Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings, Preview, Odds, Pick and Prediction November 16th, 2025
In a divisional matchup with both teams needing a win, the Minnesota Vikings will host the Chicago Bears on Sunday at 1:00 p.m. EST in U.S. Bank Stadium. Check out our Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings pick and prediction here!
The Chicago Bears are tied for the NFC North division lead with a 6-3 record, and they are hoping to improve their win streak to three games with a win on Sunday. Despite their -8 point differential, they are in the thick of the playoff race, something most people did not expect coming into the season. Meanwhile, the Vikings are at the bottom of the division with a 4-5 record, but a couple wins could put them back in playoff conversation. They desperately need this win to catch up to not only their divisional opponents, but to avoid falling back against other potential wild card teams. Minnesota is currently favored by 1.5 points while the total is set at an even 48 points. Can the Vikings climb back to .500 with a home win here?
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Bears Hungry for More
Chicago secured a win against the New York Giants last week, winning by a score of 24-20. Caleb Williams went 20/36 for 220 yards and a touchdown while D'Andre Swift led the ground game with 80 yards on 13 touches. Interestingly, Caleb Williams and Kyle Monangai scored the rushing touchdowns for the Bears despite having limited carries. Rome Odunze led the receiving core with six receptions, 86 yards, and a touchdown in the effort. On defense, C.J. Gardner-Johnson had seven tackles and two assists while also earning two sacks on the day.
Caleb Williams continues to lead the Bears at the QB position despite the questions about whether he is the future of the Bears. So far this year, Williams has completed 60.8% of his passes for 2,136 yards, 13 touchdowns, and four interceptions. Swift leads the running backs with 544 yards on 113 carries, and Odunze is the leading receiver on the team with 559 yards on 37 catches. D.J. Moore is the only other one to have more than 300 yards on the season, and he has 403. Interestingly, Odunze has six of the total 14 touchdown receptions on the year while nobody else has more than two. As a whole, the Bears are 3rd in yards per game, 11th in the air, 2nd on the ground, and 7th in overall scoring with an average of 25.0 points per game.
On defense, Tremaine Edmunds has the most total tackles thus far with 80, including 41 solo tackles. Nobody else has more than 50 to put it in perspective. He is also tied with Tyrique Stevenson with eight passes defended and he's tied with Kevin Byard III with four interceptions on the season. Montez Sweat has the most sacks on the year for Chicago with 5.5 while Gervon Dexter Sr. has four to his name. Fourteen players including Moore, Odunze, Byard III, and Joe Thuney are on the injured list. Most should be playing on Sunday barring any setback. As a unit, Chicago's defense has given up 27.4 points per game, ranking 28th in the NFL. They are 27th in total yards per game, 26th against the pass, and 25th against the run.
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Vikings Want Vengeance
Minnesota lost their most recent contest to the Ravens by a score of 27-19. The final score looked much closer than it was, as the Ravens had control throughout most of the game. Unfortunately, "nine" did not come out to play, as J.J. McCarthy went 20/42 for 248 yards, one touchdown, and two picks. Aaron Jones was one yard behind McCarthy for the most rushing yards with 47, but he scored the only rushing touchdown. Jalen Nailor was the leading wideout for the Vikings with five catches for 124 yards and a touchdown. Jalen Redmond made five tackles and had three tackle assists to lead the defense. Jonathan Allen had the only sack for Minnesota.
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There is some question as to whether J.J. McCarthy remains the best option for the Vikings beyond this year, and he needs a good performance in this game to quell the noise of the haters. So far, he has completed 53.7% of his passes for 692 yards, five touchdowns, and six interceptions. Jordan Mason has led the backfield for the Vikings while Aaron Jones has been injured. Mason currently has 444 rushing yards on 102 attempts while also scoring four of the seven rushing touchdowns on the year. Justin Jefferson predictably leads the receiving core with 686 yards, 51 receptions, and two touchdowns. As a collective, the Saints are 24th in overall yards per game, 22nd in passing, 24th in rushing, and 21st in scoring with an average of only 22.3 points per game.
On defense, the Vikings have Eric Wilson leading the charge with a team-high 63 total tackles and 34 solo tackles. Jalen Redmond leads the defensive unit with four sacks, but Wilson is right behind him with 3.5 of his own. Joshua Metellus and Andrew Van Ginkel each have four passes defended to lead the team and the former has a team-high two interceptions on the season. The Vikings rank 12th in yards given up per game, 8th against the pass, 22nd against the run, and 18th in scoring defense with an average of 23.7 points surrendered. Minnesota has twelve players listed on their injury report including Harrison Smith, Van Ginkel, Jones, Metellus, and McCarthy. The latter was the only one who was a full participant in practice.
Bears vs Vikings Pick
Spread Pick for Bears vs Vikings
- Minnesota Vikings -1.5 (4 units)
The Bears should not be 6-3 in my opinion. They've been fortunate to get this far, and particularly last week when Giants QB Jaxson Dart got concussed during the game. Chicago is 0-2 in their division, including a week one home matchup against the Vikings where they choked a lead in the fourth quarter. Meanwhile, Minnesota is 2-0 in a division that has potential Super Bowl contenders in it. I don't trust Chicago's defense enough and the Vikings have won eight of their last ten against the Bears. Obviously, there is different circumstances, but I have more faith in the Vikings to win at home in a critical game for them.
Over/Under Pick for Bears vs Vikings
- Over 48 (4 units)
J.J. McCarthy had success against the Bears in week one during his first NFL start, so I don't see any reason why he shouldn't be successful in this start as well. Chicago's defense ranks towards the bottom of the league in most categories, and the offense is clicking for the Bears right now. Minnesota has some key injuries on defense and Minnesota is 7-2 on the over this season. Chicago has scored 24+ points in six of their last seven games and if they can do that, I expect Minnesota to score more than Chicago, prompting me to take the over here.
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