Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots Picks and Prediction for Sunday October 11, 2026
The Las Vegas Raiders will be on the East Coast Sunday afternoon for an AFC matchup against the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 PM with coverage on CBS. Las Vegas enters the weekend with a 3-1 record following a narrow 30-27 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. The Raiders have been competitive through the first four games and will look to get back in the win column against New England. The Patriots come into this matchup with a 2-2 record after picking up an impressive 29-26 victory over the Buffalo Bills. New England will look to build on that performance and move above .500 for the first time this season. The Patriots are listed as a 3.5-point favorite, with the total set at 45.5 points. New England is -192 on the money line, while Las Vegas comes in at +160. Stay in the news with our NFL Picks.
Raiders look to get back on track
Kirk Cousins is leading the Las Vegas offense this season with 1026 yards and 11 touchdowns on 93 completions. Ashton Jeanty is the top ball carrier on the roster with 264 yards this season. Mike Washington has added 24 carries for 120 yards and one score this year. Tre Tucker is the top target in the Las Vegas offense with 233 yards and one touchdown on 15 receptions. Brock Bowers has added 202 yards and two touchdowns on 16 receptions. Cody White has chipped in five catches for 64 yards and three scores.
Las Vegas did move the ball well a week ago, compiling 437 yards to score 27 points but turning the ball over 2 times in the game, leading to the loss. Defensively, Las Vegas had issues giving up 30 points, including twenty in the fourth quarter as Kansas City compiled 399 yards. Kirk Cousins led the Las Vegas offense last week, completing 31 passes for 365 yards and two touchdowns. Ashton Jeanty led the way on the ground with 58 yards on 15 carries. Brock Bowers was the top target with 86 yards and one touchdown on 6 grabs. Ian Thomas chipped in 32 yards and one touchdown on 2 catches.
Key Injury Report for Las Vegas:
- Jalen Nailor (Out) – Concussion
- Trey Zuhn III (Out) – Knee
- Ashton Jeanty (Questionable) – Ankle
- Dont’e Thornton J. (IR-R) – Hamstring
- Jack Bech (IR) - Forearm
Patriots go for the home win
Drake Maye is leading the New England offense this season with 854 yards and four touchdowns on 73 completions, along with 136 yards on 23 carries. Rhamondre Stevenson is leading New England this season with 163 yards and one score on 44 carries, while TreVeyon Henderson has added 141 yards and one touchdown on 38 carries. Mack Hollins leads New England this season with 209 yards on 15 receptions. Romeo Doubs has added 203 yards and two scores on 12 grabs.
New England did just enough on the offensive side a week ago, scoring 29 points on 405 total yards. Defensively, New England did the work, giving up 26 points on 340 yards, and the Patriots forced two turnovers in the win. Drake Maye led the way for New England last week, completing 22 passes for 269 yards and three scores, and boasted a team-high 54 yards on 8 carries. Rhamondre Stevenson added 47 yards and one touchdown on 13 carries. Hunter Henry was the top target in the New England offense with 62 yards on five catches, and Romeo Doubs added 58 yards and two scores on 6 grabs.
Key Injury Report for New England:
- Rhamondre Stevenson(Questionable) – Knee
- Karon Prunty (Out) – Hamstring
- Channing Canada (Out) – Hamstring
- Mack Hollins (Out) – Calf
- Reggie Gilliam (Out) - Ankle
Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots Picks and Prediction
Pick: New England Patriots -3.5 (-110)
New England has an opportunity to pick up another important victory Sunday when Las Vegas visits Gillette Stadium. The Patriots are coming off an impressive win against Buffalo and should have plenty of confidence heading into this matchup. Las Vegas has been competitive this season and will look to bounce back after a close loss to Kansas City. The Raiders have enough offensive talent to make things difficult, but New England should be able to create problems defensively and limit big plays. The Patriots will need to protect the football and take advantage of their scoring opportunities against a Las Vegas team capable of keeping things close. New England should benefit from playing at home and make enough plays in the second half to secure the victory.
Pick: Over 45.5 (-105)
Both teams have shown the ability to put points on the board, which could lead to an entertaining matchup Sunday afternoon in Foxborough. Las Vegas scored 27 points against Kansas City last week, while New England put up 29 against Buffalo. The Raiders will look to establish their offense early and challenge a Patriots defense that could have trouble slowing down their playmakers. New England should also be able to move the football against Las Vegas, especially if its passing attack continues to find success. Neither team will want to give away easy scoring opportunities, but both offenses have enough talent to produce several productive drives. Look for a competitive game with both teams contributing to a final score that goes over the total.