Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Prediction, Picks, Odds and Line Movement for December 7 2025
The NFC North rivalry renews on Sunday as the Chicago Bears travel to Lambeau Field to face the Green Bay Packers in a matchup loaded with playoff implications and betting intrigue. Our full Bears vs Packers prediction breaks down the odds, line movement, key matchups, and best bets for this divisional clash. For more expert analysis, check the latest NFL picks.
Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Chicago Bears +6.5
- Total Pick: Under 45
- Projected Final Score: Bears 23, Packers 20
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Odds and Line Movement
Opening Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago | +5.5 | 46 |
| Green Bay | -5.5 | 46 |
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago | +6.5 (-108) | 44.5 (-114) |
| Green Bay | -6.5 (-112) | 44.5 (-106) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Chicago | Green Bay | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04 | 06:24am | 6.5/-108 | -6.5/-112 | CHI 66%, 78% |
| 12/04 | 06:18am | 6.5/-108 | -6.5/-112 | CHI 66%, 78% |
| 12/03 | 07:58am | 6.5/-108 | -6.5/-112 | CHI 61%, 80% |
| 12/03 | 03:06am | 6/-105 | -6/-115 | CHI 61%, 79% |
| 12/01 | 11:11am | 5.5/-110 | -5.5/-110 | CHI 85%, 86% |
| 12/01 | 08:00am | 5.5/-110 | -5.5/-110 | CHI 94%, 89% |
| 11/30 | 08:57pm | 5.5/-110 | -5.5/-110 | CHI 89%, 88% |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04 | 06:24am | 44.5/o-114 | 44.5/u-106 | o84%, o85% |
| 12/01 | 10:20am | 44/o-114 | 44/u-106 | o84%, o85% |
| 12/01 | 08:00am | 45/o-105 | 45/u-115 | -- |
| 11/30 | 06:13pm | 45/o-105 | 45/u-115 | -- |
Key Matchups and Handicap for Bears Packers
Are you jumping off the Bears train right now? We’re not.
Chicago enters this matchup 9-1 straight-up and 8-2 against the spread across its last ten outings. While several of those victories were fueled by late-game breaks, last week’s win over Philadelphia was anything but lucky. Rookie quarterback Caleb Williams played clean football, and Chicago’s ground game dominated behind Kyle Monangai and D’Andre Swift, who combined for 255 rushing yards and two touchdowns.
Green Bay’s defense is vulnerable at the moment, and the timing could not be worse for the Packers. Defensive tackle Devonte Wyatt suffered a season-ending broken ankle last week, while fellow interior lineman Lukas Van Ness remains out with a foot injury. Matt LaFleur acknowledged the enormous impact of the loss, noting that replacing Wyatt is “pretty tough” and the rest of the unit must elevate their play.
The Bears swept the spread last season against Green Bay, including a 24-22 upset win as a double-digit underdog. Their offensive identity under Williams is improving, and the Packers’ defense—already thin up front—faces a difficult challenge against Chicago’s surging rushing attack.
Green Bay is just 1-6 ATS this season when favored by more than a field goal, and the injury losses in the trenches only magnify the concerns about laying a full touchdown in this matchup.
Betting Trends for Packers Bears
- CHI: 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games.
- CHI: Covered both meetings against Green Bay last season.
- GB: 1-6 ATS this season when favored by more than -3.
- Under: Trending strongly in Bears games due to improved defensive play.
Key Injuries and Notes
- Bears: No major new injuries on offense.
- Packers: DT Devonte Wyatt (ankle) out for season.
- Packers: DT Lukas Van Ness remains out.
ATS and Total Picks for Bears vs Packers
- Against the Spread: Bears +6.5
- Total: Under 45
Packers vs Bears Final Score Prediction
Bears 23, Packers 20
Stats to Know for Bears vs Packers
- Chicago averages 146 rushing yards per game over the last three weeks.
- Green Bay allows 4.6 yards per carry since Week 8.
- The Bears have allowed only 16.8 points per game over their last five matchups.
- The Packers are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games as favorites.
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