New York Giants vs Washington Commanders Picks and Prediction for Sunday October 11, 2026

By: Cameron Ross Published 10/10/2026, 11:00 PM ET

The New York Giants will head to Landover, Maryland, Sunday afternoon for an NFC East matchup against the Washington Commanders at Northwest Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 PM with coverage on FOX. New York enters the weekend with a 3-1 record following a 36-24 victory over the Arizona Cardinals. The Giants have gotten off to a strong start this season and will look to pick up another important division victory on the road. Washington comes into the matchup with a 1-3 record after suffering a 30-13 loss to the Indianapolis Colts last weekend. The Commanders have struggled to find consistency and will look to turn things around against a familiar division opponent. Washington is listed as a 3.5-point favorite, with the total set at 41.5 points. The Commanders are -180 on the money line, while New York comes in at +150. For other NFL Plays see our NFL Picks.

New York looks to keep it rolling

Jameis Winston leads the New York offense this season with 479 passing yards and three touchdowns on 43 completions. Jaxson Dart added 260 yards and two touchdowns on 29 completions before his injury. Cam Skattebo leads the Giants rushing attack with 235 yards and one touchdown on 68 carries. Najee Harris has contributed 88 yards on 22 attempts, while Dart has added 54 rushing yards on 11 carries. Malik Nabers leads the New York receiving corps with 208 yards and one touchdown on 18 receptions. Isaiah Likely has added 190 yards and two touchdowns on 22 catches, while Malachi Fields has chipped in 126 yards and one score on eight receptions.

The Giants come into this week 3-1 on the year following the double-digit win over the Cardinals a week ago. The New York Giants were the better team in their matchup last week, pouring in 36 points on 319 total yards. Defensively, New York did the work, giving up 24 points on 240 yards and forcing 3 turnovers in the win. Jameis Winston led the way for the New York offense last week, completing 18 passes for 250 yards and three scores. Cam Skattebo led the way on the ground for New York with 58 yards on 18 carries. Malik Nabers was the top receiver in the game with 112 yards and one touchdown on 6 receptions. Isaiah likely added 66 yards on 7 catches, and Malachi Fields chipped in two catches for 52 yards and one score.

Key Injury Report for New York:

  • Jason Pinnock (Out) – Concussion
  • Chauncey Golston (Out) – Neck
  • Braxton Berrios (IR) – Foot
  • Jaxson Dart (IR) - Knee
  • Brian Burns (IR) - ACL

Washington is desperate for a win

Marcus Mariota leads the Washington offense this season with 340 passing yards and four touchdowns on 33 completions. Jayden Daniels has added 260 yards and three touchdowns on 29 completions, while contributing 100 rushing yards on 12 carries. Jacory Croskey-Merritt leads the Commanders rushing attack with 157 yards and one touchdown on 56 carries. Rachaad White has added 100 yards on 22 attempts, while Kaytron Allen has contributed 41 yards on 12 carries. Stefon Diggs leads the Washington receiving corps with 170 yards and three touchdowns on 18 receptions. Terry McLaurin has added 141 yards and one touchdown on 10 catches, while Antonio Williams has chipped in 124 yards and one score on 12 receptions.

Washington is 1-3 this season after a 17-point loss to the Colts in their last outing. The Washington offense scored 13 points on 317 total yards last week after turning the ball over once and converting just two third downs. Defensively, Washington was outmatched, giving up 30 points on 257 total yards. Athan Kaliakmanis led the way for Washington last week, completing 15 passes for 186 yards and one score. Marcus Mariota completed three passes for 46 yards and ran the ball one time for 35 yards. Austin Ekeler chipped in four carries for 29 yards. Dyami Brown led the team with 65 yards on three catches. Treylon Burks chipped in heavily with 47 yards and one touchdown on one reception.

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Key Injury Report for Washington:

  • Tyler Owens (Out) _ Hamstring
  • Percy Butler (Out)- Hamstring
  • Marcus Mariota (Out) – Knee
  • Terry MCLuarin (Questionable) – Hamstring
  • Stefon Diggs (Out) - Hamstring

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders Picks and Prediction

Pick: Washington Commanders -3.5 (-115)

Washington will have a good opportunity to get back on track Sunday afternoon when the Giants come to town for an NFC East matchup. The Commanders have struggled through the first four weeks, but they have enough talent to challenge a New York team that has gotten off to a strong start. The Giants will look to build on their victory over Arizona, but playing on the road against a division opponent could create some difficult situations. Washington will need to establish its offense early and avoid allowing New York to create momentum through turnovers. The Commanders should benefit from playing at home and will have opportunities to move the football against the Giants. Look for Washington to make enough plays to secure an important division victory.

Pick: Over 41.5 (-115)

New York and Washington could produce plenty of offensive opportunities Sunday when the two NFC East rivals meet. The Giants are coming off a 36-point performance against Arizona and will look to continue that offensive success against a Washington defense that has struggled in recent weeks. The Commanders have allowed at least 30 points in three consecutive games and could have trouble slowing down New York. Washington will need to answer offensively and should have opportunities to move the football against the Giants. Both teams have enough talent to create big plays, and neither defense has been completely reliable. Expect a competitive division matchup with both offenses finding success and pushing the combined score over the total.

Final Picks: Washington Commanders -3.5 (-115) and Β Over 41.5 (-115)

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