Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos Prediction and Picks - November 6, 2025
It's Thursday Night Football, and we have a Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos prediction locked and loaded for you. The Raiders enter this game off a 30-29 home loss to Jacksonville, falling to 2-6 on the year. Denver is off to a strong 7-2 start, and they come in off an 18-15 road win over Houston. The Broncos won both meetings between these teams last year. Read on to see our Raiders vs Broncos prediction.
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Leaky Defense Leads To Bad Loss Against The Jags
The Raiders head into Denver on a short week after a gut-wrenching 30-29 overtime loss to Jacksonville, a game that slipped away on a failed two-point conversion. Geno Smith actually played one of his best games of the season, throwing for 284 yards and four touchdowns, but it still wasn’t enough to overcome the Jaguars’ late push. The bright spot was the return of Brock Bowers, who looked unstoppable with 12 catches for 127 yards and three scores. His presence completely changes the complexion of this offense, giving Smith a reliable target who can win in traffic and stretch defenses down the seam. That’s the kind of weapon the Raiders will need if they’re going to hang around against one of the league’s hottest teams.
Las Vegas also made headlines at the trade deadline, sending wide receiver Jakobi Meyers to the Jacksonville Jaguars in exchange for fourth- and sixth-round picks. Meyers had led the team in targets through the first half of the season, but with contract talks stalling and his deal set to expire, the Raiders opted to move on. His departure leaves a void in the receiving corps, forcing younger players like Tre Tucker and Jack Bech to step into bigger roles alongside veteran Tyler Lockett. While Bowers’ emergence helps soften the blow, losing a steady possession receiver like Meyers could make this offense more volatile week to week.
Defensively, the Raiders continue to lean heavily on Maxx Crosby to generate pressure, but he can’t do it alone. The secondary has been leaky, giving up big plays at critical moments, and that’s a dangerous recipe against a Denver team that has found ways to win late in games. The Raiders have lost six of their last seven, and while they’ve been competitive in stretches, they’ve struggled to finish. Heading into Mile High, they’ll need to play their cleanest game of the season to have a chance at pulling the upset.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Marc David | +521.00 |
| 2 |  Rob Vincilleti | +502.00 |
| 3 |  Bruce Marshall | +471.00 |
| 4 |  Patty Reyes | +400.00 |
| 5 |  Mike Lundin | +288.00 |
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Broncos Best team In The West?
The Broncos come into this one riding a six-game winning streak, fresh off an 18-15 road win over Houston that was sealed by a Wil Lutz field goal as time expired. It wasn’t pretty—Bo Nix completed just 18 of 37 passes for 173 yards with a touchdown and an interception—but once again Denver found a way to grind out a victory. That’s been the theme of their season: resilience. Four of their seven wins have come in games where they trailed in the fourth quarter, and that kind of toughness has vaulted them to the top of the AFC West. Nix has shown poise beyond his years, and while the numbers don’t always jump off the page, his ability to make plays late has been the difference.
Offensively, Denver has leaned on balance. Courtland Sutton remains the go-to target, hauling in a 30-yard touchdown against Houston, while rookie RJ Harvey has emerged as a versatile weapon out of the backfield. J.K. Dobbins has provided steady production on the ground, and Troy Franklin has flashed as a deep threat. Sean Payton has kept defenses guessing with a mix of quick throws, play-action, and a steady run game, and while the Broncos aren’t blowing teams out, they’re efficient enough to control tempo and wear opponents down. Against a Raiders defense that has struggled to stop both the run and the pass, Denver should have opportunities to sustain drives and put points on the board.
Defensively, the Broncos have been outstanding. They lead the league with 40 sacks and are allowing just 18.4 points per game, making them one of the toughest units in football. The pass rush has been relentless, with Jonathon Cooper and Baron Browning complementing a deep rotation up front. Even with Pat Surtain II sidelined, the secondary has held up well, playing aggressive man coverage and forcing quarterbacks into mistakes. At home, with the altitude and crowd noise amplifying their edge, this defense becomes even more difficult to deal with. If Denver can get an early lead and force the Raiders into predictable passing downs, it could be another long night for Las Vegas.
Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos Pick
Raiders vs Broncos Spread Pick
- Las Vegas +9 (1 Unit)
Taking the Raiders +9 feels like a sharp angle because even though Denver has been rolling, Las Vegas has shown enough offensive punch to keep games within striking distance. Geno Smith is coming off a strong performance, and with Brock Bowers back in the lineup, the Raiders finally have a true mismatch weapon who can stress defenses down the middle of the field. Even after trading Jakobi Meyers, this offense has the pieces to move the ball, and Denver’s defense—while elite in the pass rush—has been vulnerable when opponents can get the ball out quickly. If Smith leans on Bowers and the short passing game to neutralize pressure, the Raiders can sustain drives and avoid the kind of three-and-outs that let the Broncos pull away.
The other factor is that divisional games in the AFC West tend to be tighter than the line suggests. Maxx Crosby remains a game-wrecker who can disrupt Bo Nix’s rhythm, and if the Raiders’ defense can generate a couple of key stops, it keeps the margin manageable. Denver has been winning, but many of those victories have come in close, grind-it-out fashion rather than blowouts. That plays directly into the value of grabbing the points with Las Vegas. Even if the Broncos control much of the game, the Raiders have enough offensive firepower to hang around and cover the number late.
Raiders vs Broncos Over/Under Pick
- Under 43 (3 Units)
The under 43 looks appealing because both Denver and Las Vegas have leaned on their defenses to dictate games, and neither offense has been consistently explosive. The Broncos lead the league in sacks and thrive on forcing opponents into long drives, while the Raiders’ best chance to compete is slowing things down and leaning on Maxx Crosby to disrupt Bo Nix. With Denver’s recent wins coming in grind-it-out fashion and Las Vegas struggling to finish drives without Jakobi Meyers, this AFC West matchup sets up as a lower-scoring battle that stays beneath the total.
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