New York Giants vs. Denver Broncos Prediction and Picks for Sunday, October 19th, 2025
Use Code SSWC The Jaxson Dart-Cam Skattebo duo is the talk of the town, but them and the rest of this middling New York Giants (2-4) team will have a big test out west on Sunday when they take on the Denver Broncos (4-2). We’ve got you covered with our Giants vs. Broncos prediction. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05 ET from Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO. Don’t get penalized! Increase your bankroll with our NFL Betting Picks!
Giants Dominate Eagles, Move To 2-4
Coach Brian Daboll’s seat is perennially hot, as the fourth-year head coach has posted a 20-36 record and hasn’t finished above third place in the division yet. However, the vibes are currently high in the Big Apple, as the New York Giants have won two out of their last three games. A road loss to the Saints (26-14) is bookended by victories over the Chargers (21-18) and the Eagles (34-17), more recently. At 2-4, the G-Men are still in the cellar of the NFC East. Additionally, the sports betting market isn’t buying the hype, as New York is priced at +1400 to make the playoffs. As for the game-by-game betting numbers, the Giants are 3-3 ATS and 4-2 to the under.
The main reason for the optimism in New York is the emergence of QB Jaxson Dart. The rookie out of Ole Miss has thrown for 508 yards on a 65.9% completion rate, adding four touchdowns and two picks. Also, RB Cam Skattebo (338 yards, 5 TD) has proven to be a workhorse as a rookie in the NFL. Out wide, the Giants suffered the season-ending injury to Malik Nabers (knee), so it’s WRs Wan’Dale Robinson (351 yards, 2 TD) and Darius Slayton (166 yards) leading the way in the passing game. However, Slayton is doubtful (hamstring) for Sunday.
- New York’s offense has been underwhelming this season, ranking 26th in scoring (20.2 PPG), while putting up 328.2 yards per game (19th).
- On the defensive side, the Giants are 20th this season, allowing 24.0 points per game. In terms of yardage, they're 27th, conceding 370.8 yards per contest.
- Injury Report: Friday’s report states that the following players are out: LBs Swayze Bozeman (ankle), LB Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles (hamstring), and C John Michael Schmitz (concussion). WR Darius Slayton (hamstring) and DL Chauncey Golston (neck) are doubtful.
Broncos Notch Third Straight Win
Like the Giants, the Denver Broncos believe that they’ve found their quarterback of the future in Bo Nix. Nix has thrown for 1,277 yards on a 64.6% completion rate, adding nine touchdowns and four picks this season. He has led the team to a 4-2 start, which puts them in a first-place tie in the AFC West with the Chargers. However, the Bolts have the head-to-head edge after beating the Broncos 23-20 in Week 3. Since the defeat, the Broncos have rattled off three straight victories against the Bengals (28-3), Eagles (21-17), and Jets (13-11), most recently. Denver is 2-4 ATS and 5-1 to the under. They’re a -300 favorite to make the playoffs, while sitting at +215 to win the West.
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Nix’s top target in the passing attack is wide receiver Courtland Sutton. He has hauled in 27 passes on 40 targets, gaining 382 yards and three touchdowns. Newcomer running back J.K. Dobbins has spearheaded the ground game, logging 442 yards and four touchdowns on 91 carries (4.9 YPC).
- Offensively, the Broncos are scoring 21.7 points per game (20th), while averaging 337.0 yards per week (15th).
- Defensively, they are second in the NFL this year, conceding 15.8 points per game. They’re allowing 254.2 yards per contest, which is second.
- Injury Report: The only DNP on Thursday was LB Jonah Elliss (shoulder), while LBs Jonathon Cooper (quad) and Dre Greenlaw (quad) were both limited.
Giants vs. Broncos Pick
Spread Pick for Giants vs. Broncos
- New York Giants +7.0 (-105) (5 units)
I’m taking the points with the Giants in this one. You can tell that New York has a different swagger now that Jaxson Dart is running the offense, and while we can’t bet solely on vibes, this is at least an intangible that favors the Giants. Additionally, the G-Men are coming off of a “mini bye,” since their last game was that Thursday night dismantling of the Super Bowl Champion Eagles (34-17). They’ll take on a Broncos squad that was very unimpressive in a 13-11 win over the Jets. Oh, and they’re returning from London, which is an unfavorable tally on their end.
Finally, I’m just not ready to lay a full touchdown’s worth of points with Bo Nix and this superstar-less offense. They’re quite unimpressive offensively, scoring only 21.7 points per game (20th). Denver only has two wins of more than four points, and they were against the debuting Cam Ward and his horrible Tennessee team (20-12) and a Jake Browning-led Cincy squad (28-3). I’ll take the points with the Giants.
Over/Under Pick for Giants vs. Broncos
- Under 40.5 (-110) (5 units)
The strength of the Broncos is their defense. This defense looks pretty legit, ranking second in points against (15.8) and yards against per game (254.2). They’re also the best red-zone defense in the NFL, allowing touchdowns on just 28.6% of opposing trips to the red area. Denver is first in third-down defense (27.2%) as well.
Additionally, these are two teams that enjoy running the rock. New York is ninth in rushing play percentage (45.9%), while Denver is 15th (44.2%). With neither team really having a superstar in the passing attack, I expect to see a lot of stacked boxes and a focus on run-stopping. As for the trends, New York is 5-2 to the under in its last seven games, while Denver is 7-1 to the under in its last eight outings. This feels like a 17-13 type of game. Give me the under.
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