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New York Giants vs Chicago Bears Prediction and Picks - November 9, 2025

By: Dean Whitaker Published 11/07/2025, 07:15 PM ET
Caleb Williams looks to lead the Bears over the Giants

Sunday afternoon on the NFL gridiron, and we have a New York Giants vs Chicago Bears prediction locked and loaded for you. The Giants enter this game off a 34-24 home loss to the Niners, which dropped them to 2-7 on the year. Chicago comes in off a wild 47-42 road win over the Bengals to move to 5-3 on the year. These teams met last back in 2022, and the Giants won that game 20-12 at home. Read on to see our Giants vs Bears prediction.

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Struggles Continue For The Giants

The Giants limp into Soldier Field after a 34-24 home loss to the 49ers, a game that looked closer on the scoreboard than it really was. Rookie quarterback Jaxson Dart continues to fight through adversity, throwing two touchdowns and rushing for another, but the offense is clearly missing its top playmakers with Malik Nabers and Cam Skattebo out for the year. Dart’s mobility gave San Francisco trouble late, and he finished with 56 rushing yards, but the Giants’ offensive line struggled to protect him consistently. Drops from receivers like Theo Johnson and Wan’Dale Robinson stalled promising drives, and the lack of rhythm has been a recurring issue.

Defensively, New York has been a mess. Christian McCaffrey and Brian Robinson combined for over 160 rushing yards, and the Giants have now allowed 30-plus points in three straight games. Missed tackles and poor gap discipline have plagued them, and the secondary hasn’t been able to bail them out. Brian Burns remains a bright spot with his pass-rushing ability, but the unit as a whole has been overmatched. Injuries have compounded the problem, with Darius Slayton and John Michael Schmitz both leaving the 49ers game, further thinning the roster.

At 2-7, the Giants are searching for answers, but Dart’s resilience has kept them competitive in spurts. His ability to extend plays and create with his legs gives them a chance to move the ball against Chicago’s defense, but the margin for error is slim. If the Giants can establish the run with Devin Singletary and avoid turnovers, they might keep this game close. Still, the defense has to show more fight than it has in recent weeks, or Soldier Field could be another long afternoon.

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Bears Win A Wild One Vs The Bengals

The Bears, on the other hand, are riding momentum after one of the wildest wins of the season—a 47-42 shootout victory in Cincinnati. Caleb Williams threw for 280 yards and three touchdowns, including a game-winning 58-yard strike to rookie tight end Colston Loveland with just 17 seconds left. Williams also added 53 rushing yards and even caught a touchdown pass on a trick play, showcasing his versatility. Rookie running back Kyle Monangai was a revelation, rushing for 176 yards on 26 carries, and the Bears piled up 576 total yards of offense. It was the kind of performance that reminded everyone of the firepower Chicago has when everything clicks.

The offense has been balanced, with DJ Moore and Olamide Zaccheaus contributing in the passing game, and Monangai stepping up in place of the injured D’Andre Swift. Loveland’s breakout game adds another weapon to Williams’ arsenal, and head coach Ben Johnson has emphasized resilience after the team nearly blew a two-touchdown lead late. Chicago’s offensive line held up well against Cincinnati’s pass rush, and if they can replicate that protection, Williams should have opportunities to exploit a Giants defense that has struggled against both the run and the pass.

Defensively, the Bears gave up 470 passing yards to Joe Flacco, so there are still concerns on that side of the ball. However, they forced three turnovers in the fourth quarter, including a strip sack and two interceptions, which ultimately saved the game. Tremaine Edmunds and Austin Booker made impact plays, and the unit has shown it can generate takeaways even when it bends. Against the Giants, the focus will be on containing Dart’s scrambling ability and tightening up coverage. Chicago has won five of its last six and sits at 5-3, firmly in the playoff hunt. With the offense surging and Soldier Field providing home-field energy, the Bears enter this matchup as clear favorites.

New York Giants vs Chicago Bears Pick

Giants vs Bears Spread Pick

  • Chicago -4.5 (1 Unit)

The Bears -4.5 feels like the right side given how explosive their offense looked in Cincinnati, piling up 576 total yards and finding ways to score in bunches. Caleb Williams has settled into a rhythm, throwing three touchdowns and even catching one himself, while rookie Kyle Monangai gave them a huge lift with 176 rushing yards. That balance makes Chicago tough to defend, and with DJ Moore and Colston Loveland adding reliable targets, the Bears have multiple ways to attack a Giants defense that has been leaking points all season. Soldier Field should give them an added edge, especially with momentum from five wins in their last six.

On the other side, the Giants are battered and struggling to keep games competitive, allowing 30-plus points in three straight outings. Jaxson Dart has shown grit, but the lack of healthy playmakers around him has made sustaining drives difficult, and the offensive line hasn’t given him much protection. Defensively, New York has been gashed both on the ground and through the air, which is a dangerous recipe against a Bears team firing on all cylinders. With Chicago’s offense surging and the Giants’ defense unable to slow anyone down, laying the 4.5 points looks justified.

Giants vs Bears Over/Under Pick

  • Over 46.5 (3 Units)

The Over 46.5 has appeal because Chicago’s offense is rolling behind Caleb Williams and rookie back Kyle Monangai, while the Giants’ defense has been giving up big plays weekly, allowing 30-plus points in three straight. Jaxson Dart’s mobility and willingness to push the ball downfield also give New York a chance to contribute to the total, even if they’re playing from behind. Add in the fact that the Giants are 5-1 to the Over in their last six matchups against the NFC North, and this sets up as another game where both teams can trade scores and push it past the number.

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