Las Vegas Raiders at Philadelphia Eagles Prediction, Picks, Trends, Odds, and Stats for December 14
Use Code SSWC Las Vegas Raiders vs Philadelphia Eagles prediction for this weekend’s matchup in Philadelphia, featuring updated odds, line movement, and key betting insights. Las Vegas enters on a seven-game losing streak, while the Eagles are looking to rebound after three straight losses. Below you will find our full breakdown, including spread and total projections, plus a complete line history. For more weekly breakdowns and betting insight, visit our latest NFL picks.
Quick Picks and Prediction: Raiders vs Eagles
- Side: Philadelphia Eagles -11.5
- Total: Over 38.5
- Projected Final Score: Philadelphia Eagles 30, Las Vegas Raiders 17
- Confidence (0–3): Side 2.0 / Total 2.0
Odds and Line Movement: LV vs PHI
This will be the Raiders' first trip to Philadelphia since 2017, and early betting has leaned heavily toward the Eagles. Philadelphia opened as a double-digit favorite, and with Las Vegas dealing with quarterback uncertainty, the spread has only widened. The total has dropped significantly due to offensive concerns on both sides, but the current number appears to have moved too far based on matchup context.
Opening Odds
| Market | Las Vegas Raiders | Philadelphia Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +12.5 (-110) | -12.5 (-110) |
| Total | 39 (o/u -110) | |
Current Odds
| Market | Las Vegas Raiders | Philadelphia Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +11.5 (-105) | -11.5 (-115) |
| Total | Over 38.5 (-110) | Under 38.5 (-110) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Las Vegas | Philadelphia | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | 03:19:42PM | 11.5 (-105) | -11.5 (-115) | PHI 90%, 92% |
| 12/10 | 02:13:22PM | 11.5 (-112) | -11.5 (-110) | PHI 93%, 91% |
| 12/10 | 02:12:12PM | 11.5 (-110) | -11.5 (-110) | PHI 88%, 91% |
| 12/10 | 02:11:49PM | 12 (-110) | -12 (-110) | PHI 88%, 91% |
| 12/10 | 01:25:24AM | 12 (-105) | -12 (-115) | |
| 12/09 | 11:44:56AM | 11.5 (-120) | -11.5 (-102) | PHI 92%, 94% |
| 12/09 | 11:44:43AM | 12 (-110) | -12 (-110) | PHI 92%, 94% |
| 12/09 | 10:28:56AM | 12 (-110) | -12 (-110) | PHI 90%, 92% |
| 12/09 | 07:30:38AM | 11.5 (-108) | -11.5 (-112) | PHI 95%, 95% |
| 12/09 | 07:01:51AM | 11.5 (-110) | -11.5 (-110) | PHI 95%, 95% |
| 12/09 | 05:19:31AM | 11.5 (-108) | -11.5 (-112) | PHI 95%, 95% |
| 12/09 | 00:05:03AM | 12 (-110) | -12 (-110) | PHI 95%, 95% |
| 12/08 | 08:14:52PM | 12.5 (-110) | -12.5 (-110) | PHI 95%, 95% |
| 12/08 | 07:02:04AM | 12.5 (-110) | -12.5 (-110) | PHI 94%, 90% |
| 12/08 | 07:01:36AM | 12.5 (-110) | -12.5 (-110) | PHI 94%, 90% |
| 12/07 | 06:34:02PM | 12.5 (-110) | -12.5 (-110) | PHI 92%, 93% |
| 12/07 | 12:55:57PM | 12.5 (-110) | -12.5 (-110) | PHI 89%, 92% |
| 12/05 | 05:02:34PM | 12.5 (-115) | -12.5 (-105) | |
| 12/04 | 06:23:04AM | 12.5 (-110) | -12.5 (-110) | |
| 12/04 | 06:18:02AM | 12.5 (-110) | -12.5 (-110) | |
| 12/04 | 05:48:50AM | 12.5 (-110) | -12.5 (-110) | |
| 12/04 | 05:48:17AM | 12.5 (-110) | -12.5 (-110) | |
| 12/02 | 01:32:20PM | 12.5 (-110) | -12.5 (-110) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | 02:47:54PM | 38.5 o(-110) | 38.5 u(-110) | u92%, u87% |
| 12/10 | 11:38:27AM | 37.5 o(-110) | 37.5 u(-110) | u92%, u87% |
| 12/09 | 07:30:38AM | 38 o(-110) | 38 u(-110) | u95%, u88% |
| 12/10 | 07:01:51AM | 38 o(-110) | 38 u(-110) | u95%, u88% |
| 12/09 | 00:05:03AM | 38 o(-110) | 38 u(-110) | u95%, u88% |
| 12/08 | 08:14:53PM | 38 o(-110) | 38 u(-110) | u95%, u88% |
| 12/08 | 07:02:04AM | 38 o(-115) | 38 u(-105) | |
| 12/07 | 06:34:02PM | 38.5 o(-105) | 38.5 u(-105) | |
