Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks Picks and Prediction for Friday November 6 2026
Toronto visits Milwaukee on Friday night for an 8 PM ET game at Fiserv Forum. The Raptors have been up and down, but Milwaukee has been flat-out bad. The Bucks have one win through eight games and just lost three straight by a combined 69 points. That’s tough to overlook. Toronto is the stronger team right now, even with a few injuries to work around. The betting lines weren’t consistently available when I checked, so I’m sticking with a straight-up pick and a total I’d be willing to play. Get in on the action with our free NBA picks.
Toronto Raptors Need to Bounce Back
Toronto is 4-4 after getting beaten 128-109 by Denver on Wednesday. Before that, the Raptors beat the Clippers 125-118 and lost a close one to the Lakers, 131-125. That’s three straight games where Toronto has scored at least 109, and the offense has generally been doing its share. The trouble is getting enough stops.
The Raptors are scoring roughly 118 points per game and allowing about 113. They’re moving the ball well, averaging nearly 29 assists, and that should give Milwaukee problems. The Bucks have been surrendering better than 120 a night. If Toronto gets the ball moving and attacks before Milwaukee sets its defense, there ought to be plenty of decent shots available.
Scottie Barnes has been putting up 23.5 points and 7.6 rebounds a game, while Immanuel Quickley leads the team with 5.8 assists. Those numbers matter because Toronto needs its offense to stay organized with Kawhi Leonard out because of his knee. Nate Bittle is also out, and Jakob Poeltl’s shoulder is worth checking before tipoff. The Raptors aren’t completely healthy, but they’ve got enough scoring to take advantage of this matchup.
Milwaukee Bucks Have Been Getting Worked Over
Milwaukee is 1-7 after losing 109-102 to Boston on Wednesday. The Bucks also lost 112-100 to Minnesota and 136-111 to Cleveland. That’s four straight defeats, and there hasn’t been much to suggest they’re about to turn things around. They’re back home, which helps, but home court only goes so far when the defense keeps getting beaten.
The Bucks are scoring about 111 points and giving up roughly 124. That’s a 13-point difference. Ugly stuff. They’re shooting around 43% from the floor, and the turnovers haven’t helped either. Toronto isn’t a perfect defensive team, but the Raptors have been considerably better than Milwaukee at getting quality shots and converting them.
Tyler Herro has been Milwaukee’s leading scorer at 22.3 points per game. Kel’el Ware is pulling down 8.3 rebounds, and Ryan Rollins leads the team with 4.5 assists. The Bucks have some individual production, but it hasn’t translated into good team basketball. Kam Jones has been listed out with an ankle injury. Milwaukee needs more than one good scoring night from somebody. It needs to defend for four quarters, and that hasn’t been happening.
Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks Picks and Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Toronto Raptors
I’m taking Toronto. The Raptors aren’t exactly tearing through the league, and their injury situation gives me a little pause. But Milwaukee is allowing around 124 points a game, and that’s a problem against a Toronto team that moves the ball and has been scoring pretty consistently. The Bucks could get hot at home. Sure. But I’m not betting on a team with one win in eight games to suddenly figure out its defense against a better opponent. Give me the Raptors.
Total Pick: Over 228 Points
I’d play over 228 if that’s the number. Milwaukee’s defense is the main reason. Toronto should be able to get into the 115-to-120 range against a club allowing 124 a night. And while the Bucks haven’t been winning, they’ve got enough offensive ability to contribute 110 or more against a Raptors defense that just allowed 128 in Denver. The concern is Milwaukee going cold again, because that’s happened plenty. Still, I see more scoring chances than stops in this matchup.
Final Picks: Toronto Raptors Moneyline | Over 228 Points (if available)
Disclaimer: This preview was completed on November 5, 2026. Betting lines, injuries, and starting lineups may change before tipoff.