Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins Picks and Prediction for Sunday October 11, 2026
The Cincinnati Bengals will travel to Miami Gardens, Florida, Sunday afternoon for an AFC matchup against the Miami Dolphins. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 PM with coverage on FOX. Cincinnati enters the weekend with a 2-2 record following a 22-17 loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars last week. Miami returns home with a 0-4 record following a 15-10 loss to the Minnesota Vikings. Cincinnati is listed as a 6.5-point favorite, with the total set at 42.5 points. The Bengals are -325 on the money line, while Miami comes in at +261. Keep up with our NFL Picks.
Bengals look to end their losing skid
Joe Burrow is leading the Cincinnati offense this season with 112 completions for 1171 yards and seven scores. Chase Brown is the top ball carrier on the team with 207 yards and one touchdown on 58 carries. Tee Higgins is leading Cincinnati this season with 401 yards and one touchdown on 25 receptions. Ja’Marr Chase is second on the roster with 212 yards and three scores on 21 grabs. Tight end Mike Gesicki has compiled 11 catches for 155 yards and three touchdowns.
Offensively, Cincinnati had their issues last week, scoring just 17 points despite 437 total yards after turning the ball over twice in the game. Defensively, Cincinnati was outmatched, giving up 22 points on 323 total yards. Joe Burrow led the way for the Cincinnati offense a week ago, completing 39 passes for 428 yards and one touchdown. Tee Higgins exploded for Cincinnati last week with 157 yards on 11 catches. Mike Gesicki chipped in 40 yards and one score on three grabs.
Key Injury Report for Cincinnati:
- Bryan Cook (Questionable) – Ankle
- Tee Higgins (Questionable) - Groin
- Ja’Marr Chase (Questionable) - Concussion
- BJ Hill (Questionable) Achilles
- Dalton Risner (Questionable) - Knee
Miami hopes for first win of the year
Malik Willis is leading the Miami offense this season with 712 yards and one touchdown on 58 completions, along with 112 yards and one touchdown on 19 carries. Ollie Gordon II is leading the team with 148 yards and two scores on 29 carries this season. Malik Washington is the top receiver on the roster with 219 yards on 17 catches this year. Caleb Douglas has added 113 yards on 7 catches. Ryan Miller has chipped in 3 catches for 92 yards and one score this season.
The Miami offense struggled immensely a week ago, scoring just 10 points on 198 total yards in the loss. Defensively, Miami was outmatched, giving up 15 points on 336 total yards. Malik Willis led the way for Miami a week ago, completing 9 passes for 85 yards. Ollie Gordon ran the ball 9 times for a team-high 100 yards and one touchdown in the game. Malik Washington led all Miami receivers with 67 yards on five catches.
Key Injury Report for Miami:
- Dante Trader Jr. ( Questionable) – Shin
- Storm Duck (PUP-R) – Knee
- Justin Joly (Questionable) – Concussion
- Jaylen Wright (Questionable) – Foot
- Caleb Douglas (Questionable) - Ankle
Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins Picks and Prediction
Pick: Cincinnati Bengals -6.5 (-120)
Cincinnati has a chance to get back on track Sunday afternoon when the Bengals visit Miami. The Dolphins have struggled throughout the early portion of the season and will need a much better offensive performance to keep pace with Cincinnati. The Bengals have enough talent to move the football consistently and should be able to take advantage of a Miami defense that could have trouble containing their passing attack. Miami will need to establish its offense early and avoid falling behind against a Cincinnati team looking to bounce back from a loss. Even with the Bengals being potentially shorthanded on offense, they will have enough to do the work against Miami. The Dolphins should have opportunities to put points on the board, but the Bengals have the stronger overall offense and should be able to pull away for a comfortable road victory.
Pick: Under 42.5 (-105)
Miami has had difficulty producing points this season and could face another challenge Sunday against Cincinnati. The Dolphins managed just 10 points against Minnesota last week and will need to find ways to create more scoring opportunities. Cincinnati should be able to move the football against Miami, but the Bengals may not need a huge offensive performance to take control of this game. The Dolphins will try to keep things competitive by limiting big plays and forcing Cincinnati into longer drives. Miami could have trouble sustaining possessions if its offensive struggles continue. Look for Cincinnati to control much of the game while the Dolphins fail to contribute enough points to push the combined score over the total.