Kansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta Falcons Picks and Predictions for Sunday, November 15, 2026

On Sunday, the Kansas City Chiefs will visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta to play the Falcons at 1:00 pm ET on CBS. The Chiefs are 6-2 and second in the AFC West, and the Falcons are 3-6 and third in the NFC South. Kansas City beat the New York Jets last Sunday, 35-12, and Atlanta was defeated in Madrid, 34-17, by Cincinnati last Sunday. The Chiefs' only two loss are on the road (2-2), while the Falcons have one just one (1-4) at home. Check out our free NFL picks for more Sunday football predictions.

Kansas City Chiefs Looking to Build on Jets Victory

Kansas City had lost two straight heading into its Sunday game with the Jets, but the Chiefs easily disposed of New York, 35-12. Kansas led by only two at the half but scored 21-second half points while holding the Jets scoreless. Kenneth Walker III scored three touchdowns, rushing for 102 yards and catching two touchdown passes. Patrick Mahomes threw for 242 yards and two scores despite injuring his right elbow in the second quarter. Kansas City's defense recorded five sacks and kept the Jets out of the end zone. The win followed consecutive losses to Denver and Seattle.

Mahomes has thrown for 2,037 yards with 14 touchdowns and just four interceptions. Walker has been outstanding in the backfield, gaining 872 yards with seven rushing touchdowns. Travis Kelce leads the receivers with 482 yards. Kansas City scores 25.3 points per game and allows 17.9. The concern this week is Mahomes' elbow. He's day-to-day, and although the injury doesn't appear serious, his availability remains uncertain. Justin Fields is the backup if Mahomes cannot go.

Injuries: Patrick Mahomes, Xavier Worthy, Jaylon Moore, Mansoor Delane and Peter Woods are questionable.

Atlanta Falcons Looking to End Losing Streak

Atlanta lost for the second straight time Sunday, when falling to Cincinnati by 17 points in Spain. The Falcons were able to score on their first possession, but could not keep pace with the Cincinnati offense. Michael Penix Jr. threw for 162 yards with one TD and one pick. Bijan Robinson had 100 yards on the ground with a touchdown. Atlanta lost to Tampa Bay 16-0 the previous Sunday in a driving rainstorm. The Falcons have lost four of five, with their only victory coming against San Francisco.

Penix has passed for 1,444 yards, 10 touchdowns and six interceptions. Robinson continues to carry much of Atlanta's offense, rushing for 880 yards and five touchdowns. Drake London leads the receivers with 692 yards. The Falcons score 20.9 points per game but give up 24.8. Atlanta has had trouble moving the ball consistently, especially when opponents slow Robinson. The passing game hasn't done enough to make up the difference, and the Falcons have scored 17 points or fewer in three of five games.

Injuries: Zachariah Branch is doubtful. Brian Robinson Jr. and Samson Ebukam are on injured reserve. Cameron Williams and Anterio Thompson remain on reserve lists.

Key To The Game

Atlanta needs to get Robinson going early. The Falcons cannot afford to fall behind and rely on Penix throwing the football. Kansas City has allowed fewer than 18 points per game, and its defense should present a tough challenge for Atlanta's struggling offense.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta Falcons Game Pick

• Kansas City Chiefs

Kansas City has won six of eight, and its defense has played a big part in that success. Atlanta has lost four of five, including two straight by double digits. Robinson gives the Falcons a chance to move the football, but their passing attack has been unreliable. Walker gives Kansas City a strong running game, regardless of who starts at quarterback. Atlanta has won just once at home, and the Chiefs should be able to take advantage. I like Kansas City to win Sunday.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta Falcons Over/Under Pick

• Under

Atlanta hasn't done much offensively lately, scoring 17 points against Cincinnati after being shut out by Tampa Bay. The Falcons rely heavily on Robinson, and Kansas City's defense has been difficult to move the ball against. The Chiefs have allowed just 17.9 points per contest and haven't given up more than 28 in any game. Atlanta's defense has struggled, but Kansas City hasn't been putting up big numbers every week either. I expect the Falcons to have trouble scoring, making the under my choice.