Green Bay Packers vs. New York Giants, Odds, Preview, Prediction and Picks – Sunday, November 16
The New York Giants will host the Green Bay Packers in Week 11, and we'll preview the lines and odds in our Packers vs. Giants prediction. The Packers played a low-scoring game against the Eagles on Monday Night Football last week, ultimately losing 10-7, while the Giants are days removed from firing head coach Brian Daboll after their eighth loss of the season. Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 16.
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Packers are struggling in last two games without Kraft
The Green Bay Packers are 5-3-1 heading into Week 12, putting them half a game behind the 6-3 Detroit Lions and Chicago Bears at the top of the NFC North. They've been competitive in each game–four of their five wins this season have come by multiple-possession margins, while none of their losses have come by more than three points. On the other hand, they're 0-2 in November after a bewildering 16-13 loss to the Panthers and last week's 10-7 loss to the Eagles.
Green Bay ended each of their first four drives against Philadelphia with punts, running 20 plays and gaining only 38 yards. Their fifth drive ended in a fumble, despite Jordan Love's best effort to pantomime throwing a forward pass after the ball had left his hand. The second half wasn't vastly better–Josh Jacobs ran in a touchdown to put the team on the board in the fourth quarter, but he was swarmed in the backfield on a 4th down attempt to end the Packers' next drive. By the time the Packers had the ball again, they'd exhausted their timeouts and only had 27 seconds to conduct a game-saving drive. That drive fell short–like most of their other attempts that day–when a confounding end-of-game sequence ended with Brandon McManus misfiring terribly on a 64-yard field goal attempt. Love completed 20 of 36 passes for 176 yards, averaging only 4.9 yards per attempt. Five of those passes went to Jacobs, who accounted for 107 of the Packers' 261 yards and their lone touchdown.
The offense looked like it sorely missed Tucker Kraft, who was sent to injured reserve with a torn ACL after racking up 489 yards and six touchdowns through the team's first eight games. Romeo Doubs–who leads the team in receptions (35) and ranks second with 446 yards and four touchdowns–finished Monday's game with four targets, one catch, and five yards. Matthew Golden, who's accounted for 262 yards on 23 catches since the team took him 23rd overall in this past NFL Draft, missed the game with a shoulder injury. He's still listed as questionable heading into this week after being a limited participant in all three days of practice.
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How will Giants look after coach, quarterback shuffle?
The New York Giants are 2-8 heading into Week 12, putting them at the bottom of an NFC East that only has one team with a winning record. They're tied with the New Orleans Saints for the worst record in the NFC, and they're only half a game ahead of the Tennessee Titans for the worst record in the league. Their come-from-ahead 24-20 loss to the Bears last week marked the Giants' fourth consecutive loss, their fourth road loss this year in a game they at one point led by 10-plus points, and the last game of Brian Daboll's tenure as the team's head coach.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rob Vincilleti | +867.00 |
| 2 |  Marc David | +691.00 |
| 3 |  Bruce Marshall | +656.00 |
| 4 |  Patty Reyes | +390.00 |
| 5 |  Arthur Reyes | +182.00 |
Mike Kafka, who's been the Giants' offensive coordinator since Daboll's tenure began in 2022, is taking over as the interim head coach. Tight ends coach Tim Kelly was elevated to fill the offensive coordinator role, a position he's previously held for the Houston Texans (2019-2021) and Tennessee Titans (2023). Beyond the coaching shakeup, the team also announced that Jameis Winston will make his first start of the season at quarterback–Jaxson Dart hasn't practiced since leaving last week's loss with a concussion, and he's been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Packers.
Dart was productive against the Bears–he completed 19 of 29 passes for 242 yards through the air, and he turned six rushing attempts into 66 yards and both of the Giants' touchdowns. Darius Slayton led the team with 89 receiving yards while catching each of his four targets, but he's also been ruled out for Sunday's game with a hamstring injury. Among the Giants' remaining healthy players, Tyrone Tracy Jr. leads the backfield with 248 yards and a touchdown on 64 carries, while Wan'Dale Robinson leads the receiving corps with 53 catches and 602 yards. Theo Johnson leads the team with five receiving touchdowns, and he posted season-high marks in targets (eight), receptions (seven), and yards (75) against the Bears.
Packers vs. Giants Pick
Spread Pick for Packers vs. Giants
- Giants +7.0 (-110) (4 Units)
The Packers have been dismal against the spread this season, covering only once in their last seven games despite going 3-3-1 straight-up. Even if they get right against what should be a vulnerable Giants team, it's hard to confidently say that they'll make things look easy. The Giants' side of this is largely an enigma – the team didn't win a game this season until Jaxson Dart took over under center for Russell Wilson, and Jameis Winston had been behind both players on the depth chart until this week. Winston had fun moments during a seven-game stretch as a starter for the Browns last season, but the team went 2-5 with all five losses coming by multiple-score margins. It's extremely unclear how Kafka will operate the offense with Winston under center, but that could work in the Giants' favor if the team executes moderately well. Either way, covering as seven-point underdogs won't be terribly hard if the Packers score 13 or fewer points for a third straight game.
Over/Under Pick for Packers vs. Giants
- Under 42.5 (-105) (5 Units)
The Giants scored fewer than ten points in two of their first three games this season before Dart entered the lineup at quarterback. The Packers are coming off two straight three-point losses in which the teams combined to score fewer than 30 points–a theme in all three of their losses thus far, adding in their 13-10 loss to the Browns in Week 3. It's certainly possible that one team avoids putting on an ugly performance in this game, but I wouldn't bet on both of them figuring it out this week. The 42.5 total line is low, but the Team Total Under has hit on lower lines in games from both of these teams this season.
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