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Cleveland Browns vs. New York Jets Prediction and Picks – Sunday, November 9, 2025

By: Andy Hammel Published 11/07/2025, 09:56 PM ET
Browns vs. Jets prediction

The Cleveland Browns will visit the New York Jets this Sunday, and we'll preview the lines and odds in our Browns vs. Jets prediction. These teams enter Week 10 with a combined 3-13 record–the Browns at 2-6, the Jets at 1-7, both coming off a Week 9 bye. Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 9.

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Browns vs. Jets Matchup

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Browns change play-callers, hold firm through trade deadline

The Cleveland Browns are 2-6 heading into Week 10, coming off a Week 9 bye after a 32-13 loss to the New England Patriots. Over the bye, the team shuffled parts around in a way that losing NFL teams often do–namely, Kevin Stefanski handing play-calling duties off to first-year offensive coordinator Tommy Rees. The team wasn't overly active at the trade deadline, only announcing Tuesday that they'd sent DE Joe Tryon-Shoyinka to Chicago for a swap of late-round picks. It's the fourth such trade that Cleveland has made this season–OT Cam Robinson joined the team on a similar trade, and late picks changed hands in the acquisition of CB Tyson Campbell and the sending off of quarterback Joe Flacco.

That Flacco still leads the team with 815 passing yards, several weeks after going to Cincinnati and several more after he was benched for rookie Dillon Gabriel, says something about how the Browns' season has transpired and the work Rees has to do. Flacco and Gabriel have each started four games for the Browns, with Gabriel having thrown four passes (one for a touchdown) in spot work before taking the quarterback gig full-time. Flacco has attempted 18 more passes, completing eight more for 113 more yards, with three fewer touchdowns and four more interceptions on the season. As a team, the Browns will enter Sunday ranked 29th in passing yards per game (174.1) and 31st in total yards per game (263.5).

Defensively, at least, the Browns are performing well enough to give themselves chances in games. The team allows the sixth-fewest yards per game (182.6), ranks 10th in sacks (24), and has as many takeaways as their offense has giveaways (10). Myles Garrett has already posted 10 sacks and 15 TFLs this season, and rookie linebacker Carson Schwesinger has looked stellar en route to leading the team with 64 tackles. They might have a chance to do something this Sunday against the Jets' offense–one of three in the league that's averaged fewer passing yards per game than the Browns'.

How will Jets look after bye week, selling at deadline?

The New York Jets of 2026 and onward came out of Tuesday's trade deadline as winners, with the team acquiring three first-round picks and a second-round pick in deals with the Colts and Cowboys. In the shorter term, the Jets gave up their two biggest stars on defense: Quinnen Williams and Sauce Gardner. Williams, taken third overall in the 2019 draft by the Jets, had posted seven TFLs, three QB hits, and a sack while playing 71.43% of the team's snaps–the highest percentage on the defensive line. Gardner, taken fourth overall in 2022, had secured six pass defenses through seven games and played up to the lucrative four-year, $120 million extension he'd signed this past offseason.

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As part of the compensation, the Jets of 2025 have added receiver Adonai Mitchell and defensive tackle Mazi Smith. Both players were available for a reason, but they're young, come with a high draft pedigree–Smith was a first-round pick of the Cowboys in 2023, Mitchell a second-round pick of the Colts in 2024–and will have plenty of opportunity to contribute for a Jets team that's lacking at their positions. Smith is entering an interior defensive line rotation that just lost its biggest and best contributor; Mitchell was buried in the Colts' receiving corps and still has more receiving yards this season (152) than every Jets wide receiver not named Garrett Wilson or Tyler Johnson.

Ideally, Mitchell will hit the ground running in New York. The Jets are dead last in the NFL in passing yards per game (156.5), and Justin Fields had combined for fewer than 100 yards in losses to the Broncos (13-11) and Panthers (13-6) before exploding in the team's first win of the season against the Bengals (39-38) two weeks ago. They're third in rushing yards per game (143.6) and retained lead back Breece Hall through the deadline despite numerous rumors that he'd be moved. If a passing offense manifests in New York, they could at least win a few more games down the stretch.

Key Injuries and Analysis:

Browns:

  • Starting LB Carson Schwesinger (ankle) is ?
  • TE Harold Fanin Jr. (hamstring) is ?
  • WR Cedric Tillman (hamstring) is ? But is expected to return from IR.

Jets:

  • Starting LB Kiko Mauigoa (concussion) is out.
  • Starting WR Garrett Wilson (knee) is ?

Browns vs. Jets Pick

Spread Pick for Browns vs. Jets

  • Jets +2.0 (-110) (4 Units)

The Jets have a defined offensive strength in their ground game, and none of the moves they made after the bye week should diminish it. They're playing a Browns team that's struggled mightily on offense, despite their effective defense, scoring 20 or more points in only one of their eight games. If the Jets play a controlled game and get decent returns on the players they've acquired and promoted to fill the starting lineup, they can secure their second win of the season without nearly as miraculous a performance as they had against the Bengals two weeks ago.

Over/Under Pick for Browns vs. Jets

  • Over 38.0 (-110) (4 Units)

These teams have earned every bit of this low total line, but the Jets are coming off a 39-point performance against the Bengals before their bye week. The Browns, for their part, will be playing a Jets defense that figures to be at least marginally worse in their first game since sending Williams and Gardner away. If the game remains close, these teams only need to push 20 points to go over the total.

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