Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers Picks and Prediction for Wednesday November 11 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 11/11/2026, 12:10 AM ET
Indiana Pacers player is kissing his hand after making an incredible shot.

Washington heads to Indianapolis on Wednesday night for a 7 PM ET game against the Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Neither team has been playing particularly good basketball. Washington has lost four straight, and Indiana just dropped a close one in Dallas. This isn’t exactly a matchup I’d be rushing to bet, but somebody has to win. I lean Indiana at home, mostly because the Pacers have been getting more out of their offense lately. Verified betting lines were unavailable when this article was completed. Make sure you are aware of all the games and picks by checking out our free NBA picks.

Washington Keeps Digging Itself a Hole

Washington is 4-7 after losing 122-111 to Detroit on Monday. The Wizards have now lost four straight, and some of those games haven’t been close. Oklahoma City beat them 114-75 on Saturday. That’s 75 points in an NBA game. Washington followed it up by allowing 122 against Detroit, so there hasn’t been much improvement on either end.

The Wizards have been scoring around 108 points per game and allowing more than 113. Those numbers aren’t awful by themselves, but the inconsistency has been a killer. Washington scored 132 against Atlanta last Friday and still lost because it gave up 139. The next night, the Wizards couldn’t get to 80. That’s a pretty wild swing. Indiana’s defense hasn’t been particularly good, so Washington should have chances. The question is whether the Wizards can put together four decent quarters.

Washington has some depth concerns, with Jamir Watkins and Justin Champagnie listed out. The Wizards need their available guards to protect the basketball and get into the offense early. Indiana is going to give up some open looks, but Washington can’t afford to spend half the game taking rushed jumpers. The Wizards have to make the Pacers defend inside and stop settling for whatever shot happens to be available.

Indiana Has Been Losing Some Winnable Games

Indiana is 3-8 after losing 125-122 to Dallas on Monday. That one had to hurt. The Pacers scored enough to win, but they couldn’t get the stops they needed. They’ve also lost to Denver and Atlanta recently. Indiana has been competitive in stretches, but the wins haven’t followed. Now the Pacers are back home, where they’re still looking for their first victory.

Indiana is averaging about 111 points per game and allowing roughly 115. That’s not a good defensive number, although Washington hasn’t exactly been lighting up the scoreboard. The Pacers have been able to score when they get moving, and that’s what I’d expect them to try Wednesday. Washington has been allowing opponents too many good looks, so Indiana should have opportunities to get comfortable offensively.

Tyrese Haliburton remains unavailable, and Ben Sheppard has also been listed out. That takes away some playmaking and depth. Indiana needs to move the ball rather than rely on somebody to create a difficult shot late in the possession. The Pacers scored 122 in Dallas, so the offense clearly has some life. They just need to defend well enough to make those points count.

Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers Picks and Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Indiana Pacers

I’m taking Indiana, although I’m not going to pretend this is a game between two teams playing great basketball. The Pacers are 3-8 and haven’t won at home. Washington has lost four straight. Pick your problem.

What swings it for me is Indiana’s offense. The Pacers just scored 122 in Dallas, and Washington has been giving up too many points. Indiana doesn’t have to play a perfect game here. It just needs to score consistently and avoid another fourth-quarter collapse. I think the Pacers finally get a home win.

Total Pick: Over 

I lean over. Indiana has been allowing around 115 points a game, and Washington isn’t much better defensively. The Pacers just played a 247-point game in Dallas, while Washington gave up 122 to Detroit. Both teams have been making too many defensive mistakes. The danger is Washington’s offense disappearing again, the way it did against Oklahoma City. That’s a real possibility. But I think Indiana’s defense gives the Wizards enough opportunities to score. I’d consider the over if the posted number isn’t too high.

Final Picks: Indiana Pacers Moneyline | Over

Disclaimer: Completed November 10, 2026. Betting lines, injuries, and starting lineups may change before tipoff.

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