Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction, Picks, Odds and Line Movement for Friday November 28
Use Code SSWC Let's take a look ahead of what could be a playoff preview and dive into our Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles prediction for Friday’s NFC matchup in Philadelphia. The Eagles looking to rebound and the Bears aiming to continue their close-game magic.
Below you will find opening odds, current odds, full line-movement tables, key matchups, and projections. For more expert breakdowns across the league, check the latest NFL picks.
Quick Picks and Prediction
If you want the fast version, here are the essentials for this Chicago vs Philadelphia matchup:
- Side: Philadelphia Eagles -7
- Total: Under 44.5
- Projected Final Score: Eagles 24, Bears 16
- Confidence Level: Side 1.5 / Total 2
Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles Odds and Line Movement
Here are the opening and current odds for Bears vs Eagles, followed by full spread and total line movement pulled directly from the provided market data.
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Opening Odds for Chicago vs Philadelphia
| Market | Chicago | Philadelphia |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +6.5 (-120) | -6.5 (+100) |
| Total | Over 44.5 (-110) | Under 44.5 (-110) |
Current Odds for CHI vs PHI
| Market | Chicago | Philadelphia |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7 (-118) | -7 (-104) |
| Total | Over 44 (-110) | Under 44 (-110) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Chicago | Philadelphia | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/24 | 02:51:08pm | 7 (-118) | -7 (-104) | PHI 73%, 84% |
| 11/23 | 08:41:10am | 7 (-115) | -7 (-105) | |
| 11/23 | 08:43:21pm | 7 (-118) | -7 (-102) | PHI 93%, 85% |
| 11/23 | 07:50:18pm | 7 (-115) | -7 (-105) | PHI 92%, 85% |
| 11/23 | 07:37:12pm | 7 (-118) | -7 (-102) | |
| 11/23 | 06:41:05pm | 7 (-105) | -7 (-105) | |
| 11/23 | 05:58:22pm | 7 (-115) | -7 (-105) | PHI 92%, 85% |
| 11/18 | 01:26:11pm | 6.5 (-120) | -6.5 (+100) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/25 | 06:59:18am | 44.5 o(-110) | 44.5 u(-120) | u 87%, u 53% |
| 11/24 | 11:26:13am | 44 o(-104) | 44 u(-118) | u 91%, u 48% |
| 11/23 | 05:00:33pm | 43.5 o(-110) | 43.5 u(-105) | u 89%, u 80% |
| 11/23 | 06:01:05pm | 43 o(-110) | 43 u(-110) | u 89%, u 80% |
| 11/18 | 07:55:30am | 44 o(-110) | 44 u(-110) | |
| 11/18 | 01:26:11pm | 44.5 o(-115) | 44.5 u(-110) |
Key Matchups for Bears vs Eagles
The Eagles have dominated this matchup, winning each of the last six meetings, including a 25-20 road win in Chicago during the 2022 season. Those six matchups have trended heavily toward the defensive side, with the last four all staying under the total. Chicago enters this one coming off another dramatic finish, edging Pittsburgh by three points to improve to eight wins in their last nine games. Despite being red hot in the win column, the Bears hold only a +31 point differential across that nine-game span, with six of the eight victories coming by five points or fewer.
Philadelphia, meanwhile, saw its four-game winning streak collapse in stunning fashion after blowing a three-touchdown lead against Dallas. Even with that setback, the Eagles remain one of the league’s toughest home teams, going 14-1 straight-up in their last 15 at Lincoln Financial Field. With Jalen Hurts starting as a home favorite, Philadelphia is an incredible 30-4 straight-up. Historical trends also point to resilience: teams that blew a seven-point or larger fourth-quarter lead on the road are 37-25 straight-up and 36-25-1 ATS in their next game since 2017.
Weather may also play a role. Forecasts call for wind gusts up to 25 miles per hour on Friday, which could limit downfield passing and reinforce the under trend that has followed both sides recently. The Eagles' last three games have combined for just 29.0 points per contest, and Chicago's offense—despite recent wins—has rarely pulled away from opponents. This matchup shapes up as another grind for both sides.
Betting Trends for CHI vs PHI
- Chicago has won eight of its last nine games.
- Six of Chicago’s last eight wins came by five points or fewer.
- Philadelphia is 14-1 straight-up in its last 15 home games.
- The last four meetings have stayed under the total.
- Eagles’ last three games have averaged just 29 total points.
Philadelphia and Chicago Key Injuries and Notes
- Chicago: Jaylon Johnson and Kyler Gordon are questionable.
- Philadelphia: Lane Johnson is questionable, Andrew Makuba is out, Reed Blankenship is questionable.
Chicago continues its stretch of close finishes, but roster stability has helped keep them competitive. Philadelphia remains one of the NFL’s strongest home teams, and weather may further tilt the matchup toward defense-first football.
If Johnson is to miss this one, the Bears get an advantage with the Eagles having a backup right tackle in Fred Johnson, inserted into the lineup again. While Johnson is an above average backup tackle, he is nowhere close to Johnson, who is one of the best right tackles we have seen.
Bears and Eagles ATS and Total Picks
Here we summarize the best angles for this matchup with picks on both the spread and total.
Spread Pick for Bears vs Eagles
- Pick: Eagles -7
- Why: Philadelphia’s elite home performance, bounce-back trend and Chicago’s tendency for close but low-scoring games support a one-score cover.
Total Pick for Chicago vs Philadelphia
- Pick: Under 44.5
- Why: The last four meetings have stayed under, Philadelphia’s last three games averaged 29 points, and windy conditions favor a slower, ground-heavy game.
CHI vs PHI Final Score Prediction
- Projected Final Score: Eagles 24, Bears 16
This matchup aligns closely with historical trends and current team identities. Philadelphia’s defense should control the pace, while Chicago’s offense is unlikely to generate explosive plays against a disciplined Eagles front. Expect a competitive first half before Philadelphia gradually pulls ahead. Given Chicago’s pattern of narrow-margin games and Philadelphia’s strength at home, a one-score Eagles cover paired with a modest, defense-driven total fits the shape of this contest.
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Stats To Know for Chicago vs Philadelphia
- Chicago has a +31 point differential across its last nine games despite an 8-1 record.
- Philadelphia is 30-4 straight-up with Jalen Hurts as a home favorite.
- Four straight meetings have finished under the total.
- Eagles games have averaged under 30 points across the last three weeks.
