Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Sunday January 4 2026
Lions vs Bears picks take center stage in the NFC North finale with Chicago still fighting for playoff seeding and Detroit looking to play spoiler. I am breaking down Detroit vs Chicago predictions using motivation, recent form, and betting market movement that align with my weekly NFL picks.
TLDR - Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Lions +2.5
- Total Pick: Over 49
- Projected Final Score: Lions 27, Bears 24
Stats to Know and Betting Trends for Lions vs Bears
- Detroit has won six of the last seven meetings with Chicago.
- The Lions dominated the Bears 52-21 in Week 2.
- Chicago has played 12 straight weeks without a bye.
- Detroit has played six straight games in a dome.
- Detroit has drawn over 80 percent of spread tickets.
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit | +2.5 (-102) | Over 49 (-115) |
| Chicago | -2.5 (-120) | Under 49 (-105) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Detroit | Chicago |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/30 | 11:46 AM | +2 (-102) | -2 (-120) |
| 12/29 | 10:37 AM | +2 (-105) | -2 (-115) |
| 12/29 | 09:14 AM | +2.5 (-108) | -2.5 (-112) |
| 12/29 | 07:41 AM | +2.5 (-110) | -2.5 (-110) |
| 12/28 | 11:51 PM | +1.5 (-105) | -1.5 (-115) |
| 12/28 | 08:26 PM | +1.5 (-105) | -1.5 (-115) |
| 12/28 | 06:36 PM | +2.5 (-110) | -2.5 (-110) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/29 | 10:37 AM | 49 (-115) | 49 (-105) |
| 12/29 | 07:41 AM | 49 (-106) | 49 (-114) |
| 12/28 | 11:51 PM | 49 (-104) | 49 (-118) |
| 12/28 | 06:36 PM | 49 (-104) | 49 (-118) |
Lions vs Bears Game Preview and Analysis
Chicago enters the regular season finale with everything still on the table. A win locks up the No. 2 seed and a much cleaner playoff path, while a loss invites chaos. That pressure matters, especially for a team that has been grinding without a bye since early October.
Detroit may not have anything tangible to gain in the standings, but Dan Campbell has never coached that way. The Lions dominated this matchup earlier in the season and Campbell’s competitive edge against his former offensive coordinator adds an extra layer to this game. Detroit has also had extra time to prepare after playing last Thursday.
Chicago’s week has been far from normal. The Bears were dealing with the flu last week and have several key wide receivers listed as questionable. Combined with fatigue and the pressure of seeding implications, this is not an ideal setup. Detroit’s physical style and willingness to lean into discomfort makes the Lions attractive as a road underdog.
Key Injuries and Notes (DET vs CHI)
- CHI: Rome Odunze is listed as questionable.
- CHI: Luther Burden III is listed as questionable.
- CHI: Olamide Zaccheaus is listed as questionable.
Final Score Prediction
Detroit 27, Chicago 24
ATS and Total Picks
- ATS: Lions +2.5
- Total: Over 49