Baltimore Ravens vs. Miami Dolphins, Preview, Odds, Prediction, and Picks for Thursday, October 30th, 2025
Use Code SSWC We’re onto Week 9 of the NFL season, and the action gets started with a standalone game on Thursday night between the Baltimore Ravens (2-5) and the Miami Dolphins (2-6). We’ve got you covered with our Ravens vs. Dolphins prediction. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 ET from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL. Don’t get penalized! Increase your bankroll with our NFL Betting Picks!
Ravens Bounce Back, Hammer the Bears
The expectations are always high for the Baltimore Ravens, but this year’s squad has dealt with injuries and turnovers in key spots, leading to an underwhelming 2-5 start. Perhaps what’s most interesting is that despite being 2-5, Baltimore is a -125 favorite to win the AFC North. The Ravens had recently dropped four consecutive games to the Lions (38-30), Chiefs (37-20), Texans (44-10), and Rams (17-3), but they finally snapped their slide after the bye week, taking down the Bears (30-16) last time out. So far this year, Baltimore is 2-5 ATS and 6-1 to the over.
The major injury this year for the Ravens was seeing QB Lamar Jackson (hamstring) go down. He didn’t play last week against Chicago, but the two-time MVP is expected to return on Thursday night. Jackson has thrown for 869 yards on a 71.6% completion rate, adding 10 touchdowns and one pick. He also has 166 yards and a touchdown on the ground. If he can't go, the Ravens will go back to Tyler Huntley, who managed the game well against the Bears, completing 17 of 22 for 186 yards and a TD, with 53 rushing yards.
RB Derrick Henry continues to be a workhorse in the backfield, and he has 510 yards and six touchdowns on 109 carries (4.7 YPC). He rushed for two TDs on Sunday against the Bears. Out wide, WR Zay Flowers (486 yards, 1 TD) and TE Mark Andrews (208 yards, 2 TD) are the top targets in the passing attack.
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- Baltimore’s offense has been decent this season, ranking 14th in scoring (24.9 PPG), while putting up 315.7 yards per game (21st).
- On the defensive side, the Ravens are 30th this season, allowing 30.0 points per game. In terms of yardage, they’re 28th, conceding 379.6 yards per contest.
- Injury Report: QB Lamar Jackson (hamstring) was a full participant in practice on Monday, while each of the following were limited: T Ronnie Stanley (ankle), ILB Teddye Buchanan (calf), CB T.J. Tampa (shoulder), and CB Nate Wiggins (groin).
Dolphins Snap Their Three-Game Slide
Meanwhile, the Miami Dolphins were one of the bigger question marks in the NFL entering the season, but we now know that they will turn out to be one of the biggest flops. Coach Mike McDaniel and his squad are just 2-6 out of the gate in 2025. They recently dropped three straight games to the Panthers (27-24), Chargers (29-27), and Browns (31-6), but bounced back last time out with a 34-10 shellacking of the Falcons. Miami is 4-4 ATS and 6-2 to the over. They have an updated win total of 5.5 (+120/-145), so it’s safe to say that the season-long outlook isn’t too optimistic for the Dolphins.
In terms of personnel, it’s QB Tua Tagovailoa leading the offense this season. He has racked up 1,518 yards on a 68.8% completion rate, but that comes with a disturbing 15/10 TD/INT ratio. WR Tyreek Hill (knee) went down earlier in the year, so WR Jaylen Waddle (504 yards, 4 TD) has emerged as the lead target out wide. RB De’Von Achane is getting quite a bit of work as well, as he has 439 yards and three touchdowns on 107 carries (5.0 YPC). The back also has 37 catches for 235 yards and four touchdowns in the receiving game.
- Offensively, the Dolphins are scoring 21.8 points per game (21st), while averaging 286.4 yards per week (28th).
- Defensively, they are 27th in the NFL this year, conceding 26.9 points per game. They’re allowing 344.4 yards per contest, which is 23rd.
- Injury Report: Each of the following players were DNPs on Monday: OLB Bradley Chubb (shoulder/foot), SAF Ashtyn Davis (quadricep), CB Storm Duck (knee), WR Dee Eskridge (shoulder), and TE Julian Hill (ankle).
Ravens vs. Dolphins Pick
Spread Pick for Ravens vs. Dolphins
- Baltimore Ravens -7.5 (-105) (5 units)
This line feels several points too low. I think I’d need at least 10.5 points to consider playing Miami. Baltimore is just 2-5 SU this year, but they’ve had to navigate the second-toughest schedule in the NFL. Meanwhile, Miami is 2-6, and they’ve played the fifth-easiest schedule. The Dolphins have no excuse for their lack of success; they’re simply a dysfunctional franchise at this point.
The Ravens should get QB Lamar Jackson back in this game, which will be a nice boost. I fully expect the Ravens to lean on the rushing attack and pound the ball down the Dolphins’ throat the entire game – similar to how we saw the Browns “out-phyiscal” them a couple of weeks back. Baltimore still boasts an elite offense, and considering they’ll take on a Miami defense that’s allowing 26.9 points per game, it opens the door for a blowout. This could be one of those games where we look back on Friday morning and ask ourselves why the Ravens were 7.5 points favorites.
Over/Under Pick for Ravens vs. Dolphins
- Over 50.0 (-110) (5 units)
I’ll play the over in this contest as well. These have been two of the worst defenses in the NFL this season. Baltimore is allowing 30.0 PPG (30th), while Miami is giving up 26.9 PPG (27th). The oddsmakers still haven’t been able to accurately price how bad the defenses are, as the over is 7-1 in Baltimore’s last eight games and 6-1 in Miami’s last seven outings.
As I was alluding to above, I expect to see the Ravens explode offensively. They just dropped 30 points on the Bears on Sunday, and that was without Lamar Jackson under center. They should be able to pound the rock at will against this Dolphins defense that’s the 23rd-best rushing defense and 30th-best tackling team, per PFF.
On the flip side, Miami just put up 34 points on Atlanta, and they’ve now scored 21+ points in six of their last seven games. We’ve seen Baltimore’s defense falter time and time again this year, and while this McDaniel- and Tagovailoa-led Miami offense isn’t as dynamic as in years past, they’re still a competent group overall. I think we can clear this total with relative ease and land in the 35-24 range.
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