against Houston, while Brandon Ingram added 29 in a losing effort. Immanuel Quickley chipped in 15 points, and rookie Collin Murray-Boyles impressed in his first start with 13 points, replacing the injured Jakob Poeltl.

The Raptors’ defense is an early-season weak link, allowing opponents to score an average of 130.0 points per game during the losing streak. Toronto was outrebounded 53-22 in the last game, exposing a big size issue with Poeltl sidelined. Toronto has given up 120+ points in each loss this season and has struggled to defend the paint, particularly against teams that move the ball effectively. The Raptors’ assist rate (30.4 per game) shows good ball movement, but it hasn’t translated into stops on the other end.

Injuries: Jakob Poeltl (back) is listed as a game-time decision though he's considered doubtful. If he cannot play, Toronto’s rebounding will again be tested.

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Cavaliers Look to Rebound at Home After Road Loss

Cleveland sits at 3-2 after a 125-105 defeat in Boston, a game where a strong start offensively could not offset a second-quarter collapse. The Cavaliers led by three midway through the second before Boston went on a 20-3 run to end the half. Donovan Mitchell started hot with 12 points in the opening quarter but cooled off significantly, finishing with 15. Evan Mobley and Jaylon Tyson each scored 19, and Mobley added 11 rebounds to post his second double-double of the season.

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The Cavaliers are averaging 116.2 points per game on 46.1% shooting, while holding opponents to 113.4 per game. The Cavs have been strong on the boards (40.4 rebounds per game) and continue to generate turnovers at a solid clip (9.8 steals per game). Cleveland’s assist-to-turnover ratio is 1.6, as the turnovers are high at 16.2 per game, while assists are 25.2 per game.

Injuries: Darius Garland (hamstring) and Max Strus (shoulder) remain sidelined Sam Merrill is also out. The Cavaliers will likely rely even more than usual on Mitchell and Mobley for scoring and playmaking.

Toronto Raptors at Cleveland Cavaliers Pick

Spread Pick for Raptors vs. Cavaliers

  • Cleveland Cavaliers -2 (4 Units)

Cleveland holds the advantage of playing at home, where it has yet to lose this season. The Cavaliers’ rebounding and defensive ability will help them control the tempo against a Toronto team that’s struggling to stop anyone inside. Without Poeltl, the Raptors’ lack of interior presence in the paint was obvious against Houston and will again be exposed by Jarrett Allen and Mobley’s activity around the rim. Even if Toronto shoots well from deep, Cleveland’s ability to generate turnovers and control the boards provides enough points to cover the short spread. Expect the Cavs to bounce back from their loss in Boston with a focused effort on defense and maintain a perfect home record.

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Over/Under Pick for Raptors at Cavaliers

  • Over 238.5 (5 Units)

Both teams have relied heavily on offense early in the season. Toronto is averaging 121.4 points per game while allowing 130-plus in four straight losses, and Cleveland has averaged 116.2 s. The Raptors’ high assist numbers and high shooting percentages show they can keep pace offensively, especially from the perimeter, while the defensive shortcomings often push most contests toward the over. Cleveland’s injuries could slow the pace slightly, but Mitchell’s shot creation and Mobley’s inside scoring should sustain scoring enough to reach the over. Given recent trends and neither team possessing a solid defense as of yet, this matchup will end with the point total finishing over the closing line.

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