Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Picks and Prediction for Sunday November 1, 2026
The Atlanta Falcons will head to Tampa, Florida, Sunday afternoon for an NFC South matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers inside Raymond James Stadium. The game is scheduled to begin at 1 PM ET, with FOX coverage. Atlanta comes into Sunday at 3-4 overall following an upset nine-point home victory against the San Francisco 49ers a week ago to end a two-game skid. Tampa Bay returns home Sunday with two wins through its first seven games played, having won two of the last three following a 30-point road victory over Carolina. Tampa Bay comes into Sunday as a slight 2.5-point favorite and is -135 on the money line. The Falcons are +114, and the total is set at 43.5. Follow along with our NFL Picks.
Atlanta tries to build off last week
Michael Penix Jr. is leading the Atlanta offense this season with 1,157 yards and nine scores on 96 completions. Bijan Robinson is the top ball carrier on the team with 704 yards and four touchdowns on 131 carries. Brian Robinson Jr. has added 53 carries for 211 yards and four scores. Drake London leads Atlanta with 616 yards and one touchdown on 38 catches. Jahan Dotson has added 242 yards and two scores on 12 catches, and Kyle Pitts has chipped in 20 catches for 191 yards and four touchdowns.
The Atlanta offense erupted last week for 295 yards to score 29 points in the game. Defensively, Atlanta gave up 20 points on 400 yards but forced four turnovers in the win. Michael Penix Jr. led Atlanta last week, completing 25 passes for 213 yards and three scores. Bijan Robinson led the way out of the backfield with 63 yards on 20 carries. Drake London led all Atlanta receivers with 66 yards and one score on seven grabs. Kyle Pitts added five catches for 22 yards and one touchdown.
Key Injury Report for Atlanta
- Anterio Thompson (NFI-R) – Undisclosed
- Beaux Collins (IR-R) – Hip
- Divine Deablo (Questionable) _ Forearm
- Olamide Zaccheaus (Questionable) – Shoulder
- Brian Robinson Jr. (Out) – Hamstring
Tampa goes for 2 in a row
Baker Mayfield is leading Tampa Bay this season with 679 yards and three touchdowns on 68 completions. Jalon Daniels has played in five games this season for Tampa Bay, amassing 501 yards and three touchdowns on 60 completions, along with 123 yards on 22 carries. Bucky Irving is the top ball carrier on the Tampa Bay roster with 558 yards and four touchdowns on 120 carries. Chris Godwin has added a team-high 243 yards on 27 catches this season. Emeka Egbuka has added 28 catches for 240 yards and two scores.
Defensively, Tampa Bay was solid last week, giving up just 13 points on 266 yards and forcing four turnovers in the game. Offensively, Tampa Bay was phenomenal, scoring 43 points, including 26 in the second quarter, on 322 yards. Baker Mayfield completed seven passes for 64 yards and one score. Bucky Irving led the way out of the backfield with 106 yards and two touchdowns on 24 carries.
Key Injury Report for Tampa Bay:
- Luke Goedeke (Questionable) – Calf
- Kenny Gainwell (Questionable) – Hip
- Emeka Egbuka (Out) – Foot
- Josh Hayes (IR-R) – Knee
- Christian Rozeboom (IR) -Finger
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay Picks and Prediction
Pick: Atlanta Falcons +2.5
Atlanta is the better team coming into this matchup, and the Falcons should have enough offensive firepower to get the job done on the road. Tampa Bay has struggled to put together complete games this season, and the Buccaneers could have problems containing Atlanta's offensive weapons. The Falcons should be able to establish their running game and create opportunities through the air as the game progresses. Look for Atlanta to make the necessary defensive stops and pick up an important divisional victory.
Total Pick: Under 43.5
Divisional matchups can turn into physical games, especially when both teams are desperate for a victory. Atlanta should look to establish its running game and control possession, while Tampa Bay could struggle to consistently move the football against the Falcons defense. Longer drives and a slower pace could limit the number of possessions for both offenses. Expect a competitive game with scoring opportunities coming at a premium.