Dallas Cowboys vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction and Picks - November 17, 2025
It's Monday Night Football, and we have a Dallas Cowboys vs Las Vegas Raiders prediction locked and loaded for you. The Cowboys are off their bye week, and they lost to Arizona at home by a score of 27-17 before it. Dallas is now 3-5-1 on the year. Las Vegas comes in off a 10-7 road loss to Denver to fall to 2-7 on the year. These teams last met back in 2021, and the Raiders won that game on the road by a score of 36-33 in OT. Read on to see our Cowboys vs Raiders prediction.
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Cowboys Stunned At Home By Arizona
Dallas enters this matchup at 3–5–1, still searching for consistency in a season that’s been defined by ups and downs. Their most recent outing was a 27–17 loss to Arizona, where Dak Prescott threw for 250 yards and a touchdown but couldn’t overcome defensive lapses. The Cowboys have dealt with adversity off the field as well, playing their first game since the tragic passing of defensive end Marshawn Kneeland. That emotional weight hangs over the locker room, but the team has rallied around the idea of honoring him with their play. With a bye week to regroup, Dallas now turns its focus to a Raiders team that has struggled but remains dangerous at home.
Offensively, the Cowboys have been one of the league’s more explosive units, averaging nearly 29 points per game and ranking fourth in total offense. Prescott has been sharp, completing close to 70% of his passes with 17 touchdowns against six interceptions. CeeDee Lamb continues to be the centerpiece of the passing attack, while newcomer George Pickens has added another dynamic weapon on the outside. Javonte Williams has provided balance in the run game, averaging over five yards per carry. Against Las Vegas, Dallas will look to push tempo and lean on its passing game to exploit a secondary that has been inconsistent.
Defensively, Dallas has been a liability, giving up over 30 points per game and ranking near the bottom of the league in yards allowed. That weakness prompted aggressive moves at the trade deadline, bringing in Pro Bowl defensive tackle Quinnen Williams and linebacker Logan Wilson to shore up the front seven. The Cowboys hope those additions can immediately impact a unit that has struggled to stop the run and generate consistent pressure. Facing a Raiders offense that has been one of the least productive in the league, this is a chance for Dallas to show improvement and prove their defense can complement their high-powered offense.
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Raiders Fall Short Against Broncos
The Raiders enter at 2–7, coming off a frustrating 10–7 loss to Denver where their offense sputtered once again. Geno Smith has had an uneven season, throwing for 1,844 yards with 11 touchdowns but also 12 interceptions, and the lack of consistency has been a major issue. Running back Ashton Jeanty has been a bright spot, rushing for 547 yards and four scores, while rookie tight end Brock Bowers has quickly become a reliable target with 383 yards and three touchdowns. Still, the Raiders have averaged just 15 points per game, ranking near the bottom of the league, and they’ll need a spark to keep pace with Dallas.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Marc David | +521.00 |
| 2 |  Rob Vincilleti | +502.00 |
| 3 |  Bruce Marshall | +471.00 |
| 4 |  Patty Reyes | +400.00 |
| 5 |  Mike Lundin | +288.00 |
Offensively, Las Vegas has struggled to find rhythm, ranking 30th in total offense and 27th in passing. Smith has capable weapons in Tre Tucker and Bowers, but turnovers have killed drives and limited scoring opportunities. Jeanty’s ability to grind out yards has helped, but the Raiders haven’t been able to establish a consistent ground game to take pressure off their quarterback. Against Dallas, they’ll need to protect the football and find ways to sustain drives, especially if the Cowboys’ offense starts fast.
Defensively, the Raiders have been more competitive, ranking 15th in total defense and allowing just over 24 points per game. Linebacker Devin White leads the team with 87 tackles, while Maxx Crosby remains the heartbeat of the pass rush with five sacks. The unit has forced six interceptions and 18 total sacks, showing they can disrupt opponents when given opportunities. Against Dallas, the challenge will be containing Prescott and his receivers while also holding up against Williams in the run game. If the defense can replicate the effort they showed against Denver, the Raiders could keep this game close and give themselves a chance late.
Dallas Cowboys vs Las Vegas Raiders Pick
Cowboys vs Raiders Spread Pick
- Dallas -3.5 (3 Units)
Dallas -3.5 looks like the right side because the Cowboys’ offense has consistently shown it can put points on the board, averaging nearly 29 per game, while the Raiders have struggled to crack 15. Dak Prescott has been sharp with his accuracy and decision-making, and the combination of CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens gives him multiple reliable targets. Javonte Williams adds balance in the run game, which should keep Las Vegas’ defense guessing. Against a Raiders team that has been plagued by turnovers and inconsistency, Dallas has the firepower to build a lead and maintain control.
On the other side, the Cowboys’ defense has been shaky, but the recent additions of Quinnen Williams and Logan Wilson should help stabilize the unit. Facing a Raiders offense that ranks near the bottom of the league in both scoring and total yards, this is a matchup where Dallas’ defense can finally assert itself. Geno Smith has struggled with interceptions, and if the Cowboys’ pass rush can pressure him into mistakes, it will set up short fields for Prescott and company. With their offensive edge and a defense poised to improve, Dallas has the tools to cover the spread on Monday night.
Cowboys vs Raiders Over/Under Pick
- Under 50 (3 Units)
The Under 50 feels like the right angle because while Dallas has the offensive talent to score, the Raiders’ offense has been one of the least productive in the league, averaging just 15 points per game. Geno Smith’s turnover issues and Las Vegas’ inability to sustain drives make it hard to envision a shootout, especially against a Cowboys defense that just added reinforcements up front. Dallas should control tempo with Prescott and Javonte Williams, but if the Raiders struggle to keep pace, the game flow leans toward a lower-scoring contest that stays beneath the number.
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