Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets Picks and Prediction for Sunday October 25, 2026
The Miami Dolphins will be on the road Sunday afternoon for an AFC East matchup against the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 PM Eastern, and coverage will be available on CBS. Miami is still searching for its first victory of the season at 0-5 following a 31-24 loss against Cincinnati before its bye week. New York comes into Sunday with a 2-4 record after falling 26-19 to New England in its last outing. The Jets enter this matchup as 4.5-point home favorites at -225 on the moneyline. Miami is +185 on the moneyline, and the total is set at 39.5 points. Keep up with our NFL Picks.
Miami Looking to Pick Up First Win
The Miami Dolphins offense is averaging 14 points per game through its first five outings. Defensively, Miami has been terrible, allowing 26.4 points per game this season. Malik Willis is leading the Miami offense with 849 passing yards and two touchdowns on 73 completions, along with 186 rushing yards and two scores on 27 carries. Ollie Gordon II is the top ball carrier on the team with 236 yards and three scores on 47 carries. Malik Washington leads Miami with 262 receiving yards on 23 receptions. Greg Dulcich has added 127 yards on 13 catches this season.
Offensively, Miami moved the ball well in its last outing, scoring 24 points on 331 total yards, but turned the ball over three times in the loss. Defensively, Miami was obliterated again, giving up 31 points, including 21 in the first half, on 307 total yards. Malik Willis led the way for the Miami offense, completing 15 passes for 137 yards and one touchdown while adding 74 rushing yards and one score on eight carries. Ollie Gordon II led the team with 88 rushing yards and one touchdown on 18 carries. Malik Washington led the receiving corps with 43 yards on six receptions.
Key Injury Report for Miami:
- Reese Taylor (Out) – Quad
- Robert Beal Jr. (Doubtful) – Hamstring
- Willie Gay Jr. (Questionable) – Illness
- Kyle Louis (IR-R) – Knee
- De'Vone Achane (IR) – Knee
New York Tries to Get on Track
Offensively, New York is averaging 18.6 points per game through its first six outings. Defensively, New York is allowing 20.3 points per game this season. Geno Smith is leading the New York offense with 1,336 passing yards and seven touchdowns on 122 completions. Braelon Allen is the top ball carrier on the team with 314 rushing yards and two scores on 74 carries. Breece Hall compiled 163 rushing yards and one touchdown on 51 carries before his injury. Garrett Wilson leads New York with 418 receiving yards and three touchdowns on 35 catches.
Offensively, New York was below average last week, compiling just 324 total yards and scoring 19 points while turning the ball over once. Defensively, New York was outmatched, giving up 383 total yards and 26 points. Geno Smith led the way for New York, completing 20 passes for 252 yards and one touchdown. Braelon Allen was the top ball carrier on the team with 78 yards on 17 carries. Omar Cooper Jr. chipped in 103 receiving yards and one touchdown on six receptions to lead the Jets.
Key Injury Report for New York:
- Kiko Mauigoa (Out) – Quad
- Max Mitchell (Out) – Concussion
- Kene Nwangwu (Questionable) – Knee
- Joseph Ossai (Out) – Ankle
- Breece Hall (Questionable) – Quad
Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets Picks and Prediction
Pick: New York Jets -4.5
New York has an excellent opportunity to get back in the win column Sunday against a Miami team that has yet to win a game this season. The Jets have been competitive defensively, particularly against the pass, and should be able to take advantage of a Dolphins offense that has struggled to move the football consistently. Miami quarterback Malik Willis has had difficulty establishing a productive passing attack, which could allow New York to focus more attention on stopping the run and limiting his ability to extend plays outside the pocket. Offensively, Geno Smith has been efficient moving the football and should have opportunities to attack a Miami defense that has struggled to generate pressure on opposing quarterbacks. Garrett Wilson gives the Jets a dangerous receiving option, and New York should be able to create enough opportunities through the air to establish an advantage. Look for the Jets to capitalize on Miami's offensive struggles and cover the spread in front of their home crowd.
Pick: Under 39.5
Neither Miami nor New York has been particularly explosive offensively this season, making the under an appealing option in Sunday's divisional matchup. The Dolphins have struggled to establish a reliable passing game, and facing a Jets defense that has been effective at limiting opposing quarterbacks could lead to another difficult afternoon. New York has also experienced stretches of inconsistent offensive production, which could keep this game competitive even if the Jets control most of the action. Miami will likely need to rely heavily on its running game and Willis' ability to create plays with his legs, which could lead to longer possessions and fewer overall scoring opportunities. The Jets should have success moving the football, but they have not consistently turned those opportunities into touchdowns. Expect both teams to lean on their defenses and play a more controlled style of football, keeping the final score below the posted total.