New York Liberty vs. Seattle Storm Picks and Prediction, Friday, September 5, 2025
In a non-conference clash in the Great Northwest, the Seattle Storm (22-20) plays host to the New York Liberty (24-17). The defending champion Liberty have already qualified for the playoffs and the Storm can qualify with a win in this game. Check out this New York Liberty vs. Seattle Storm prediction to get the full score info and other free WNBA picks.
The Storm are a slight 2-point favorite in this game with the total sitting at 163.5.
Not the Same Scoring for the Liberty
The Liberty are the third-highest scoring team in the league (84.5 ppg) but have not scored over 63 points in losing the last two games. In their last game, they were on the road and lost to the Golden State Valkyries 66-58, where they played good defense, holding the Valkyries to 37.3% shooting and 26.9% 3-pt shooting, but they only shot 31.6% and 25.9% from deep. Breanna Stewart and Natasha Cloud were the only two New York players in double figures each, going for 19 points and only combined to shoot 10-28 from the floor. The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in their last two games after doing so for two in a row.
- The Liberty are locked into either the fifth or sixth seed and they will hit the road in the first round of the playoffs and may rest some key players in this game.
- Leading scorer Sabrina Ionescu (18.8 ppg) has missed the last three games with a toe injury and is out for this game.
- Stewart (18 ppg) had totaled 26 points in two games before 19 points in the last one and has struggled with her shot in the last few games.
- On the season, the Liberty are 8-12 on the road.
- The Liberty have lost both games this season to the Storm.
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Storm Can’t Seal the Deal
The Storm were at home in their last game and could have qualified for the playoffs but were outscored 23-12 in the fourth quarter in a 91-85 loss to the L.A. Sparks. They shot 42.5% from the floor and 40.6% from beyond the 3-pt arc and allowed the Sparks to shoot 52.2% and 22.2% from long range. Nneka Ogwumike and Skyler Diggins each had 21 points in the loss. The Storm failed to cover and they have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games, including their last two.
- Seattle had won five of six games and two in a row before the loss to the Sparks.
- Ogwumike (18.3 ppg 7 rpg) is the leading scorer and rebounder and has totaled 41 points and 10 rebounds in the last two games.
- Diggins (15.7 ppg) has been up and down in the last few games but has scored at least 21 points in two of the last three games.
- Third leading scorer Gabby Williams (11.9 ppg) only had eight points in the last game after totaling 28 points in the previous two games.
- On the season the Storm have been better on the road (13-9) than at home (9-11).
- Storm -2 (+4 Units)
The Liberty have lost two in a row and the Storm had won two in a row before losing their last game. New York is without their leading scorer and while they cannot move up to the fourth spot in the standings to host a first-round playoff series, they may rest other key players. The Storm have beaten the Liberty twice this season and they need a win to make the playoffs. Regarding the New York Liberty vs. Seattle Storm prediction, the Liberty will be shorthanded and the desperate Storm will take advantage of that and get the win, cover the spread, and qualify for the playoffs.
- Under 163.5 (+4 Units)
The total went Under the last time these teams met and that is the pick I am leaning towards in this game. The total has gone Under for the Libert’s last five games and they have been without their leading scorer for the last three. Besides Ionescu being out again New York may rest some key players, as they cannot move up in the standings to host a playoff series. The Storm did not play good D in their last game but it will be easier in this game, facing a shorthanded Liberty team. Seattle will also not light up the scoreboard and in a lower-scoring affair the Under is the pick.
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