Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears Prediction, Picks, Odds, and Line Movement for December 20 2025
Use Code SSWC Packers vs Bears picks headline this NFC North rematch as Green Bay travels to Chicago, and this matchup sits prominently on the NFL picks board with betting markets expecting another competitive divisional battle after the Packers’ recent run of success in the series.
TLDR - Picks and Prediction
- Spread: Green Bay -1.5
- Total: Under 46
- Projected Final Score: Packers 23, Bears 20
Stats and Betting Trends to Know for Green Bay vs Chicago
- The under has hit in five of the last six Packers vs Bears games.
- Chicago ranks No. 2 in EPA per rush attempt since Week 9.
- Green Bay has covered seven of its last nine games overall.
- Green Bay has won 12 of the last 13 meetings against Chicago.
- The Packers won the first matchup 28-21 earlier this month.
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Green Bay | -1.5 (-110) | Over 46 (-112) |
| Chicago | +1.5 (-110) | Under 46 (-108) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Green Bay | Chicago |
|---|---|---|
| 12/15 | -1.5 (-102) | +1.5 (-120) |
| 12/14 | -2.5 (-110) | +2.5 (-110) |
| 12/11 | -3.5 (-102) | +3.5 (-120) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 12/15 | 46 (-112) | 46 (-108) |
| 12/14 | 45 (-118) | 45 (-104) |
Green Bay vs Chicago Game Preview and Analysis
Green Bay has controlled this rivalry recently, winning 12 of the last 13 meetings and earning a 28-21 victory over Chicago just two weeks ago. Jordan Love was efficient in that contest, throwing for 234 yards and three touchdowns, but this rematch could look different given the injury situation surrounding the Packers.
Wide receiver Christian Watson, who scored twice in the first meeting, is listed on the injury report after a scary fall last week. Green Bay is also dealing with the loss of Micah Parsons, whose absence has had a measurable impact on the defense. With Parsons off the field, the Packers have seen a significant drop in both EPA per play allowed and defensive success rate.
Chicago enters this matchup with its own offensive concerns. Rookie wide receivers Rome Odunze and Luther Burden III are both dealing with injuries, which could limit the Bears’ ability to attack through the air. That context points toward a heavier rushing approach, especially considering Chicago’s recent success on the ground.
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The Bears have been one of the league’s most efficient rushing teams since Week 9, and a run-heavy script makes sense against a Green Bay defense missing key contributors. That style also shortens the game and supports a lower-scoring outcome.
Key Injuries and Notes for GB vs CHI
- Packers WR Christian Watson is questionable with a chest injury.
- Packers LB Micah Parsons is out for the season.
- Bears WR Rome Odunze is dealing with a foot injury.
- Bears WR Luther Burden III is questionable with an ankle injury.
Final Score Prediction
Packers 23, Bears 20
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ATS and Total Picks
- Against the Spread: Green Bay -1.5
- Over Under: Under 46
