Washington Wizards vs Cleveland Cavaliers Picks and Predictions for Wednesday, October 28, 2026
Cleveland has won twice at home to start the season, but neither victory came easily. The Cavaliers host Washington on Wednesday at Rocket Arena, with tipoff at 7:00 pm ET on Monumental Sports Network and NBA League Pass. Cleveland is 2-1, second in the Central Division, following Monday's 127-125 overtime win against Minnesota. Washington is 2-2, third in the Southeast Division, after losing 110-103 at Charlotte on Monday. Find another winner with our free NBA picks.
Washington Wizards Still Looking for a Steady Rhythm
Washington's first four games haven't followed much of a pattern. The Wizards opened with a 128-116 win over Milwaukee, then lost 112-102 to Toronto. They answered with a 124-120 road victory against Chicago before falling 110-103 in Charlotte on Monday. That's a decent start for an offense still figuring out how its pieces fit, although the latest outing was its lowest-scoring game. Washington has averaged 118 points while allowing 114.5. The Wizards have been more comfortable attacking inside than shooting from distance, where they're making only 28.6% of their attempts.
Trae Young gives Washington a way to create shots even when the offense stalls. He's averaging 22.3 points and 11.3 assists, while Anthony Davis has chipped in 20.7 points and nine rebounds. Those two need support from the wings, particularly if Justin Champagnie can't play. Champagnie has averaged 9.3 rebounds and is questionable, along with AJ Dybantsa. Cleveland's size also presents a difficult matchup for a Washington team that has collected 44 rebounds per game.
Injuries: Tristan Vukcevic and Jamir Watkins are out. Justin Champagnie and AJ Dybantsa are questionable.
Cleveland Cavaliers Have Survived Two Close Finishes
The Cavaliers have given their home crowd plenty of tense moments already. Brooklyn came to town Saturday and lost 125-121, then Minnesota pushed Cleveland into overtime Monday before the Cavaliers escaped 127-125. Both wins came after a 114-106 opening defeat at Philadelphia. Cleveland has scored at least 125 points in its two home games, but opponents have found plenty of room to answer. The Cavaliers are allowing 120 points per game. That's a number they'll want to bring down, even against a Washington team capable of scoring quickly.
Donovan Mitchell is averaging 27 points and shooting 52.9% from the floor. Evan Mobley has supplied 19 points and nine rebounds, while Jarrett Allen gives Cleveland another strong presence near the basket. James Harden is averaging six assists and can help the Cavaliers find good looks without relying entirely on Mitchell. Cleveland has grabbed 45.5 rebounds per game and blocked 8.5 shots, an important combination against Washington's interior attack.
Injuries: None listed.
Key To The Game
Washington needs to find a way around Cleveland's frontcourt without settling for difficult jumpers. Davis can battle inside, but Mobley and Allen give the Cavaliers two capable defenders around the rim. The Wizards have struggled from three-point range, which makes Young's decisions especially important. At the other end, Washington must limit Mitchell's chances to attack before the defense gets set. Cleveland has scored 252 points across its last two home games, even without particularly strong defense.
Washington Wizards vs Cleveland Cavaliers Game Pick
- Cleveland Cavaliers
Washington has enough scoring to make this competitive, and Cleveland's defense hasn't performed well so far. The Cavaliers allowed 121 to Brooklyn and needed overtime to beat Minnesota. Still, Mitchell has been sharp, and the combination of Mobley and Allen presents a problem for a Wizards team that doesn't shoot well from outside. Young and Davis will create opportunities, but Washington can't afford another quiet offensive night like Monday's loss at Charlotte. Cleveland's frontcourt helps it control the paint, and the Cavaliers take their third straight home game.
Washington Wizards vs Cleveland Cavaliers Over/Under Pick
- Over
Cleveland's first three games have finished with 220, 246 and 252 combined points. Washington's first four have produced totals of 244, 214, 244 and 213. Those results are mixed, but the matchup offers several reasons to expect scoring. Mitchell has opened well, Young can create shots for himself and teammates, and both clubs have allowed more than 114 points per game. Cleveland's interior defense might slow Washington in stretches, but the Cavaliers have been conceding plenty of points anyway. Another active night at both ends makes the over the pick.