| 12/07 | 12:55:57PM | 39 o(-115) | 39 u(-105) | |
| 12/05 | 05:02:47PM | 39 o(-104) | 39 u(-118) | |
| 12/04 | 06:18:02AM | 39.5 o(-104) | 39.5 u(-118) | |
| 12/04 | 05:48:20AM | 39 o(-104) | 39 u(-118) | |
| 12/02 | 01:32:20PM | 39 o(-104) | 39 u(-118) |
Key Matchups and Handicap: Raiders vs Eagles
This will be the Raiders' first trip to Philadelphia since Christmas Day 2017. Las Vegas has lost seven straight games, though they managed a surprising point spread cover against Denver last week after trailing 24–7 with under three minutes remaining. The Eagles have lost and failed to cover their last three games after an overtime defeat against the Chargers on Monday night. Philadelphia outgained Los Angeles by 90 yards and held a +1.6 yards per play advantage, but Jalen Hurts had one of his worst games in recent memory with four interceptions and a lost fumble. All five of the Eagles’ most recent games have stayed under the total.
Las Vegas quarterback Geno Smith suffered a shoulder injury in the loss to Denver, and former Eagle Kenny Pickett finished the game. Smith is questionable, but given his performance this season, the gap between the two may be minimal at this point. While the total has dropped meaningfully, this number may have moved too far. The Eagles' schedule has been grueling in recent weeks, featuring two short weeks and multiple premium opponents. The last time Philadelphia faced a weaker opponent under normal conditions, they scored 38 points against the Giants. The Raiders’ last four opponents have averaged 28.0 points per game. If the Eagles reach that mark, Las Vegas needs only modest offensive production for this matchup to clear the low total.
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Betting Trends: LV vs PHI
- Las Vegas has lost seven straight games.
- Philadelphia has failed to cover in three consecutive matchups.
- The Eagles' last five games have all stayed under the posted total.
- The Raiders' last four opponents have averaged 28 points per game.
Key Injuries and Notes: LV vs PHI
- Raiders QB Geno Smith is questionable with a shoulder injury.
- Kenny Pickett is the probable replacement if Smith cannot play.
- Philadelphia QB Jalen Hurts is expected to start despite turnovers last week.
ATS and Total Picks: Raiders vs Eagles
Philadelphia remains the more reliable team even during a losing stretch, especially given the Raiders' defensive issues and prolonged skid. The matchup and game script both lean toward points despite early market movement to the under.
Spread Pick — Raiders vs Eagles
- Pick: Philadelphia Eagles -11.5
- Why: The Raiders' defensive struggles align poorly with Philadelphia’s offensive ceiling, and Las Vegas’ quarterback uncertainty compounds the mismatch.
Total Pick — Raiders vs Eagles
- Pick: Over 38.5
- Why: The total has dipped too far despite a matchup featuring a struggling Raiders defense and an Eagles offense capable of rebounding against weaker competition.
Final Score Prediction: Raiders vs Eagles
Projected Final Score: Philadelphia Eagles 30, Las Vegas Raiders 17
Philadelphia should bounce back offensively in this spot, and even a modest contribution from Las Vegas pushes this game over the posted number. The Eagles’ home advantage and matchup edge position them well for a double-digit victory.
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Stats to Know for Las Vegas vs Philadelphia
- Philadelphia owns a +1.6 yards per play advantage in their last outing despite the loss.
- Las Vegas’ opponents have averaged 28 points across the past four games.
- The Eagles’ last five games have stayed under the total.
- The Raiders have failed to win a road game since early October.
