Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Saturday January 10 2026
Packers vs Bears picks take center stage once again as Green Bay and Chicago meet for the third time in just over a month, a rare scenario that adds another layer of intrigue for bettors digging into this weekend’s NFL picks. Familiarity, injuries, and weather all play a major role in how this matchup sets up, and those factors are already shaping the betting market.
TLDR - Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Chicago +1.5
- Total Pick: Under 46
- Projected Final Score: Bears 23, Packers 20
Stats to Know and Betting Trends for Packers vs Bears
- Green Bay and Chicago have split their two meetings this season.
- The Packers won 28-21 at home on December 7.
- The Bears won the rematch in overtime two weeks later.
- Jordan Love missed the second meeting but has been cleared to return.
- Early betting splits show Green Bay taking a majority of spread tickets.
- Weather forecasts call for gusty winds and potential wintry conditions.
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Green Bay | -1.5 | -105 |
| Chicago | +1.5 | -115 |
| Total | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 45.5 | -114 | -106 |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Packers | Bears |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04 | 10:04:01PM | -1.5 (-118) | +1.5 (-104) |
| 01/05 | 00:19:28AM | -1.5 (+100) | +1.5 (-122) |
| 01/06 | 09:16:17PM | -1.5 (-105) | +1.5 (-115) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04 | 10:04:02PM | 46 (-110) | 46 (-110) |
| 01/05 | 09:00:12AM | 46 (-110) | 46 (-110) |
| 01/05 | 10:35:16AM | 45.5 (-114) | 45.5 (-106) |
Packers vs Bears Game Preview and Analysis
Seeing a division rival three times in a season is rare. Seeing them three times in roughly a month is almost unheard of, and it makes this matchup tricky to handicap. Each team already knows what works and what does not.
Green Bay earned the first win at Lambeau Field, but that game easily could have gone the other way if not for an interception in the end zone as Chicago drove for a tying score. The Bears flipped the script in the rematch, with Caleb Williams throwing a game-winning touchdown in overtime after Jordan Love left early with a concussion.
Love is back for this one, but Green Bay enters the postseason limping. The Packers dropped their final four regular season games and continue to deal with offensive line issues. Chicago, meanwhile, pushed hard in its season finale and leaned heavily on the run game.
Weather is the biggest wildcard. If wind and winter conditions limit both passing attacks, the matchup tilts toward Chicago. The Bears have been more efficient on the ground since Green Bay lost key pieces up front, and that edge becomes more important if this turns into a low-scoring, clock-driven game.
GB and CHI Key Injuries and Notes
- GB: Jordan Love has been cleared to return from concussion protocol.
- GB: Cornerback Bo Melton and safety Javon Bullard exited last week’s game.
- GB: Offensive line depth remains a concern.
- CHI: Chicago went full-speed in Week 18.
Final Score Prediction
- Bears 23
- Packers 20
ATS and Total Picks
- Against the Spread: Chicago +1.5
- Total: Under 46