New York Jets vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction and Picks - December 14, 2025
Sunday afternoon NFL action, and we have a New York Jets vs Jacksonville Jaguars prediction locked and loaded for you. It has been another long year for the Jets, as they are just 3-10 so far, and come in off a 34-10 home loss to the Dolphins. The Jaguars are making a strong run for the postseason as they are now 9-4 on the year after dismantling the Colts 36-19 last week. These teams met last year and the Jets won that game on the road by a score of 32-25. Read on to see our Jets vs Jaguars prediction.
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Another Long Season For The Jets
The Jets’ most recent game was a 34–10 loss to the Miami Dolphins on December 7, where undrafted rookie quarterback Brady Cook was forced into action after Tyrod Taylor left with a groin injury. Cook finished 14-of-30 for 163 yards with two interceptions, and the offense never found rhythm against a Miami defense that piled up six sacks. The lone bright spot came on special teams, as Isaiah Williams returned a punt 78 yards for a touchdown in the first quarter. The defeat dropped New York to 3–10 and officially eliminated them from playoff contention for the 15th straight season.
Offensively, the Jets have struggled all year, ranking 29th in total yards (274.8 per game) and dead last in passing at 146.5 yards per game. Their strength has been the ground game, where Breece Hall has rushed for 877 yards and remains the focal point of the attack. Injuries have decimated the quarterback room, with Justin Fields sidelined by knee soreness and Tyrod Taylor questionable after the groin injury. That leaves Cook likely to start again, putting even more pressure on Hall and the offensive line to carry the load. Tight ends Mason Taylor (stinger) and Stone Smartt (concussion) were also banged up last week, further limiting options in the passing game.
Defensively, New York has been inconsistent, allowing 329.6 yards per game (17th) and 26.8 points per game (27th). The pass defense has held up reasonably well, ranking 8th at 190.2 yards allowed per game, but the run defense has collapsed, giving up 139.5 yards per game (30th). Injuries have compounded the issues, with DE Tyler Baron (knee) and LB Kiko Mauigoa (shoulder) both leaving the Dolphins game. The Jets have not forced a single takeaway all season, ranking last in the NFL, and that lack of turnovers has crippled their ability to swing momentum. Against Jacksonville’s balanced offense, the Jets will need their front seven to play above their ranking to avoid another lopsided defeat.
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Jags Win Their 4th In A Row
The Jaguars’ most recent game was a 36–19 win over the Indianapolis Colts on December 7, where Trevor Lawrence threw for 244 yards and two touchdowns while Travis Etienne ran for two scores. Jacksonville forced three turnovers, including a pick by Devin Lloyd and a fumble recovery by Jarrian Jones, both leading to touchdowns. The victory marked their fourth straight and gave them sole possession of first place in the AFC South at 9–4.
Offensively, Jacksonville averages 327.8 yards per game (17th), with Lawrence throwing for 2,880 yards and 18 touchdowns on the season. Etienne has been the steady force in the backfield, rushing for 917 yards and seven touchdowns, while Jakobi Meyers and Brian Thomas Jr. provide reliable targets in the passing game. Injuries have hit the receiving corps, with Parker Washington (hip) questionable, but Lawrence has spread the ball effectively to multiple options. The Jaguars score 25.2 points per game (9th), and their ability to finish drives has been a key factor in their recent surge.
Defensively, Jacksonville has been stout, allowing 310.4 yards per game (11th) and just 20.9 points per game (11th). Their run defense is the best in the league, giving up only 82.9 yards per game, anchored by Josh Hines-Allen and Foyesade Oluokun. The secondary has been more vulnerable, ranking 22nd in passing yards allowed, but the pass rush has helped mask those issues. Injuries remain a concern, with LT Walker Little (concussion) and S Andrew Wingard (concussion) both questionable, while WR Parker Washington’s hip injury could limit offensive depth. Still, the Jaguars have forced 15 takeaways this season, ranking 4th, and their ability to capitalize on mistakes has fueled their winning streak. Against a turnover-prone Jets offense, Jacksonville’s defense is well-positioned to dominate.
New York Jets vs Jacksonville Jaguars Pick
Jets vs Jaguars Spread Pick
- Jacksonville -13 (5 Units)
Jacksonville -13 looks like the right side given how dominant the Jaguars have been and how poorly the Jets have matched up in these situations. The Jaguars are coming off a 36–19 win over the Colts on December 7, where Trevor Lawrence threw for 244 yards and two touchdowns while Travis Etienne added two scores on the ground. That victory marked their fourth straight and came as a short underdog, which is significant because Jacksonville is 9-2 ATS when coming in off a straight-up dog win. They’ve also been reliable after divisional home games, going 7-1 ATS in their last eight in that spot. With the league’s top-ranked run defense allowing just 82.9 rushing yards per game, the Jaguars are built to shut down Breece Hall and force the Jets’ struggling quarterbacks into mistakes.
On the other side, the Jets are coming off a 34–10 loss to Miami on December 7, where rookie Brady Cook threw two interceptions and the offense managed just 163 passing yards. New York has been a disaster against the number in this exact setup, going 1-9-1 ATS off a home game and 0-6 ATS when facing a team that won as a home dog in its last game. Their offense ranks dead last in passing at 146.5 yards per game, and they’ve failed to generate a single takeaway all season, leaving them unable to flip momentum. With Jacksonville surging and New York collapsing, laying the -13 with the Jaguars is backed both by statistical dominance and powerful ATS trends.
Jets vs Jaguars Over/Under Pick
- Over 41.5 (4 Units)
The Over 41.5 makes sense in Jets–Jaguars given how these teams are trending and the matchup dynamics. Jacksonville is coming off a 36–19 win over the Colts on December 7, where Trevor Lawrence threw for 244 yards and two touchdowns while Travis Etienne added two scores on the ground. The Jaguars average 25.2 points per game and have the league’s best run defense, which should force the Jets to throw more than usual. New York, despite a 34–10 loss to Miami on December 7, still averages 128.4 rushing yards per game and has Breece Hall capable of breaking big plays. Even with their passing struggles, the Jets can put enough points on the board to complement Jacksonville’s offensive surge. With the Jaguars likely to push into the 30s and the Jets able to chip in just enough, the Over 41.5 has strong potential to cash.
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