New York Giants vs Houston Texans Picks and Prediction for Sunday October 25, 2026
The Houston Texans will return home Sunday afternoon for a matchup against the New York Giants at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 PM Eastern, with television coverage available on FOX. Houston enters Sunday with a 2-4 record after picking up its second consecutive victory with a 34-31 win over Jacksonville in London. New York comes into this matchup with a 3-2-1 record following a 34-27 home loss against New Orleans in its last outing. The Texans enter this matchup as 10.5-point home favorites at -500 on the moneyline. New York is +380 on the moneyline, and the total is set at 42.5 points. Stay in the action with our NFL Picks.
Giants need a win
The New York Giants offense is averaging 22.6 points per game this season. Defensively, New York has been shaky, allowing 23.3 points per game overall. Jameis Winston is leading the New York offense this season with 957 passing yards and seven touchdowns on 90 completions. Jaxson Dart compiled 250 passing yards and three touchdowns on 26 completions before his injury. J.J. McCarthy has thrown for 243 yards and one touchdown on 11 completions this season. Cam Skattebo is the top ball carrier for New York with 294 rushing yards and one touchdown on 81 carries. Malik Nabers is the top target in the New York offense with 494 receiving yards and two touchdowns on 41 receptions. Isaiah Likely has added 39 catches for 383 yards and five touchdowns.
Offensively, New York moved the ball well last week, scoring 27 points, including 17 in the fourth quarter, on 461 total yards but turned the ball over four times in the loss. Defensively, New York was outmatched, giving up 34 points on 319 total yards. J.J. McCarthy led the way for New York last week, completing 11 passes for 243 yards and one touchdown while adding a team-high 26 rushing yards on two carries. Jameis Winston completed 14 passes for 152 yards and one touchdown. Malik Nabers was the top target in the New York offense with 165 yards on 12 catches. Isaiah Likely added 99 yards and one touchdown on six receptions, while Tyrone Tracy Jr. chipped in 27 yards and one touchdown on two catches.
Key Injury Report for New York:
- Jermaine Eluemunor (Questionable) – Calf
- Tremaine Edwards (Out) – Chest
- Greg Newsome II (Out) – Concussion
- Jevon Holland (Questionable) – Concussion
- Paulson Adebo (IR-R) – Knee
Houston Hunts Three Straight
The Houston Texans offense is averaging 24 points per game this season, and they've averaged 30 points per game during their current two-game winning streak. Defensively, Houston is allowing 23.16 points per game. C.J. Stroud has led Houston this season with 1,714 passing yards and nine touchdowns on 143 completions, along with 76 rushing yards and one touchdown on 16 carries. Woody Marks is the top ball carrier on the team with 205 yards and two touchdowns on 58 carries, while David Montgomery has added 138 yards and two scores on 52 carries. Jaylin Noel is leading Houston with 334 receiving yards and two touchdowns on 17 catches. Nico Collins has added 22 receptions for 323 yards and three scores.
Defensively, Houston had its troubles a week ago, giving up 31 points, including 17 in the second half, on 412 total yards, but the Texans forced one turnover in the win. Offensively, Houston was the better team, scoring 34 points on 426 total yards. C.J. Stroud led Houston last week, completing 24 passes for 312 yards and three touchdowns. Woody Marks led all ball carriers with 56 yards on 15 carries. Jawhar Jordan added 43 yards and one touchdown on six carries. Jaylin Noel led Houston with 107 yards and one touchdown on four receptions. Nico Collins chipped in three catches for 74 yards.
Key Injury Report for Houston:
- Blake Fisher (Out) – Thumb
- Jalen Pitre (Out) – Shoulder
- Reed Blankenship (Out) – Concussion
- David Montgomery (Out) – Groin
- Jame Hummel (IR) – Groin
New York Giants vs Houston Texans Picks and Prediction
Pick: Houston Texans -10.5
Houston appears to be finding its rhythm offensively after a difficult start to the season, and the Texans should be able to continue that success Sunday against New York. C.J. Stroud is coming off one of his best performances of the season, throwing for more than 300 yards and three touchdowns against Jacksonville. Houston has been able to generate explosive plays through the passing game, which could create problems for a Giants defense that allowed 34 points against New Orleans last week. New York will also be turning to J.J. McCarthy at quarterback, and facing Houston's aggressive defensive front will be a difficult challenge in his first start with the team. Will Anderson Jr. and the Texans' pass rush should be able to create pressure and force McCarthy into uncomfortable situations throughout the afternoon. Houston has the advantage at quarterback and should be able to capitalize on New York's offensive uncertainty to pull away and cover the double-digit spread.
Pick: Over 42.5
Houston has started to generate more offensive production over its last two games, and Sunday's matchup against New York should provide another opportunity for the Texans to put points on the board. Stroud has been effective at creating explosive passing plays, and the Giants have shown defensive vulnerabilities that Houston should be able to exploit. New York allowed 34 points against New Orleans in its last outing, including a difficult opening three quarters that forced the Giants to play from behind. Houston's ability to create pressure defensively could also lead to favorable field position and additional scoring opportunities. The Giants will need McCarthy to make plays through the air to remain competitive, and his ability to extend plays could help New York generate some offense despite the difficult matchup. Expect Houston to do most of the scoring, but New York should contribute enough to help push this game over the posted total.