Dallas Cowboys vs. Denver Broncos, Odds, Preview, Prediction and Picks, for Sunday, October 26th, 2025
Use Code SSWC The Dallas Cowboys (3-3-1) are fresh off of a commanding win, and up next, they’ll head to the Mile High City to square off against the red-hot Denver Broncos (5-2). We’ve got you covered with our Cowboys vs. Broncos prediction. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 ET from Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO. Don’t get penalized! Increase your bankroll with our NFL Betting Picks!
Cowboys Bounce Back, Hammer Commanders
The masses wrote off the Dallas Cowboys before the season even started, mainly due to the front office trading away superstar LB Micah Parsons. His absence has 100% taken a toll on what was already a questionable defense, but the Cowboys are still putting a respectable product on the field. They enter the weekend at 3-3-1, and they’re coming off of a nice home win over the Commanders (44-22) in Week 7. They’re 1.5 games out of the divisional lead, and Dallas is priced at +330 to make the playoffs. As for the game-by-game betting numbers, the Cowboys are 4-3 ATS, and they’ve seen five of their seven games go over the total.
QB Dak Prescott is the man under center once again this season, and he is putting together an excellent campaign. The veteran quarterback has thrown for 1,881 yards on a 71.4% completion rate, adding 16 touchdowns and three interceptions. Newcomer WR George Pickens (607 yards, 6 TD), along with TE Jake Ferguson (334 yards, 6 TD) and CeeDee Lamb (332 yards, 1 TD) lead a ferocious receiving group. RB Javonte Williams has spearheaded the rushing attack, gaining 592 yards and six touchdowns on 111 carries (5.3 YPC).
- Offensively, the Cowboys are scoring 31.7 points per game (second), while averaging 390.6 yards per week (first).
- Defensively, they are 30th in the NFL this year, conceding 29.4 points per game. They’re allowing 401.6 yards per contest, which is 32nd.
- Injury Report: The following players are listed as out for Sunday’s game: CB Trevon Diggs (concussion), S Donovan Wilson (elbow/shoulder), LB DeMarvion Overshown (knee), and CB Shavon Revel Jr. (knee).
Broncos Win Fourth Straight Game
As for the Denver Broncos, the Sean Payton-Bo Nix duo is coming off a playoff appearance last season, and they’re primed to make it back to the postseason in 2025-26. The Broncos are 5-2 overall, and they’ve rattled off four straight wins over the Bengals (28-3), Eagles (21-17), Jets (13-11), and Giants (33-32), most recently. They sit atop the AFC West and are priced at +260 to win the division. Denver has gone just 2-5 ATS this season, and they’ve seen five of their seven games go under the total.
Sign Up Get $30 Premium Picks Credit + Exclusive Offers
Subscribe Now
The aforementioned Nix is leading the offense this season, and he has looked solid, but not overpowering. The second-year man out of Oregon has thrown for 1,556 yards on a 62.5% completion rate, adding 11 touchdowns and four interceptions. RB J.K. Dobbins has handled the bulk of the rushing work, logging 523 yards and four touchdowns on 105 carries (5.0 YPC). Out wide, WRs Courtland Sutton (469 yards, 3 TD) and Troy Franklin (269 yards, 2 TD) are the main options for Nix.
- Denver’s offense has been decent this season, ranking 17th in scoring (23.3 PPG), while putting up 347.0 yards per game (11th).
- On the defensive side, the Broncos are fourth this year, allowing 18.1 points per game. In terms of yardage, they’re third, conceding 273.1 yards per contest.
- Injury Report: The Broncos are fully healthy heading into Week 8.
Cowboys vs. Broncos Pick
Spread Pick for Cowboys vs. Broncos
- Denver Broncos -3.5 (+100) (5 units)
I was initially looking to take the points with the Cowboys in this game, but after really thinking about it, I just don’t know that Dallas is going to be able to keep this game close. I think this is a good sell-high spot on the Cowboys. They’re just 3-3-1 SU this season, and their wins are over the lowly Giants (40-37) and Jets (37-22), as well as against a Commanders squad (44-22) that was extremely banged up.
Now their top-tier offense will be tasked with trying to move the ball on a top-five opposing defense. On the flip side, opposing offenses have been able to move the ball at will against the Cowboys this year. Denver isn’t a powerhouse offensively, but they should be able to lean on J.K. Dobbins and this elite offensive line to steamroll Dallas’ defense. I’m in no rush to lock this one in, as we may see this spread come down from 3.5 points to a flat 3.0 points. I think Dallas will be a popular bet this weekend, but I’m willing to back Bo Nix and Denver’s defense at home as a contrarian bet.
Over/Under Pick for Cowboys vs. Broncos
- Over 50.5 (-112) (5 units)
While I expect Denver’s defense to make the necessary stops to win and cover, I’m not expecting them to completely shut down Dallas’ offense. The Cowboys have arguably the best offense in the NFL, ranking second in scoring with 31.7 points per game. The Cowboys have scored 27+ points in four straight games, and they should keep doing damage now that they’re fully healthy. Also, I think it’s worth mentioning that they have the best kicker in the league in Brandon Aubrey, who will also have a favorable environment at altitude.
Just to hammer home how bad Dallas’ defense is, there’s only one team in the NFL allowing 400+ yards per game, and it’s the Cowboys. They’re 30th against the run, conceding 141.3 rushing yards per contest. Opposing quarterbacks are also completing 68.9% of their passes against Dallas (27th), so Denver’s offense should be firing on all cylinders in this one. Give me the over.
Betting on the NFL?
- Be sure to look our our list of the best NFL online sportsbooks
- Grow your bankroll by claiming one of our favorite NFL sportsbook promo codes
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
