Washington Wizards vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction and Picks for Thursday, October 30, 2025

By: Jason Raffoul Published 10/30/2025, 03:36 AM ET
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On Thursday night, the Washington Wizards head to the Paycom Center for a road meeting against the Oklahoma City Thunder, and we will prepare you with a Wizards vs. Thunder prediction along with free NBA picks. The Wizards lost Tuesday night while the Thunder earned their fifth win. The tip is scheduled for 9:00 PM ET.

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Wiz Squander Big Opportunity

Washington was outscored by 16 points in the fourth quarter en route to a 139-134 overtime loss against the Philadelphia 76ers on Tuesday. Alex Sarr scored 31 points and grabbed 11 boards for the Wizards, who had 110 points in the first three quarters, then only 16 in the fourth. Khris Middleton missed from the left elbow in the final seconds for Washington, and the game went to overtime, tied at 126.

  • The Wizards then scored the first five points of overtime before conceding a 9-0 run. The Wizards led 72-68 at halftime and went on a quick 14-3 run at the start of the third quarter.
  • They led by as many as 19 but could not pull out a W. Sarr led the Wizards in both points and rebounds and earned his second double-double in four regular-season games.
  • The second-year big man's 31 points also marked his second career outing scoring at least 30. Also, he led Washington in blocks, racking up multiple rejections for the third consecutive game. He is averaging 19.5 points, 8.8 rebounds, 4.5 assists, and 2.0 blocks in 27.8 minutes per contest. They head into this game at 1-3.
  • They are 26th in defensive rating and 30th in offensive rating according to DunksandThrees.com.

Thunder Outlast the Kings

In what was an exciting game that saw numerous lead changes, the Oklahoma City Thunder used a strong fourth quarter to remain undefeated with a 107-101 win over the Sacramento Kings. They held the Kings to 18 fourth-quarter points.

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  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 31 points, and Aaron Wiggins and Ajay Mitchell each scored 18 points.
  • The Thunder won at Dallas on Monday night and were short-handed on Tuesday in what was the second night of a back-to-back. Chet Holmgren sat out with lower back soreness.
  • Oklahoma City already had been missing two key rotation players in 2025 All-Star Jalen Williams (recovery from right wrist surgery) and guard Isaiah Joe (bruised left knee). Gilgeous-Alexander took control, leading a fourth-quarter rally to help move Oklahoma City to 5-0. SGA shot 4-of-6 from the field in the fourth quarter, and he has scored 30 points or more in four of five games.
  • Wiggins drew his second start of the season with Chet Holmgren sidelined and delivered a strong showing, knocking down a team-high four three-pointers while filling up the stat sheet across multiple categories. Through five games this season, the 26-year-old is averaging 14.2 points, 4.8 rebounds, and 2.4 assists in 28.8 minutes per contest.

Wizards vs. Thunder Game Pick

Spread Pick for Wizards vs. Thunder

  • Oklahoma City Thunder ATS (5 units)

Washington is in a difficult spot here, facing the defending champions on the road. OKC is off to a hot start, and the Wizards lack the rotational pieces to contend for four quarters. I expect them to come out and play well, but lose momentum down the stretch in what should be another Thunder win. It’s early, but the Wizards are 26th in defensive rating, and just gave up 139 points to the 76ers with Joel Embiid playing only 23 minutes. SGSA should have a monster game in this one. OKC just doesn’t cough up the ball, second in turnover percentage, and easy buckets will be few and far between for the Wiz. Take OKC to win and cover.

OVER/UNDER PICK for Wizards vs. OKC Thunder

  • OVER (4 units)

The Thunder opened the season missing two crucial parts of their championship run. Jalen Williams has yet to play a game, and Isiah Joe is still nursing an injury. Ajay Mitchell's strong start to the season continued Tuesday with another double-digit scoring performance, highlighted by three made three-pointers that tied his season high from the opener Oct. 21. The UC Santa Barbara product impressed throughout Summer League and preseason play and has carried that momentum into the regular season, averaging 18.2 points, 3.8 rebounds, 3.0 assists and 1.2 steals in 26.6 minutes per game through five contests to open the 2025-26 campaign. They have plenty of weapons in the tank, and scoring should not be an issue against an anemic Wizards offense. Take the over.

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