Green Bay Packers vs New York Jets Picks and Prediction for Sunday September 20 2026

The Green Bay Packers visit the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, on Sunday, September 20, 2026. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 PM ET. Green Bay enters at 0-1 after losing 39-22 at Minnesota, while New York is 1-0 following an impressive 23-10 road victory over Tennessee. Despite those opposite Week 1 results, Green Bay remains favored on the road. The Packers are currently around -5.5, with the Jets at +5.5, while the total is approximately 42.5 points. Get into all the NFL action with our free NFL picks.

Green Bay Looks to Turn Production Into Points

Green Bay's 39-22 loss at Minnesota looks ugly on the scoreboard, but the Packers produced 419 total yards. Their inability to turn that yardage into enough points was a major reason the final margin became so large.

That underlying offensive production makes Green Bay an interesting bounce-back candidate. A team generating more than 400 yards is generally moving the football well enough to create scoring opportunities. The Packers need to finish those possessions and avoid allowing New York to dictate the tempo.

Green Bay's larger concern comes defensively after surrendering 39 points. The Jets aren't necessarily built to attack in the same way Minnesota did, however. New York's Week 1 formula centered heavily around controlling possession and running the football.

New York Has a Chance to Validate Its Opening Win

The Jets opened with an impressive 23-10 victory at Tennessee. New York ran the football 39 times and possessed the ball for more than 38 minutes, establishing exactly the type of identity that could help against Green Bay.

That approach allows the Jets to reduce possessions and prevent opponents from developing offensive rhythm. It could be particularly effective against a Green Bay team trying to rebound from a disappointing defensive performance. New York doesn't need to dramatically change its formula after winning by 13 points on the road.

The question is whether the Jets can maintain that control if Green Bay starts converting its yardage into touchdowns. Playing from behind would force New York away from its preferred game script. At +5.5, however, the Jets have enough cushion that they don't necessarily need to win outright.

Green Bay Packers vs New York Jets Picks and Prediction

Pick: New York Jets +5.5

Take the New York Jets +5.5. Green Bay may ultimately win, but laying more than a field goal on the road with a team that just lost by 17 points is difficult. New York's ability to run the football and dominate possession gives the Jets a realistic path toward keeping this close. Getting 5.5 points at home provides enough protection to take the underdog.

Pick: Under 42.5

Take the Under 42.5. New York's Week 1 approach is built for an Under. The Jets ran 39 times, controlled the ball for more than 38 minutes and held Tennessee to 10 points. Green Bay should score more than Tennessee did, but New York has the ability to shorten the game. A score around Green Bay 23, New York 20 fits the matchup.

Final Picks: New York Jets +5.5 and Under 42.5