Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Jets Picks and Prediction for Sunday, October 5, 2025

By: Arthur Reyes Published 10/03/2025, 07:04 PM ET
Use Code SSWC

In our Cowboys vs Jets prediction, the Dallas Cowboys (1-2-1) are looking to build off their 40-40 overtime home tie on Sunday against the Green Bay Packers in Week 4. Quarterback Dak Prescott played well in the game as he completed 31-of-40 passes for 319 yards with three passing touchdowns to one interception while also adding a two-yard rushing touchdown.

The New York Jets (0-4) are looking to get their first win after their 16-15 home win on Monday against the Arizona Cardinals. Quarterback Justin Fields completed 20-of-27 passes for 226 yards with a passing touchdown as well as seven carries for 81 yards (11.6 yards per attempt) and a rushing touchdown.

Stay ahead of the sticks with NFL predictions for the Dallas Cowboys vs. the New York Jets.

Cowboys Offense Continues to Shine

The Dallas Cowboys are coming off a 40-40 overtime home tie in Week 4 against the Green Bay Packers on Sunday night. Quarterback Dak Prescott played well in the game as he completed 31-of-40 passes for 319 yards with three passing touchdowns to one interception while also adding a two-yard rushing touchdown. He's completing 72.0% of his passes for 1,119 yards with six TDs and three picks this season. The team scored 40 points on 436 total yards (319 passing, 117 rushing). Even though there were a lot of positives, the biggest flaw was the fact that Dallas committed 11 penalties for 95 yards.

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Their defense allowed the Green Bay Packers to record 40 points on 489 total yards (325 passing, 164 rushing). The defense struggled as Green Bay was 10-for-14 on third downs and allowed them to go 5-for-6 in the red zone. However, Dallas was able to force a fumble as the game’s only takeaway.

The Dallas Cowboys are scoring 28.5 points per game and averaging 281.3 passing yards per game. That's impressive considering their top wide receiver CeeDee Lamb (ankle) is out. Newly acquired receiver George Pickens has stepped up with 21 catches for 300 yards. The defense is allowing 33.0 points per game (31st) and 429.5 yards per game (32nd).

Injury Report for Dallas

  • Safety Malik Hooker: Toe (Questionable)
  • Running back Miles Sanders: Knee (Questionable)
  • Linebacker Kenneth Murray Jr: Knee (Questionable)
  • Cornerback Trevon Diggs: Knee (Questionable)
  • Offensive lineman Tyler Smith: Knee (Questionable)
  • Wide receiver KaVontae Turpin: Foot (Questionable)
  • Offensive tackle Tyler Guyton: Concussion (Questionable)
  • Wide receiver CeeDee Lamb: Ankle (OUT)
  • Offensive guard Tyler Booker: Ankle (OUT)
  • Linebacker DeMarvion Overshown: Knee (OUT)
  • Cornerback Josh Butler: Knee (OUT)

Jets Still Looking for First Win

The New York Jets lost on the road 27-21 in Week 4 against the Miami Dolphins on Monday. The offense was able to score 21 points on 404 total yards (207 passing, 197 rushing) in the game. Quarterback Justin Fields completed 20-of-27 passes for 226 yards with a passing touchdown as well as seven carries for 81 yards (11.6 yards per attempt) and a rushing touchdown. He's completing 65% of his passes for 471 yards with two TDs and no picks, while rushing for 189 yards and three scores.Β  One major positive was the fact that the team was able to run effectively, averaging 7.0 yards per rush. However, the team struggled to maintain possession as they had three lost fumbles.

The Jets also lost third-leading rusher Braelon Allen in Monday night's loss to the Giants. He's out for 8-12 weeks with a knee injury.The defense of the Jets allowed 27 points on 300 total yards (177 passing, 123 rushing). Miami was able to move the ball well as they averaged 5.1 yards per play in the four quarters while also struggling to limit the number of trips to the red zone, going 3-for-4 in the red zone.

The Jets are putting up 22.5 points per game. However, the defense has been allowing 30.0 points per game. The Jets are averaging just 160.3 yards per game in the air and allowing 199.8 passing yards.

Injury Report for New York

  • Running back Kene Nwangwu: Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Cornerback Michael Carter II: Concussion (Questionable)
  • Linebacker Jermaine Johnson: Ankle (Questionable)
  • Tight end Mason Taylor: Ankle (Questionable)
  • Running back Braelon Allen: Knee (OUT)
  • Wide receiver Irvin Charles: Knee (OUT)

Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Jets Pick

Spread Pick for Cowboys vs. Jets

  • Dallas Cowboys -140 (4 units)

These are two incomplete football teams, but the Dallas Cowboys have shown more promise throughout the first quarter of the season. They played the Green Bay Packers tough last week and continue to look like one of the most impressive offensive teams in the league. The Jets have not played a game where they have started off strong offensively since Week 1, so expecting that feels like a stretch. With a shaky defensive showing that struggled and has a short week after playing on Monday night, go with the Dallas Cowboys to go on the road and defeat the New York Jets.

Over/Under Pick for Cowboys vs. Jets

  • OVER 47.5 (4 units)

Neither defense has shown the ability to get stops and force punts on a semi-consistent basis. Both teams allow the opponent to extend drives as Dallas is allowing teams to go 32-of-55 (58.18%) on third downs so far while New York is giving up 17-of-49 (34.69%) against them this far. Expect to see a lot of points early on and the Jets to score late, which seems to be their formula when down big. All in all, go with OVER 47.5 POINTS here.

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