Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans Picks and Prediction for Sunday November 15 2026

Jacksonville heads to Nashville on Sunday for a 1 PM ET game against Tennessee at Nissan Stadium. The Jaguars are favored by 9.5 points, and the total is 45.5. The early forecast looks good, with temperatures around 51-52 degrees, winds near 5 mph, and almost no chance of rain. Jacksonville has been one of the better teams in football, while Tennessee has been having a miserable season. That’s a pretty big spread for a road team, but I can understand why it’s there. The Jaguars have been scoring almost 11 more points a game than the Titans. With the NFL season heating up you should make sure you are fully prepared with our free NFL picks.

Jacksonville Has Been Taking Care of Business

Jacksonville is 6-2 after beating its last two opponents by a combined 58 points. The Jaguars beat their Week 9 opponent 33-10 after winning 42-7 the week before. That’s two pretty convincing performances. Jacksonville has been playing good football on both sides, and the offense has been especially effective. The Jaguars aren’t just winning close games. They’ve been putting opponents away.

Jacksonville is averaging 28.6 points and 346.4 yards per game. The Jaguars have also been excellent at creating turnovers, with 11 interceptions and a plus-nine turnover differential. That’s the best mark in football. Tennessee has been struggling offensively, so Jacksonville should have opportunities to create more mistakes. The Jaguars also need to keep running the football because the Titans haven’t been controlling possession well.

Trevor Lawrence has thrown for 1,932 yards with 18 touchdowns and only four interceptions. That’s excellent production. Bhayshul Tuten has rushed for 521 yards and four touchdowns, while Christian Washington has 493 receiving yards and five scores. Jacksonville has enough balance to attack Tennessee in different ways. The Jaguars need to protect Lawrence and avoid getting careless. That’s about the only way I see Tennessee making this interesting.

Tennessee Has Been Having a Long Season

Tennessee is 1-7, and the Titans have been struggling in just about every area. They’ve been competitive in some games, but the offense hasn’t been producing enough points. Tennessee has also been spending too much time on defense because it can’t keep drives alive. That’s a rough combination against a team like Jacksonville.

The Titans are averaging only 18 points and 272.5 yards per game. They’re also last in the league in time of possession at just 25 minutes and 37 seconds. That’s a big problem. Tennessee keeps giving opponents extra opportunities because its offense can’t stay on the field. Jacksonville has been scoring nearly 29 points a game, so the Titans can’t afford another afternoon of three-and-outs.

Cam Ward has thrown for 1,483 yards with six touchdowns and five interceptions. Tony Pollard has rushed for 595 yards and six touchdowns, which gives Tennessee at least one dependable offensive option. But the Titans need more from the passing game. Ward can’t keep getting stuck in obvious passing situations, especially against a Jacksonville defense that’s been creating interceptions. Tennessee needs to run the ball and protect it. That’s the only realistic path to keeping this close.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans Picks and Prediction

Spread Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars -9.5

I’m taking Jacksonville and laying the 9.5 points. I don’t love giving almost ten points on the road, especially in a divisional game. But Tennessee has been averaging only 18 points, while Jacksonville is at 28.6. The Jaguars also have the best turnover differential in football. That’s a terrible matchup for a young quarterback who’s already been having a difficult season. Tennessee could keep this close if Pollard controls the game, but I think Jacksonville gets ahead and stays there. Give me the Jaguars by two touchdowns.

Total Pick: Under 45.5

I’ll take the under 45.5. Jacksonville can score, and that’s the obvious concern. The Jaguars have put up 75 points in their last two games. But Tennessee has been struggling to move the football, and I don’t expect the Titans to suddenly score 25 against this defense. Jacksonville could get a big lead and start running the ball, which would help keep the clock moving. Something around 30-13 Jaguars makes sense to me.

Final Picks: Jacksonville Jaguars -9.5 | Under 45.5