Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction and Picks - December 7, 2025
Sunday afternoon National Football League action, and we have a Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders prediction locked and loaded for you. Denver comes in off a 27-26 win over Washington on the road and they are now 10-2 on the year. The Raiders come in at 2-10 on the year and they are off a 31-14 loss to the Chargers on the road. Read on to see our Broncos vs Raiders prediction.
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Broncos Squeak By The Commanders
The Broncos’ most recent game was a 27–26 overtime win against Washington on November 30, where Bo Nix threw for 294 yards and two touchdowns, and Denver survived a late rally thanks to a defensive stand in the extra period. That victory extended their winning streak to nine games, and it reinforced the formula that has carried them all season: timely offense paired with a defense that consistently keeps them in control.
Offensively, Denver has been steady, ranking 12th in total yards (340.8 per game) and scoring 23.7 points per game (13th). Nix has thrown for 2,742 yards with 19 touchdowns and nine interceptions, while Courtland Sutton leads the receiving corps with 711 yards and five scores. The ground game has been balanced, with J.K. Dobbins (772 yards, 4 TDs) and RJ Harvey (279 yards, 4 TDs) splitting carries. Denver has committed just 13 turnovers (12th fewest), which has helped them close out tight contests.
Defensively, the Broncos have been elite, ranking 5th in total defense (286.4 yards allowed) and 4th in points allowed (18.2 per game). They’re top‑10 against both the pass (193.3 yards allowed, 9th) and the run (93.1 yards allowed, 5th). Injuries, however, are notable: DT D.J. Jones (ankle, out), TE Nate Adkins (knee, out), and LB Drew Sanders (foot, IR) headline the list. Still, Zach Allen has been cleared to play, and Nik Bonitto continues to shine with 10.5 sacks. With Pat Surtain II back healthy, Denver’s secondary is once again at full strength heading into this divisional matchup.
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The Raiders Fall Big To The Chargers
The Raiders’ most recent game was a 31–14 loss to the Los Angeles Chargers on November 30, where Geno Smith threw for 165 yards and two touchdowns but also tossed two interceptions, and the offense managed just 67 rushing yards. It was their sixth straight defeat, dropping them to 2–10, and underscored the struggles of a team that has been unable to find consistency on either side of the ball.
Offensively, Las Vegas ranks near the bottom across the board, averaging just 259.5 total yards (30th) and a league‑worst 75.4 rushing yards per game. Smith has thrown for 2,532 yards with 15 touchdowns and 14 interceptions, while rookie back Ashton Jeanty has managed 635 rushing yards but only four scores. Brock Bowers has been a bright spot at tight end with 573 receiving yards and five touchdowns, and Tre Tucker has added 550 yards and five scores. Still, turnovers have been crippling — the Raiders have committed 17 giveaways (24th), often killing drives before they can build momentum.
Defensively, Las Vegas has been middling, ranking 15th in total defense (323.3 yards allowed) but giving up 25.7 points per game (26th). They’ve been stronger against the pass (212.5 yards allowed, 17th) than the run (110.8 yards allowed, 15th). Injuries remain a major storyline: TE Michael Mayer (ankle, out), WR Dont’e Thornton Jr. (concussion, out), WR Alex Bachman (thumb, out), and DE Maxx Crosby (knee, questionable) headline the report. Geno Smith has been limited by a foot injury but is expected to play, while Jamal Adams (knee, questionable) and Jeremy Chinn (back, questionable) could impact the defensive rotation. With Pete Carroll’s team already eliminated from playoff contention, the Raiders are playing for pride, but they’ll need a near‑perfect effort to hang with Denver’s balanced attack.
Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders Pick
Broncos vs Raiders Spread Pick
- Denver -7.5 (5 Units)
Denver -7.5 looks like the right side because the Broncos are riding a nine‑game winning streak and just pulled out a 27–26 overtime win against Washington. Bo Nix has settled in as the leader of this offense, throwing for nearly 3,000 yards with 19 touchdowns, and the balance between Courtland Sutton in the passing game and J.K. Dobbins on the ground has kept defenses guessing. Denver averages 340.8 yards per game and has committed only 13 turnovers, which is a big reason they’ve been able to close out tight contests. Against a Raiders team that ranks 30th in total offense and dead last in rushing, the Broncos should be able to control tempo and force Las Vegas into obvious passing situations.
The bigger edge comes from Denver’s defense, which has been one of the league’s best, allowing just 286.4 yards per game (5th) and 18.2 points per game (4th). They’re top‑10 against both the run and the pass, and with Pat Surtain II healthy again, the secondary is back to full strength. Las Vegas, meanwhile, has dropped six straight and averages only 14.9 points per game (31st), with Geno Smith throwing 14 interceptions and the ground game stuck at a league‑worst 75.4 yards per game. Even if Maxx Crosby suits up through his knee issue, the Raiders’ defense has given up nearly 26 points per game, and that’s not enough to offset their offensive struggles. With Denver’s defense dictating the matchup and Nix playing mistake‑free football, laying the 7.5 points feels justified.
Broncos vs Raiders Over/Under Pick
- Under 40.5 (4 Units)
The Under 40.5 feels like the right lean in Broncos–Raiders because Denver’s defense has been one of the league’s stingiest, allowing just 18.2 points per game (4th) and ranking top‑five against both the run and the pass, while Las Vegas has been completely inept offensively, averaging only 14.9 points per game (31st) and a league‑worst 75.4 rushing yards per game. The Broncos just played a tight, low‑scoring overtime battle with Washington, and their formula of controlling tempo with Bo Nix and leaning on a suffocating defense travels well. The Raiders, meanwhile, have dropped six straight and scored more than 20 points just once in that stretch, with Geno Smith throwing 14 interceptions and the offense unable to sustain drives. With Denver’s defense dictating pace and Las Vegas struggling to move the ball, this matchup has all the makings of a grind that stays below the 40.5 total.
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