Minnesota Vikings at Dallas Cowboys Prediction, Picks, Trends, Odds, and Stats for December 14
Minnesota Vikings vs Dallas Cowboys prediction for this NFC matchup featuring two teams coming off very different Week 14 performances. Dallas looks to rebound after a loss in Detroit, while Minnesota snapped a four-game losing streak with its best outing of the season. Below you’ll find full odds, line movement tables, matchup analysis, and our projected final score. For more breakdowns, visit the latest NFL picks.
Quick Picks and Prediction: Vikings vs Cowboys
- Side: Minnesota Vikings +6.5
- Total: Under 47
- Projected Final Score: Cowboys 23, Vikings 17
- Confidence (0–3): Side 1.5 / Total 2.0
Sign Up for StatSalt News Alerts, Get Free Picks and Discounts
Subscribe Now
Odds and Line Movement
Dallas opened as a moderate favorite and has held strong support in the betting markets. Public money leans heavily toward the Cowboys, though this is the largest spread Dallas has been asked to cover since Week 2. The total has shown little volatility, hovering around the upper-40s.
Opening Odds
| Market | Minnesota Vikings | Dallas Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7.5 (-110) | -7.5 (-110) |
| Total | 47 (o/u) | |
Current Odds
| Market | Minnesota Vikings | Dallas Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +6.5 (-115) | -6.5 (-105) |
| Total | Over 47 (-115) | Under 47 (-105) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Minnesota | Dallas | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | 11:48:06AM | +6.5 (-115) | -6.5 (-105) | DAL 59%, 85% |
| 12/05 | 06:03:52AM | +6.5 (-112) | -6.5 (-108) | DAL 61%, 83% |
| 12/08 | 07:02:04AM | +6.5 (-118) | -6.5 (-104) | DAL 62%, 78% |
| 12/08 | 07:01:36AM | +6.5 (-118) | -6.5 (-104) | DAL 62%, 78% |
| 12/07 | 06:37:38PM | +6.5 (-118) | -6.5 (-104) | |
| 12/07 | 06:36:06PM | +6.5 (-115) | -6.5 (-105) | |
| 12/07 | 06:34:02PM | +6 (-110) | -6 (-110) | |
| 12/07 | 12:56:04PM | +6.5 (-108) | -6.5 (-112) | |
| 12/05 | 11:49:43PM | +6.5 (-105) | -6.5 (-115) | |
| 12/04 | 08:20:04PM | +7.5 (-108) | -7.5 (-112) | |
| 12/04 | 06:18:01AM | +7.5 (-108) | -7.5 (-112) | |
| 12/04 | 06:15:58AM | +7.5 (-108) | -7.5 (-112) | |
| 12/04 | 06:15:26AM | +7.5 (-108) | -7.5 (-112) | |
| 12/04 | 05:48:50AM | +7.5 (-108) | -7.5 (-112) | |
| 12/02 | 01:32:20PM | +7.5 (-108) | -7.5 (-112) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | 07:02:04AM | 47 o(-115) | 47 u(-105) | |
| 12/08 | 07:01:37AM | 47 o(-115) | 47 u(-105) | |
| 12/07 | 06:34:02PM | 47 o(-115) | 47 u(-105) | |
| 12/07 | 12:56:04PM | 47 o(-115) | 47 u(-105) | |
| 12/05 | 11:49:44PM | 47 o(-115) | 47 o(-105) | |
| 12/04 | 08:20:04PM | 47 o(-105) | 47 u(-115) | |
| 12/04 | 06:18:02AM | 47 o(-115) | 47 u(-105) | |
| 12/04 | 06:15:57AM | 47 o(-115) | 47 u(-105) | |
| 12/04 | 06:15:26AM | 47 o(-105) | 47 u(-115) | |
| 12/04 | 05:48:50AM | 47 o(-105) | 47 u(-115) | |
| 12/02 | 01:32:20PM | 47 o(-105) | 47 u(-115) |
Vikings vs Cowboys Key Matchups and Handicap
One of the biggest variables in this matchup is the status of star wideout CeeDee Lamb, who exited the loss to Detroit with a concussion. The additional recovery time increases his chances of clearing protocol, but head injuries are notoriously unpredictable, and Dallas’ offense changes significantly without him.
Minnesota, meanwhile, snapped a four-game skid with a resounding 31-0 home win over Washington. The Vikings’ last five games have all gone under the total. Rookie quarterback JJ McCarthy looked poised in last week’s victory tossing three touchdowns. Can he sustain that performance against another vulnerable defense in Dallas?
Dallas’ defense has improved since early-season struggles but remains far from elite and was exposed once again in Week 14 at Detroit.
Given Minnesota’s ability to keep games close and Dallas’ inconsistency as a favorite, this number feels inflated.
MIN vs DAL Betting Trends
- Dallas has won and covered the last three head-to-head matchups.
- Eight of the Cowboys’ last ten games have gone over the total.
- The Vikings’ last five games have all stayed under the total.
- Dallas last closed as this large a favorite in Week 2.
MIN vs DAL Key Injuries and Notes
- Cowboys WR CeeDee Lamb is in concussion protocol; status uncertain.
- JJ McCarthy coming off his best start as a pro with three TD passes.
- Dallas enters with extra rest after playing last Thursday.
ATS and Total Picks: Vikings vs Cowboys
This is a challenging spot for Dallas as a sizable favorite, especially against a Minnesota team that has been competitive in most games despite its record. The total leans lower, with Minnesota trending under and Dallas potentially limited if Lamb is out or limited.
Spread Pick — Vikings vs Cowboys
- Pick: Minnesota Vikings +6.5
- Why: This is the highest number Dallas has faced in months, and Minnesota’s defense plus improved QB play provides value.
Total Pick — Vikings vs Cowboys
- Pick: Under 47
- Why: Minnesota has played five straight unders, and Dallas could be without its top offensive weapon.
Final Score Prediction: Vikings vs Cowboys
Projected Final Score: Dallas Cowboys 24, Minnesota Vikings 20
A competitive matchup with Minnesota staying inside the number while Dallas does just enough to secure a home win.
Stats to Know for Vikings vs Cowboys
- The Cowboys have covered three straight meetings against Minnesota.
- Eight of Dallas’ last ten games have gone over the total.
- The Vikings’ defense has held four of their last five opponents under 24 points.
- Dallas has not been favored by this many points since Week 2.
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
Bet $5 & Get $200
